nfl betting tips

ILLNESS has hit the NFL. We all knew it would, it was inevitable that some players got infected.

In fairness to the NFL I'm surprised it took until week 3 to have any issues. The Titans the main outbreak with more than 15 players or personnel now testing positive, their game against the Steelers is postponed until week 7 at the moment, and I think their week 5 game is at risk as well should cases there continue to rise.

Then last night we got news that New England quarterback Cam Newton tested positive, they're currently testing other players, all have been negative so far but the game has been delayed, at the moment until Monday or Tuesday night, fingers crossed there's no further positives and we're good to go.

It was inevitable, the league has acted and adapted quickly to the situation and I'm sure it will going forward. There will be more cases and things will change week on week.

Spread bet

This is between a few for me, my shortlist came down to Seahawks -5.5 (long travel), Cowboys -3.5 (think they'll outscore the Browns and take them out of their running game comfort zone) Cardinals -3 (Something I'm not seeing here) Colts -2.5 (Like this) But I think I'll be taking the Bills to cover 3 points against the Raiders for my spread recommendation.

The Bills had an up and down game hosting the Rams last week, giving away a 28-3 lead before coming back to win in the final minute of the game, they covered the spread as well. They look good on offense, Josh Allen topping 300 yards in each game so far and Stefon Diggs has slotted in well for them. John Brown will be out but Gabriel Davis slotted in well in his spot last week. Zack Moss returns to bolster the RB corps too.

The Raiders are without their rookie WRs with Ruggs and Edwards both out, so they'll probably use Renfrow and Waller a lot in the middle of the field with Dropsalot Agholor and Zay Jones on the outside. More likely a lot more Josh Jacobs running the ball.

Buffalo Bills -3 over the Las Vegas Raiders

Totals

Totals have bumped up a lot this week. I won't be betting one in this column. A few notes. The Bills and Raiders have gone over the total in all 3 of their respective games this year, total is high at 53 though (opened at 49). The Falcons and Packers totals have gone over in every game too, theirs is at 56.5, it will probably still go over on Monday night.

The Ravens have scored every quarter so far this season yet their totals have gone under in every game. The Vikings have won the first quarter in every game yet lost them all.

Player prop

A couple here that I think are far too low, although the odds reflect them. Keenan Allen o4.5 receptions at 1.67 on Hills (1.62 elsewhere) looks a banker to me, he's had 29 targets in two weeks since Justin Herbert took over at QB. He and Ekeler will probably top their receptions line. Myles Gaskin has the main role in the Dolphins backfield, he's set at 3.5 receptions  (Skybet best priced) after having 4,6 and 5 in their 3 games this year. I'm pretty sure Deandre Hopkins will be playing tonight, he's had 14,8 and 10 receptions yet his line is set at 5.5 at 1.66 odds.

Best one for me? – Keenan Allen o4.5 receptions – 1.67 (WillHill)

Touchdown bet

Again a few on my shortlist here, I like the Skybet early treble, Cook, Kamara and Elliott at 11/2 looks good. All too short to take individually. A stupid longshot of Richard Rodgers at 40/1 for the Eagles, he's the TE2 there with Goedert out injured, unlikely of course but a big price.

The Ravens got embarrassed on Monday night, they'll be looking for a bounceback and a Washington team without Chase Young seems like the perfect spot for that. Mark Andrews was pretty terrible in that game, a lot of drops including in the endzone, but he's priced over Evens for this one and I'll happily take that.

Mark Andrews anytime – 2.10 (365)

Few others who made the shortlist, Zach Pascal and Mo Alie-Cox for the Colts, Kyler Murray at 7/4 for the Cardinals, Ronald Jones above evens for the Buccs with no Fournette playing. Kareem Hunt 9/4 for the Browns.

Summary

  • Spread – Bills -3
  • Player prop – Keenan Allen o4.5 receptions – 1.67 (Hills)
  • TD Shorty – Mark Andrews – 2.10 (365)

Good Luck with whatever you're all on tonight. Enjoy.

Avatar of TDTips

TDTips

Betting Content Writer

150 articles

38 Comments
  1. Avatar of Inches
    Inches 4 years ago

    Hi Adam, What do you think of cardinals -3? Bet of the weekend for me I think.

    • Avatar of TDTips
      TDTips 4 years ago

      Do like the Cardinals tonight, sorry for the late reply!

