APOLOGIES for the lack of a Thursday post this week but I thought it would be a stinker and I didn't have any feelings towards anything either way. I was leaning to the under which landed but it wasn't a game I wanted to bet on.
I've had a great start to my time on MrFixitsTips so hoping that can continue tonight. You can read my full preview of the Game of the Week between the Chiefs and the Ravens here.
Bet 1 – Raheem Mostert o13.5 receiving yards – 1.83 (5/6 Bet365)
The 49ers strolled into the Queen City last week and destroyed the Bengals. It was game-planned to perfection and showed them using a 3-headed backfield with Breida the main runner, Jeff Wilson the Redzone guy and Raheem Mostert used more in the passing game where he looked electric.
He blew away from Bengals defenders on a big TD run and had a couple of others too so I'm surprised to see his line set so low at 13.5 for this one tonight. The Steelers defense hasn't been anything to be worried about so far.
Bet 2 – Taysom Hill anytime TD – 7.00 (6/1 Bet365)
This is a bit of a leftfield bet, but it's one I'm strangely and worryingly confident in tonight.
Drew Brees is out injured for 6-8 weeks so it looks like Teddy Bridgewater will be starting at QB, however, the head coach Sean Payton is one of the best offensive minds in the league and he's been effusive in his praise for Taysom Hill as a swiss army knife, and he's already got him a receiving TD this year.
I wouldn't be shocked to see him in for nearing 50% of the snaps in some kind of manner tonight.
Bet 3 – Mark Andrews anytime TD – 3.50 (5/2) (Paddy Power)
5/2 for a guy who's scored in both games so far against a team who are historically quite bad at defending the tight end? That's a cracking price.
Andrews has shown himself to be Lamar Jacksons favourite target so far with 8 receptions and over 100 yards in each of the games played, and a Touchdown in each of them as well.
The only little worry is that he's been hampered with a foot injury this week but should be good to go tonight in what should be a high scoring game.
Bet 4 – Under49 points – Chargers v Texans
I always feel I should have a standard market bet mixed in with the props and this is the one for tonight. The Chargers scored 10 points last week, the Texans 12.
Neither offensive line is capable of stopping a decent pass rush and these are two of the better defensive fronts in the league with JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus for the Texans and Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram for the Chargers, both should have success tonight and I'm surprised to see this line being one of the bigger of the week.
Good luck if you're following anything tonight, Adam (@touchdowntips)