The weather completely ruined the Lucky 15 bet on Saturday.
We were left with one runner, so apologies if you were following, as that meant you had a single rather than any type of multiple bet.
Warwick was abandoned, which saw two of the runners removed from the Lucky 15. Welcom To Cartries was a non-runner at Kempton, which left us with Rare Edition, who was very poor.
Bridge 8/1 (4pl) – Fontwell 4.00
Cast's Tasha was very nearly a selection on his last start, but I felt like he was on a tough handicap mark. He went close, and has since gone up a further 3lbs, so I've got to stick to my guns.
Bridge ran a corker on his return to racing, after a 500+ day layoff. He didn't look in need of the run, but he more than definitely would have come on for it, as getting a horse 100% race fit from a layoff that size is nearly impossible.
He was a decent flat handicapper in the low tier of flat racing for Brian Meehan and ran okay for Gary Moore when he was a juvenile. He seems to like this track, running well last time and winning when being a three-year-old.
This trip is worth a try, and the ground should be fine for him. The yard was firing in winners prior to Christmas, so there's no reason to believe they aren't still in good form.
What What What 13/2 (3pl) – Chelmsford 1.42
It's a long journey from North Yorkshire to Essex for this stable, and they have sent three horses down. I think What What What has the best chance.
The two at the top of the market are there for a reason. The favourite is on a hot streak and could still be ahead of the handicapper despite shouldering a 10lb penalty. However, he ran yesterday and has had a lot of racing in recent weeks, so surely a burnout is coming.
What What What has been running well in defeat, and I think he isn't far away from winning his second race.
He didn't last home over 6f on his penultimate start, and last time out, he didn't have the 7lb removed from Lewis Chalkley, but still ran well. With Lewis back in the saddle, and a strong pace likely over 5f, I think he has more than a squeak.
Twilight Guess 8/1 (2pl) – Chelmsford 2.42
Three On A Thursday has been in good form, but ran yesterday, so I fully expect him not to run in this. Seraphic ran well last time out, but I'm not a huge fan of the jockey, so I wanted to chance Twilight Guess.
He won a couple of times on the turf last season when his handicap mark dropped. He hasn't won since, but returned from two months off with a solid effort over today's C&D in October.
His handicap mark has dropped 1lb for that run, and he now gets Harry Vigors in the saddle, who takes off 7lbs and is riding well for an inexperienced jockey.
Tolstoy 16/1 (4pl) – Chelmsford 3.42
Another yard that has a long way to travel is the Brian Ellison yard. They send two down to Chelmsford, and they must have a solid chance, as Ben Robinson has come down for the rides.
Tolstoy was a big improver when Brian first got hold of him. He ran well during last summer but didn't get his head in front. Towards the back end of the season, he started to fade and probably needed a break.
As a result, his mark has dropped significantly, and he is well below his last winning rating, which gives him a solid chance if he were to bounce back to form.
GambleAware