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I don't think I could have picked out a worse two selections for Sunday if I tried.
Bolsover Bill was dreadful, and from a very early stage, the writing was on the wall. The horse didn't jump any fence with conviction and was pulled up a mile from home.
I Am The Moon was always a risk on chasing debut, and she didn't look confident over the fences. She was slow and jumping safely, which is not what you want, as too much energy was exerted getting too high.
He Knows Better 9/2 (1pt) – Huntingdon 12.50
There are a few in this race who could return to form and win, and there are others who could progress for the step up in trip. I think if He Knows Better stays the trip, he is the most likely winner.
My fancy hasn't run over this far, so it's an unknown. However, his recent run over fences was a good effort until he fell.
The form of that race appears to be the strongest on offer, and with the Warren Greatrex yard firing on all cylinders, it's hard to go against his decision of upping him in trip.
Top weight makes this a harder task, but he was carrying a decent weight last time out and looked comfortable.
Lunar Ocean 10/3 (1pt) – Huntingdon 1.20
This is a very poor race, and is full of horses that aren't serial winners. My selection, Lunar Ocean, hasn't managed to win a race in his career to date, but he has been knocking on the door multiple times.
We're going to need Lunar Ocean to be ready first time out this season as he hasn't had a run since July, which was a shoddy effort over hurdles. The poor effort isn't anything to worry about, as he isn't as good over the smaller obstacles.
Despite not winning, he has gone close over fences, and the form of his runner-up finishes is very good in comparison to the form of the others in this race.
Gavin Sheehan is riding well at present, and Billy Aprahamian has had a fair few winners since the turn of the new season, so I'm expecting a nice return to the track.
GambleAware