NFL Week 7; Jaguars to maul Bengals

Week 7 of the regular season already. You wait for 7 months for games to restart and they fly past in the blink of an eye.

Jagaurs to dominate in big cat battle.

As a Cincinnati fan I can tell you that it's not been a good season so far. I'm not entirely blaming the players out there, the team is destroyed with injuries. Again, they're down to 3rd/4th stringers on the offensive line, at WR, in their secondary. It's been a nightmare for them. The Jaguars on the other hand are doing pretty well health-wise although Dede Westbrook is risky with a shoulder injury. They should be able to get pressure on Dalton, and on the other side of the ball be able to do pretty much what they want to do on offense. It should be a big game for Lenny Fournette on the ground and DJ Chark through the air.

Pick; Leonard Fournette anytime TD – 1.66 (365)

Lack of pass catchers narrows GB options

The Packers are in pole position in their division having beaten all their opposition at Lambeau already this year and they'll be looking to push that advantage by dealing with the Raiders tonight. They're very beaten up though, without all three of their main recievers, Adams, MVS and Allison all likely to miss out tonight, so it's the likes of the Lazard man, Jake Kumerow and *insert name here* … probably the tight ends, Jimmy Graham and Marcedes Lewis. But I think it's more likely they use Jamaal Williams more in the passing game after a big performance on his return to the side last week. The Raiders are coming off a bye and should be able to keep it fairly close, they've impressed me this season as I thought they'd be terrible.

Pick; Jamaal Williams o19.5 recieving yards – 1.90 (Uni/888) 1.83 most other places. 

Points, points, points in Atlanta

The line in the Rams v Atlanta game is 54.5 so the bookies obviously expect points and there should be a lot of them. Definitely for the Rams. They're playing the team who's conceded the second most TDs this season, and the main man for Jared Goff is usually Cooper Kupp who leads the team in red zone targets and until their failure last week had 4 consecutive 100 yard games. The Falcons are just unable to defend anything this year. The Rams brought in Jalen Ramsey in the week, I would imagine they'd put him on Julio Jones to slow him down, but Matt Ryan is playing at an elite level this season with over 300 yards in every game so far and multiple scores in all bar one game. It should be a very entertaining game… cue a 14-10 shit-fest.

Pick; Cooper Kupp anytime TD – 2.00 (365/WillHill)

The Longshot; Will any Dolphin player score?

The shortest priced player to score a touchdown for the Miami Dolphins this week is Preston Williams at 4/1. It means there's possible value there if you can pick the needle in the haystack and find the one dolphin player who might score tonight. Well… in fairness there's a fair chance that none of them do against a Bills team coming off a bye. But if there's one I like the look of, at the price then it's Mark Walton. They have actively been trying to trade away Kenyan Drake this week and Walton had 11 touches on the ground and through the passing game for 75 yards last week. Most of that came when Ryan Fitzpatrick took over at QB from Josh Rosen, so there might be a bit of a connection between the two of them.

Go easy on this one, half stake on Mark Walton anytime TD – 8.00 (WillHill)

Bet recommendations.

• Leonard Fournette anytime TD – 1.66 (365)
• Jamaal Williams o19.5 recieving yards – 1.90 (Uni/888) 1.83 most other places. 
• Cooper Kupp anytime TD – 2.00 (365/WillHill)
• Mark Walton anytime TD – 8.00 (WillHill) – Half stake. 

I'll see how these go, if it's a loser again I'll go back to a bit more simplicity next week and concentrate on totals/spreads a little more.

Adam (@touchdowntips)

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