A CLEAN SWEEP for me on here last week with the Ravens covering, Zeke and Zack Moss both scoring and Cordarrelle Patterson bringing home the receptions bet with ease.

Let's go for another one this week!

I've done a separate preview for the London Game this week and plan on doing that next week too.

NFL Week 5

There's some cracking games on the slate tonight, Packers v Bengals on Sky should be great, but the late slate is brilliant, Cowboys v Giants, Cardinals v 49ers and finishing off with the Chiefs v Bills which could decide the AFC #1 seed despite it being a game so early in the season.

Best Spread

I am finding the spreads really difficult this week, I was expecting to like the Packers -3 against the Bengals but the more I dug into that one the more I can see both teams going point for point. There's a couple of big spreads, the Vikings and the Bucs being favoured by 10 each, and the Vikings is tempting despite that against the Lions.

But I fancy the Titans to bounce back against the Jaguars. They suffered and embarrassing defeat against the Jets last week where they had no wide receivers available with Julio Jones and AJ Brown both ruled out, it meant that backup running back Jeremy McNichols led them in rec. yards, that's never a good sign.

It's not much better tonight but AJ Brown will be playing and that should be enough to get them back to winning ways. It adds a target which they'll probably mainly use to set up the running game, great for Derrick Henry who tends to detroy teams in the AFC South. I'm expecting 150+ and a 2 TDs from him against a very poor Jaguars defense.

The Titans defense is poop, and that will give Trevor Lawrence time to find his man, but I think the Titans will be able to out-score the Jags here.

Titans -4.5 – 10/11 (Most)

Best Total

I missed out the total bet last week and it paid off with two winning TD scorers, but I'll give it a go this week as I said above, I think the Packers and Bengals can go toe-to-toe, Rodgers v Burrow, a glimpse into what the Bengals have got for the future.

The Bengals defense has actually been very good so far this year and they welcome back Chidobe Awuzie and Jessie Bates to strengthen the secondary,  but they've not played anyone like Rodgers yet and it's rare that he's kept in check all game, so I think they'll be able to put up points, and on the other side of the ball the Bengals will have Joe Mixon limited, so should, in theory have to pass more and that's where the Packers lack strength with Jaire Alexander ruled out.

I can see at least 24 apiece and hopefully the Bengals hitting 30 despite the fact they've not needed to so far. WHODEY!

Bengals v Packers o51 – 10/11 (Most)

Best TD scorer

A couple on my list as always, Damien Harris for the Patriots, Justin Jefferson for the Vikings, Kyle Pitts in the early game for the Falcons as they don't have anyone else there.

I'm plumping for Harris at 11/10 for the Patriots. He's the only real running back on that roster and they're big favourites against a Texans team who were shut out against the Bills last weekend. Obviously I don't expect them to put up zero, or for Mills to throw 4 interceptions two weeks in a row, but the Patriots defense is good and should be able to give the team some positive field position to start in.

Mac Jones has been the best of the rookie QBs this year although he's not been asked to be expansive, so they'll matriculate their way down the field and that bodes well for Redzone carries for your best running back. It worked last week with the Zack Moss bet, in the end, and I'll go back to that well here.

Damien Harris – 11/10 (Paddypower)

Best prop

I was tempted to go a little left-field here with a longest reception prop, either on AJ Green or Jamarr Chase, but I'll leave that for other blogs. Trey Sermon has a very low rushing line with Eli Mitchell back for the 49ers, but having a running QB in Trey Lance should help both of those guys to get some yardage tonight.

However it's another running back I'm looking at in Derrick Henry, and while I think he'll top his rushing yard line of 116.5 I can't be touching that, so I'll go for his receiving yards instead which is set at 16.5. It's the first year he's really been used deliberately in the passing game and he's had at least 19 yards in each of the 4 games they've had this season. He tends to have good numbers against the AFC South so I'm relying on that trend continuing here.

Derrick Henry o16.5 rec. yards – 10/11 (365)

20 Comments
  1. nflfan 2 weeks ago

    Hi all
    Like the enhanced TD scorer at 11/2
    On skybet Henry Titans Jefferson Vikings
    Adams packers
    Short ml treble Vikings Titans and cowboys pays 11/8 general
    🍀🍀 good luck all

    1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      I like these mate. I added patriots ML for a hair under 2/1. Gl mate.

  2. Inches 2 weeks ago

    I put this up on Thursday on last weeks thread.

    Putting early teaser up

    Rams ML 🍻🤸
    Cardinals ML
    D.smith O4.5 receptions
    WFT +10
    Cowboys -2
    7/1

    1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Adam i took your picks without Henry receptions yards added jefferson anytime. Think I got 6/1 good luck.

    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Devonta Smith brw

    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Wow mate that was close lol. Cmon the boys now. Cheers.

      1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      WFT beat by 11 points

  3. nflfan 2 weeks ago

    WFT beat by 11 points

  4. Inches 2 weeks ago

    Bet builder
    Hopkins attd
    Hopkins O75.5 rec yards
    Cardinals ML
    Cardinals win by 1-13 points
    7/1

    1
  5. Inches 2 weeks ago

    Bet builder.
    Cee dee lamb attd
    Cheers dee lamb O 70.5 rec yards
    Golladay O 62.5 rec yards
    Elliot O 16.5 rec yards
    Cowboys winning margin 1-13
    26.5/1

    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Lost Golladay injured 1st half and no Elliot rec yards.

  6. nflfan 2 weeks ago

    Some wild finishes
    Got to say
    Don’t know any other sport we’re momentum can change so much in a heart beat
    As they say on red zone the 4 th quarter
    The witching hour were loses become wins and wins become loses
    Amazing

    1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      🤣 yep. Mental. I backed the eagles in play. Only 11/2 but well happy. Can’t believe those finishes. I got every field goal going my way. Just mental. My bet is down as WFT got beat by 11 lol can’t win them all. I’ll be over the moon with a cowboys win and Jones rushing 30+ yards

      1
  7. Inches 2 weeks ago

    Such a shiit 1 for saquon. Freak accident, guy has no luck. Hope he comes back stronger, would be sad if he didn’t fill his potential because of injuries.

  8. Inches 2 weeks ago

    Not good for Jones rush yards. He’ll prob not be back in the game after that.

  9. Inches 2 weeks ago

    Bet builder
    Hopkins attd
    Hopkins O75.5 rec yards
    Cardinals ML
    Cardinals win by 1-13 points
    7/1
    🤸🤸🤸🤸
    WINNER

    1
  10. nflfan 2 weeks ago

    Well done again inches
    One winner for me again small profit
    Jefferson let the Td scorer bet down
    Henry and Adams both scored 🍀

    1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Mate great wee bet you put up glad I followed although pats made me sweat for it lol. Unlucky with the td treble. WFT beat by 11 really annoyed me, still can’t believe that td before ht. Anyway another lovely profitable weekend.

      1
  11. nflfan 2 weeks ago

    Well in Adam aswell the winning thread 👍👍

    1
    • Inches 2 weeks ago

      Well in Adam aswell the winning thread 👍👍

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