NFL Week 12 – Kareem Hunts down some receptions.

Just 1 of 3 last week as Michael Thomas had 8 catches from 11 targets, we needed one more to land that, the Ravens comfortably covered the spread at home to the Texans and are in the running for this weekend too as they play the Rams in LA on Monday night.

Bet 1; Lions to roar in the capital.

For some weird reason there was a lot of money for the Redskins against the Jets last week, I have no idea why and it proved fruitless as they were spanked convincingly. The Lions lost to the Cowboys but put up plenty of points and looked good doing it. It's a battle of two backups, Dwayne Haskins for the ‘Skins hasn't looked good in his time and is arguably the worst starting QB this week, while Jeff Driskel for the Lions has half a season of experience and showed far more poise last week for the Lions. He's good on the ground and can throw a pretty pass. Even more convincing for the Lions is that they actually have people to pass the ball to with Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and even TJ Hockenson all good targets. Haskins has the likes of Terry McLaurin (actually quite good) Paul Richardson, rookie Kelvin Harmon and a bevy of poor tight ends. They will run the ball a lot though with Peterson and Guice. But I think the Lions win comfortably here.

Pick; Lions -4 @ 1.90 (365/most)

Bet 2;  Kareem Hunt o3.5 receptions.

This is a pretty easy one to write up, the Browns should win this game easily, they're up against one of the worst defenses in the league both defending the run and the pass. They do have one decent cornerback though, he'll probably be put on Odell, but they're susceptible to short passes so Landry should have a good game, second to that short passes to Kareem Hunt out of the backfield should be utilised as well. Since returning from suspension Hunt has shown to be the pass catching back with 6 and 7 receptions in his two games for them.

Kareem Hunt o3.5 receptions – 1.83 (365/Skybet)

Bet 3; Julio Jones 100 rec. yards and a TD

Just the one bookie for this one, but I'm fairly confident of these two things happening so happy to stick with it on Skybet. Julio loves playing the Buccs, last season against them he ended up with 144 and 138 yards in the two games against them and a TD in one of those two… He's not actually scored since week 3 which is ridiculous for someone as good as him. This should be a high scoring game and while Ridley got all the yards and a TD last week, I think it will be a bounce back to Julio being the main man in this one. I wouldn't be shocked to see him around 150 and 2 TDs to be honest.

Julio Jones 100+ yards and a TD – 3.00 (Skybet)

Bet 4; Jacob Hollister anytime TD

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks like targeting the tight end, and since Will Dissly went to IR they have been using Hollister as their main man in that spot. He's scored 3 in his last 2 games, and despite the signing of Josh Gordon still got 10 targets, 8 receptions and a TD last week. They're at a weakened Eagles team who have been decent against WRs in recent weeks but at the odds we're getting here I'm happy to have a half stake on him to find the endzone again.

Jacob Hollister anytime TD – 6.00 (365) – half stake. 

I really want to write up the Bengals winning on the moneyline, but I just can't bring myself to do it. It's the best chance they've had this season so far, but it would be typical of the Bengals to lose to a bunch of backups led by one of the worst QBs in the league. I do like o4.5 sacks in that game though. WHO DEY!

Summary

• Lions -4 @ 1.90 (365/most)
• Kareem Hunt o3.5 receptions – 1.83 (365/Skybet)
• Julio Jones 100+ yards and a TD – 3.00 (Skybet)
• Jacob Hollister anytime TD – 6.00 (365) – half stake.

Good luck if you're on, some match previews over on tdtips.com if you've got a bit of time to read through them.

Adam, @TouchdownTips

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