A win on the spread for me last week, but Boyd was part of a dismal Bengals offensive display which did his yards and Ebron made a couple of drops while Chase Claypool got himself all of the receiving scores in that one.

So on to week 6 (for most)

Spread

Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 vs. Cleveland Browns

Well, the Steelers are rolling. They're nowhere near as good as they were last season on defense but the QB situation is infinitely better there and they've been dealing with what's been put in front of them so far. Admittedly that's not been much. They sit at 4-0 having beaten teams who have a combined record of 3-15-1 this year, so they've all been trash but they tend to play to their opposition. They have a tremendous record against the Browns, 24-5-1 straight up against them in the last 30 encounters and it's been 17 years since the Browns won at Heinz Field. Oct 2003.

My honest thoughts are that the Steelers are over-rated and the media love them so anything they do is blown out of proportion but they have won all 4 and covered the spread in 3 of them, so they are exceeding expectations according to the bookies. The Browns are 2-3 ATS, but have won their last 4 games now. They have been playing well and the win against the Colts last week was quite comfortable, but they like to run the ball and are coming up against the best run defense in the league. They're also beaten up. Baker Mayfield has possibly cracked ribs, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham are both playing injured, and obviously Nick Chubb is out in the run game for them. It's not a good look as the Steelers get more QB pressures than any team in the league and one hit is going to cause Baker some considerable pain.

Mainly because of the injury news I'm begrudgingly (I hate the Steelers) taking Pitt to cover. If you can find a 3, even better.

Also like the Cowboys on Monday night, Chiefs, and Lions to cover.

Player prop

Antonio Gibson o3.5 receptions – 2.00 (WillHill)

The Washington football team aren't very good. However they will again be starting Kyle Allen this week after he was knocked out of the game by a Jalen Ramsey cheap shot last week. Before that he'd done an adequate job running the offense especially dumping the ball off to rookie WR turned RB Antonio Gibson in the backfield. He had 3 receptions in the first 5 mins last week and finished on 5. I'm sure he'd have hit that before half time had Allen played the whole game. So I'm happy to hit o3.5 receptions for him again this week against a poor Giants defense.

I like a lot of reception lines this week actually, Gibson, James Robinson o3.5, Tim Patrick of the Broncos o3.5, Jeff Smith for the Jets o2.5 all look good.

TD Scorer

Mark Andrews anytime – 2.20 (888)

I turned away from Mark Andrews last week as I didn't want to repeat myself from the week before, but he scored once more and he gets another good matchup this week against the Eagles. They allowed 3 TDs for Claypool last week in the middle of the field and that's where they're weakest. The Ravens don't really use their wide receivers, it's mainly Mandrews in the middle of the field, so I'm happy to take over evens for him once more this week.

A few others I like the look of, Mike Boone for the Vikings, he scored a few with Dalvin Cook out of the lineup last year and gets the goal-line work there, 3/1 on Skybet. Riskier one is D'Andre Swift at 3/1 against the Jags, but that relies on the Lions coaching staff not being stupid which is risky. John Ross is 22/1 on 888 for the Bengals (I was allowed 46p MAX on it) he has been a healthy scratch recently but will be active tonight, it's a big price.

Summary

  • Steelers -3.5 @ 1.95 
  • Antonio Gibson o3.5 receptions – 2.00 (WillHill)
  • Mark Andrews anytime TD – 2.20 (888)

As always good luck, full previews from me over on tdtips.com and get involved in my Draftkings games if you're not already!

33 Comments
  1. jolo210 3 years ago

    2 trebles for me ATS is against the spread

    Treble No1

    Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles

    Ravens -6.5 Ravens are 6-2 ATS also ravens QB Jackson 8-0 ATS when favourite

    Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

    Titans-2 QB Tannehill (titans) is 11-3 against the spread

    L A Rams at 49ers

    L A Rams -3 who play 49ers who are 0-3 against the spread

    Pays 4.35/1

    Treble No2

    Denver Broncos at New England Patriots

    New England Patriots -7.5 New England coach Belichick 23-11 ATS

    Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
    Colts -7.5 Colts are 6-3ATS

    New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
    Dolphins -9 Dolphins are 4-0 ATS playing the New York Jets

    Pays 5.96

    If you do all 6 it pays around 35/1 but the spread will change all the way up until game time good luck

  2. bigmick 3 years ago

    Going for an ACCA on alternative handicap this week
    Ravens -6. 5, patriots -6. 5, Colts -6. 5, dolphins -6. 5, lions -2. 5, Steelers -2. 5 odds 17/1
    Over Falcons game 54.5, Ravens game 46.5, browns game 50.5 (all match points) odds 6/1
    Any time to same as Adam with Andrews
    Also going jonnu Smith to score a td 5/4

  3. Inches 3 years ago

    Alexander mathison over 25.5 receiving yards.
    No dalvin cook tonight for Minnesota, anyone any reasons why he shouldn’t cover this?

