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Thursday 4th December – Chelmsford

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16.30 – Mad Unicorn

17.00 – Three Non Blondes

17.30 – Venetia

18.00 – Nemov

18.30 – Baba Reza

19.00 – Havana Gila

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I was nowhere near the money with Wednesday's selections. Both ran very poorly, and not a lot more needs to be said.

I had a sneaky feeling Dunboyne was high in the handicap, and it looked to be that way with how he performed at Haydock.

Carrigmoorna Rowan might have returned too quickly on the back of a solid, stable debut effort, and will definitely be better with a rest. He looked very leggy on ground, which wasn't that soft.

Ebony Jade 6/1 (1pt) – Market Rasen 1.50

Even though Ryan Potter's horse at Haydock didn't bag me a winner yesterday, and ran badly, I'm giving another chance to one of his runners on Thursday.

This race is competitive, despite being a 0-100 Class 5 handicap hurdle.

I was very close to going with East Eagle, but I think the Sean Bowen factor edged me towards Ebony Jade, as well as other reasons.

Ryan Potter has won this race three of the last five years, which is a fantastic strike rate. One of the years he didn't win it was because he didn't have a runner, and the other year he had a horse finish second, losing by a neck. Evidently, this is a race he targets.

Ebony Jade has been passed around yards like a hot potato, which is a concern. He made his stable debut 42 days ago and was pulled up. Not ideal.

However, he was strong in the market after showing very little on his runs prior, and he lost two shoes that day. Chances are that he needed the run, and he has been freshened up for this race, which is a target race for the trainer.

Sean Bowen has a solid 19% strike rate when riding for Ryan, and with him being the best jockey in the country, I think his mount is worth a shot at solid odds.

Pilsdon Pen 10/1 (1pt) – Wincanton 2.40

I think this race all boils down to whether Kalif d'Airy is well-handicapped as an unexposed chaser, and if Toothless is ready to fire first time up in 571 days.

If the answer to both of the questions is no, then I believe Pilsdon Pen is the one who could mop up the pieces.

Joe Cotton, the other Jeremy Scott runner, is much shorter in the market. However, Lorcan Williams is the main jockey for Jeremy, so seeing him side with Pilsdon Pen suggests that he is the one to be on, and the long absence isn't to worry about.

He is a dual course and distance winner, and won a Class 3 chase at this venue in January 2024 against some useful horses like Bourbali. That win also came off the same handicap mark that he runs off today.

If he is fit, he is too dangerous to ignore.
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3 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Nice one Rizzel

    5
    • Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

      Cheers Dazz, hope you’re doing well.

  2. duncanpoundcake 2 months ago

    Edergole’s Gift 7.30 Chelmsford 20/80 4,places GL

    1

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