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Hokelami should be renamed to Honking as that performance was up there with one of the worst. I don't think the jockey looked bothered, never really asked the horse for a big one, and considering the horse met every fence not on a stride, makes you wonder whether they really fancied it today. Samuel Spade put that wrong right when winning under Beau Morgan which looked very unlikely turning for home. He was detached from the main group but found turbo after jumping the last and scooted many lengths clear. Big fan of that ride.

Taunton 4:20 – Celtic Art 11/4 (1pt, Bet365/WilliamHill)

I think it often pays dividends to back a horse from an in-form yard, as you know for a fact the stable has their horses in great shape and is clearly running them in the right races, so Celtic Art gets my vote in a competitive Class 3 hurdle at Taunton.

Jeremy Scott can do very little wrong at the moment, he has fired in 5 winners from his last 9 runners in the last fortnight which is a 56% SR, which includes a Cheltenham Festival winner with Golden Ace in the Mares' Novices' Hurdle and he has two runaway victories at Exeter yesterday. Celtic Art surely comes into this race with a huge chance on the back of a very good run over today's C&D behind a progressive horse from the Hobbs & White stable and then a good yardstick from the Nicholls yard in second spot. Celtic Art was a further 8.5L clear of the fourth and ran a cracking race and should prefer this drop in grade which is a 0-130 from the 0-140 from last time. On paper, it was a 0-132 last time out, but today's 0-130 is effectively a 0-124, and with the horses towards the top of the weights looking very vulnerable and being very out of form, I thought that Celtic Art looked a solid bet.

The Walford horse seems to have seconditis and doesn't win often, with 6 runners spots to her name since she last won a race. The Edmunds horse is the main danger as I do rate the form from Ascot when behind Titan Discovery and he ran well last time out on heavy ground which probably wasn't to his liking, but Celtic Art has proven himself against better horses and with the Scott yard flying, it's hard to look past him.

Newcastle 3:35 – The Paddy Pie 7/1 (1pt)

I've stuck up The Paddy Pie a couple of times this year and though he hasn't done much this season and is evidently on the decline, I'm going to give him one more chance.

This small field should allow The Paddy Pie to dictate the pace and Ross Chapman should be allowed to get an easy lead and knowing that Ross gets a great tune out of this horse I think he is very dangerous to look past in this race off a career-low mark of 97. Though he hasn't been at his best this year I did think his run at Doncaster in a Class 4 (0-120) was a good effort and a repeat of that run could make him difficult to beat. The Racing Post rating he got for that race would completely disagree with what I just said, but he ran better than the 14L loss to Prairie Wolf would suggest. The form of that race looks strong and given the way The Paddy Pie put in a challenge a couple of fences from home makes him a bet in this race. The winner was evidently very well handicapped and has been a winning selection for me the last two times, and since that win at Doncaster, he has won off 123 and 130, with his latest start being rated as 141 by the Racing Post. The runner-up of the Doncaster race has won since (three days ago) and did it quite comfortably. The 3rd and 5th has both won since, so that form line looks bulletproof.

Last time out The Paddy Pie was racing over 3m 1f on soft ground which was never going to bode well, even with the market support he attracted when going off at 9/2. He does his racing over today's trip and four of his five career wins have been at this distance, one of them came in this race back in 2020 when it was a 0-120, but it is now a 0-110. He made all on that day, which is what I'm hoping for today, and it came on soft ground, which shows that he does handle the slower surface which he will be getting at Newcastle.

He was ahead of Ritson when the pair met at Doncaster, the Menzies horse has plummeted down the ratings so this could be a plot job, but on all known form he should struggle to finish ahead of The Paddy Pie despite the pull in the weights. Hello Judge does his best at Carlisle as we've seen on a couple of occasions this year, so has to be taken on at the prices. The other two don't really stand out like they're extremely well handicapped off their current ratings.

Horse Racing Tips
Celtic Art
Taunton - 4:20 pm

11/4 @ Bet365

The Paddy Pie
Newcastle - 3:35 pm

7/1 @ PaddyPower

15 Comments
  1. hibee1 1 month ago

    Very quick share of one I’m on today

    Dawn Of Liberation 6.45 Southwell 4/1

    Dropped to 7f which is key here. Dropped a 1b. Only 2nd run for yard. Dropped in grade. Yards horses running right up to form, only 2 of last 9 runners finished outside top 3. Yard had 4 winners at Southwell this season.

    Have a good one everyone

    6
    • Deb2000 4 weeks ago

      Surprise surprise DOL is nowhere near 4s.
      What happened to the 4/6 shot
      Wake up everybody

      11
  2. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Mc Rizzel ! “ red hot Jeremy Scott “ your wasted on here mate 😂 hopefully he will scoop the pot for us Lot 😝

    2
  3. gazman 4 weeks ago

    dawn of liberation was 4/1 on first show and has been backed so fair play .

    4
  4. skyfly 4 weeks ago

    Pal has sent me this, and he has sent a few decent ones recently, so shared….

    445 Southwell
    Coiled

    Mad market in this race, though
    It was backed into 7s last night before drifting way out today and now coming back in.

    Like I say… thought I’d post.

    5
  5. spursman 4 weeks ago

    Taunton 2.50
    Diesel Line 10/1
    Small E/W

    This is the price I got earlier so not sure what it is now

    Small L15

    2.20 T A Mere Bagatelle
    3.20 T Fortune Forever
    3.05 N Raceview Road
    4.20 T Celtic Art

    🙂

  6. Super Wilf 4 weeks ago

    Ryan’s Rocket 🚀

    Thank you

    GGTTH

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Bags of profit on that one 😂

      2
    • recoba 4 weeks ago

      Well 3 out of 4 ain’t bad an forecasts M.

      Yeah well done AGAIN Recoba that’s a few times!” 😂 🖕

      🇺🇸 a-Ok

  7. Super Wilf 4 weeks ago

    It is in a double with beneficially yours

    😂

    2
  8. elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

    Jane du berlais 4-50 Taunton
    18-1 ew 4 places bet365

  9. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    I wonder if you get gay horses

  10. recoba 4 weeks ago

    Well done the winners today! 👍

    🇺🇸
    Decent last night but that’s all I’ll say.l as 2 terrible picks. 🤷

    Philadelphia -Race 9…Pistol Liz Ablazen 10/3 ***+
    Combo forecast Numbers = 3 -4 – 7- and 5 at a push.
    Mahoning -Race 6..Broadway Sky 13/8 Skybet boost ****
    Will Rodgers Downs…Race 4..Patriotic Doty 11/8
    Race 4 …Expecting The Blues 5/2
    Im quite keen on this or rather I really would be more so as it’s from my tracker BUT ‘ sloppy ‘ conditions at Will Rodger just now. Can wait till closer the off

    GL 🫡 🇺🇸

    2
    • recoba 4 weeks ago

      Well 3 out of 4 ain’t bad an forecasts M.

      Yeah well done AGAIN Recoba that’s a few times!” 😂 🖕

      🇺🇸 a-Ok

  11. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Huxley pig oink oink 🐷

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