    • Inches 3 years ago

      Just done
      steelers-3
      M.andrews anytime td
      Mattison over 25.5 receiving yards

      6/1 treble

      Few more later

    • Inches 3 years ago

      -3.5 sorry

    • Inches 3 years ago

      Shocking. 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️

  4. Inches 3 years ago

    Anybody smell a rat with the rams only being -3?

  5. jolo210 3 years ago

    Inches I hear you it depends if 49ers QB Garoppolo plays he has had a high ankle sprain but the rams defence should hold the 49ers and the 49ers offensive line has been struggling which has allowed 18 sacks Aaron Donald (Rams) should get a few sacks divisional games are always a bit juicer could be a high scoring game for the LA Rams I will look at the overs bet

    • Inches 3 years ago

      Good shout jolo cant bring myself to do the spread as it feels like when I got stung by the cards couple of weeks ago. I’ll take the overs myself

  6. Johnb 3 years ago

    5 out of 5 for trebles this NFL season

    Teaser Treble
    Chicago +8.5 points
    Tampa Bay +7.5 points
    Baltimore -1.5 points
    Treble 6/5 888sport
    Already Advised
    ********************

    18/10/20
    Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (18:00)
    OVER 50.5 points
    10/11 paddy power NAP
    Already Advised
    ********************

    18/10/20
    Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (18:00)
    MINNESOTA VIKINGS -4 points
    10/11 888sport
    Already Advised
    ********************



    NY Jets at Miami Dolphins
    MILES GASKIN Over 82.5 rushing & receiving yards
    17/20 888sport NB
    ********************

    Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
    Over 44.5 points
    10/11 888sport
    ********************

    Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
    OVER 24.5 first half points
    1/1 betway
    ********************

    Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens (18:00)
    BALTIMORE RAVENS -5 first half handicap
    10/11 william hill
    ********************

    Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
    ALEXANDER MATTISON Over 3.5 receptions
    11/10 william hill
    ********************

    Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles
    MARK ANDREWS Over 4.5 receptions
    1/1 william hill

  7. bigmick 3 years ago

    Inches good shout on mattison surprised it’s that low a total. Divisional matchups can surprise sometimes look at the chiefs last week. I’m leaving that game alone expect the rams to win though

    • Inches 3 years ago

      Sorry mate.

    • Inches 3 years ago

      Sorry mate. Brutal.

  8. superjim 3 years ago

    @JohnB, if you are placing all your bets, how many points would you advise for each one?

  9. nflfan 3 years ago

    Hi all gunna stick to my early thoughts trebles posted on Monday teaser trebles
    One I do like is m Stafford over 285 passing yards 5/6 v the jags think Stafford go over based on the jags poor secondary should air it out ☘️

  10. Inches 3 years ago

    Lions -3
    Titans -3.5
    Colts -7.5
    Vikings -3.5

    12/1

  11. Inches 3 years ago

    Colts
    Vikings
    Packers

    All to win by 1 -6 points
    66/1

    Gl all!!!

  12. jolo210 3 years ago

    Back to the drawing board complete blowout as they say in the nfl defence wins games well done Denver broncos beating the New England Patriots

  13. TDTips 3 years ago

    Damn you Mark Andrews and the Ravens.

    2 of 3 for me on here. Hit Adam Shaheen on my blog though

  14. Inches 3 years ago

    Brandon ayiuk over 38.5 receiving yards 20/23

  15. bigmick 3 years ago

    Didn’t do well today but I’m going to take a punt on the 49ers. Yes they were bad against my dolphins last week and they’ve struggled with all their injuries. The rams have looked good but all of their wins have been against teams from the NFC East. I am also changing my mind on this one as I said earlier I think the rams will win. Just have a hunch along with a little researching so taking a chance on 49ers ht/ft 15/8 I also think there will be points tonight going over 52.5 points 19/20 the double pays 4.55/1

  16. Footiefan77 3 years ago

    How did Johnb do on his NFL tips? I backed them but haven’t checked all the results.