  2. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    Hi all posted an early doors bet
    Rams -7.5 1/2
    Dallas ml 1/3
    Evens Double

    Dallas have gone 1/2 ml but best on rams now is – 8.5 4/9
    Coral machine in shop always worth a look
    Seattle v Miami should go over
    As should the Dallas v Cleveland game
    Think Miami and Cleveland will contribute
    In the points total
    Good luck ☘️

  3. Avatar of Johnb
    Johnb 4 years ago

    Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins

    There has been a rise in the overs this season and even with the oddsmakers raising the totals it should continue, personally I think for the majority of games it will continue till we see bookies taking drastic action by having most games totals into the 60+ total,
    Obviously the main reason for the high scoring has been the drop in holding penalties with officials take the “clear and obvious” approach, whether they were pressured into less calls by the league is another matter but it’s no secret that the league wanted more scoring to promote the NFL
    This game looks certain to be a shootout,
    Pete Carroll has finally given Russell Wilson the green light to just let him do what he does best, for long enough Pete Carroll wouldn’t let Wilson throw the passes we know he can throw until they were behind late on, this season because their defence is so bad he knows the Seahawks have to score a lot of points to win games, their three games have been wins with scores of 38-25, 35-30 and 38-31 and if they want to beat the Dolphins tonight they will have to put another 30+ points on the board,
    Brian Flores of the Dolphins knows his team are going to have to make it a shootout if they want to win and they certainly have the firepower to put a lot of points on the board, Russell Wilson and Ryan Fitzpatrick should move the chains with ease tonight,
    The Seahawks have Tyler Lockett, Chris Carson and DK Metcalf but i am looking to Mike Gesicki to have a good game, he is 4/6 to have over 3.5 receptions, 7/4 to score anytime but even the 12/1 for 2 or more touchdowns looks good,
    The totals line is sitting at 54.5 and looks too low

    OVER 54.5 points
    10/11 888sport NAP

    Mike Gesicki over 3.5 receptions
    4/6 skybet

    Mike Gesicki to score
    7/4 betvictor

    Mike Gesicki 2 or more touchdowns
    12/1 betway

    Baltimore Ravens at Washington Football Team

    1st Quarter Handicap
    Baltimore -2.5
    49/50 888sport

    Lamar Jackson 2 or more touchdowns
    6/1 888sport

    Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers

    Kyler Murray over 7.5 rushing attempts
    6/5 888sport

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      Great to see you back John. I have lumped cardinals -3, I find it strange the line has not moved. Do you have any thoughts?

    • Avatar of Martin Young
      mar10bet 4 years ago

      Thanks for the college plays yesterday John. Made good money on TCU then Air Force 👌

    • Avatar of TDTips
      TDTips 4 years ago

      Very nice mate, I do like Gesicki tonight, should get a lot of the ball

    • Avatar of Johnb
      Johnb 4 years ago

      I don’t see any problem with Arizona today, they really should have won last week but did well in the end to only lose by 3 with the turnovers they had,
      Vegas are never really far away with their handicapping, they opened up -3.5 and currently -3, I thought it would have gone a fraction the other way, can’t see the Panthers having enough weapons to keep up with Arizona

    • Avatar of Johnb
      Johnb 4 years ago

      mar10bet I do like College Football but i didn’t expect Air Force to win so easy, lost out on the underdogs by half a point

  4. Avatar of Inches
    Inches 4 years ago

    2 bets for me tonight.

    Cardinals -3
    Colts ML
    Rams -10
    Ravens-9
    Chargers+11.5
    17/2

    Bucks O42.5
    Browns +3.5
    Dolphins +5.5
    Texans O53.5
    13/1

    Worried about Seattle after a long trip. And cowboys secondary is atrocious. Opinion from an unbiased eagles fan…👀 Gl everyone.

    • Avatar of Johnb
      Johnb 4 years ago

      Would expect Seattle score to be close but I see them just doing enough with Wilson

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      Hopefully the fins and cards do better 2nd half. Yes forgot to say thanks for college picks yesterday mate had small stakes on. Unreal picks!!!

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      And well in with cook!!!