  17. bigmick 3 years ago

    I could be wrong but a quick check he got 4 bets right and 5 wrong. Got the treble right yet again though

  18. nflfan 3 years ago

    Poor on the trebles from me packers put in their place in one and Minnesota are bad in the other
    Stafford didn’t throw as much as I thought so prop bet was short
    Well done Adam and well done johnb
    Still three games this week any thoughts would be welcome good luck ☘️

  19. nflfan 3 years ago

    Anyone like the Mahones Allen Murray Dalton all to throw 250 pass yards 7/4 skybet caught my eye

  20. bigmick 3 years ago

    NFL fan that’s got a decent chance might get on it myself. How about a chance on all over 275 yds at 5/1? Might go small stakes on that but over 250 looks like a decent bet tonight.
    I like both games to go over the points and I’m backing the double 2.63/1
    The cowboys d is so bad while the offense is really good and with Dalton they will still score plenty with his receiving options plus they got Elliott. Murray and Hopkins could have a field day against that d so I’m expecting a shootout.
    The chiefs and bills both coming off losses and neither d is that great. Both will be looking to rebound and the two qbs have been the top 2 in the AFC this season so far. Expecting Allen to have good run support as well as running himself as the chiefs really struggle against it. Mahomes and his offense can light it up more often than not and it will be interesting with the addition of bell if he plays much tonight though it’s hard to say. No Watkins could see hardman get more looks too.
    Prop bets chase Edmonds over 20.5 receiving yds 5/6 nap
    Singletary over 52.5 rushing yds 5/6

  21. nflfan 3 years ago

    Like the singletary yd’s chiefs struggling against the run 👍

  22. dj76 3 years ago

    Expecting a shoot out in the bills vs chiefs match tonight with the number 2 ranked passing offence coming up against the number 4 ranked one so it should hopefully lead to a high scoring game & with the stats backing it up i am all over the following bet

    Mahomes & Allen each to have 1+ passing TDs in each half 3/1 @ PP

  23. TDTips 3 years ago

    Like the per half bet.

    Chiefs v Bills should be a cracker, glad it’s a 10pm kick off for us in the UK.

    Do think the o250 and probably the 275 should be good bets too.

    I’d imagine the Cowboys give Zeke more of the ball, but Dalton really isn’t a massive downgrade fron Dak, the books had a 6 point change I think that’s an over-reaction personally.

  24. dj76 3 years ago

    Another bet that’s caught my eye on the bills vs chiefs game is a RequestABetSpecial @ Skybet

    Each team to score 2+ TDs in each half 11/1

  25. TDTips 3 years ago

    Wow. The Cowboys just can’t keep hold of the ball, another 2 fumbles lost by Zeke, dismal

  26. nflfan 3 years ago

    The NFC least who wants it laughable any off the 4 teams could go 6 and 10 and get a home play off game 😂

  27. bigmick 3 years ago

    Thursday night going to be interesting game at least one of these teams pick up a win. I’d say the eagles are the better team and ran a couple of good AFC North teams close recently while the giants don’t have much on offense with Barkley out. Sanders looks to be out for the eagles though so could come down to Wentz and Jones and who plays better on the day 😂 my first thoughts but will take a better look at that one Thursday. Man that division is so bad right now you’re right NFL fam could go 6-10 and make the playoffs, would be funny if they won a playoff game too. Still think it’s between the eagles and cowboys but if the giants or skins can beat their rivals when they play them they could sneak it as it’s wide open because none of them are that good ATM.

Leave a reply

Get £20 In Free Bets at The Pools

18+, UK only. Deposit and place a £10 cash bet at single or accumulated odds of 1/1 or greater and we will give you £20 in free bets. Applies to first cash bet only. Free bets credited as 4 x £5 bets to use on 3x Any sport& 1x Virtuals. Cashed out, Void or ‘Draw No Bet’ wagers do not qualify for this promotion. Free bets are credited upon qualifying first bet settlement. 7-day free bet expiry. Available once per customer. Full T&Cs apply.

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit BeGambleAware.co.uk

About MFT  |  Support  |  Contact Us  | 18+  BeGambleAware Privacy Policy  | ©2024 12th Man Media Ltd.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account

This website uses cookies for analytics. By using this site, you agree to our use of cookies. Read out Privacy Policy here