  5. Avatar of Martin Young
    mar10bet 4 years ago

    Cowboys, Texans & Seahawks – ML treble pays 5/2 (4 points)

    Add Cards for 4.6/1 (1.5 points)

    Add Colts for 7.8/1 (1 point)

    Going to stick with ML’s tonight and enjoy Redzone with a few beers 🍻

  6. Avatar of TDTips
    TDTips 4 years ago

    Mandrews bet is in

    • Avatar of Martin Young
      mar10bet 4 years ago

      Well played Adam 💪

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      Super bet!

  7. Avatar of TDTips
    TDTips 4 years ago

    Keenan Allen recs in

  8. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    Well in Adam

  9. Avatar of david
    greenman 4 years ago

    every 6pm game went over the total points except 1, i think the seahawks total was 54.5

  10. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    every 6pm game went over the total points except 1, i think the seahawks total was 54.5

  11. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    Dallas gashed on D
    Some shocks in early evening tonight

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      2 things I learnt this weekend.
      If a line is too good to be true stay away.
      Never back against the Seahawks.

  12. Avatar of Gary Carver
    gaz1105 4 years ago

    Anyone got anything for today’s game ? Followed a few of you with some nice winners . Thank you all

  13. Avatar of Footiefan77
    Footiefan77 4 years ago

    NFL NAP:

    Kansas City Chiefs ( – 6.5) to beat New England Patriots on handicap. Odds 8-15 Paddy

  14. Avatar of Footiefan77
    Footiefan77 4 years ago

    NFL NAP 2:

    Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons Under 56.5 points at 9-10 (Betfair)

    Good Luck all.

  15. Avatar of Uncle Pom
    uncle pom 4 years ago

    Green Bay -10 13/8 2pt win

    • Avatar of Uncle Pom
      uncle pom 4 years ago

      🤛🏻🍻

  16. Avatar of TDTips
    TDTips 4 years ago

    Under on the Packers game? Interesting, worried about their receiving corps being smashed to bits?

    Tyreek Hill anytime at Evens – 350+ yards, 4 TDs in 3 games against the Pats.
    Clyde receiving yards, or receptions, but the reception line is rubbish odds.

    Falcons v Packers, nothing official, probably a few pot-shots on the many TEs they’ll have to involve in the passing game, odds aren’t where I’d like on most though.

    Oh, 2 TDs each team in each half is 12/1 on PP for the Falcons v Packers game, worth a go at the price

    • Avatar of Uncle Pom
      uncle pom 4 years ago

      Sorry TD I’m not being rude by not responding. have learnt to stay quite on the threads.

      I have watch Foozball since I was 9 . Cards fan 😅
      for my sins. ( we wont mention . Yesterday! 😂)

      Think packers have to much in the size up today both advantage in the rushing and yardage, although I agree both teams defences are awful. Will be a great game to watch .

      Best of luck!

  17. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    Sky bet
    Alternative handicap
    Packers + 4
    Chiefs -5
    4/5 the double

    Also small bet enhanced odds of 11/2
    Kelce Gurley Jones to score a touchdown

    • Avatar of Inches
      Inches 4 years ago

      Like that double!!

  18. Avatar of Inches
    Inches 4 years ago

    Small interest bet double for me.

    Chiefs win by 7-12 points
    Falcons ht packers ft
    32.75/1

    Falcons usually start well and throw it away.

    Gl all.

  19. Avatar of bigmick
    bigmick 4 years ago

    Didn’t make it on here yesterday but my tips for tonight chiefs to win and over 46.5 points and packers to win over 49.5 points double 5/2

  20. Avatar of darren jackman
    dj76 4 years ago

    Chiefs -10.5 & Packers vs Falcons over 56.5 double 2.8/1

  21. Avatar of Martin Young
    mar10bet 4 years ago

    Clyde Edwards-Helaire prop on receiving yards beat by half a point 😢

  22. Avatar of Footiefan77
    Footiefan77 4 years ago

    NFL NAP:

    Kansas City Chiefs ( – 6.5) to beat New England Patriots on handicap. Odds 8-15 Paddy. WON 👌🏈

    NFL NAP 2:

    Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons Under 56.5 points at 9-10 (Betfair) WON 👌🏈

    Keep following my tips guys for more winners. 😀

  23. Avatar of nflfan
    nflfan 4 years ago

    Well done lads last night
    Full house Adam back to normal
    Good info and write ups all around
    Knowledgeable people
    Let’s all keep it up 🙏☘️

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