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It's time for the best day over the Christmas Period, so get stuck into the shed load of racing we've got in store on Boxing Day. Tuck into your Turkey sandwiches which have been left over, slouch on the couch and have a great day. As always, put your fancies in the comments.

Kempton 1:20 – Giovinco 11/4 (1pt, WilliamHill)

I'm hoping that Giovinco is fresh enough to do himself justice as he only ran at Sandown 18 days ago when finishing as runner-up to Stay Away Fay, but I think it was obvious he blew his own chance away in that race.

Stay Away Fay is a horse who stays very well, and for me he has to be targeted at the NH Chase over 3m 6f at the Festival as he would win that race, but for the 3m Novice race (Brown Advisory is it called these days?) I think the Irish horses would smoke SAF. So, in theory, it wasn't a bad performance to be outstayed by the Nicholls horse, especially when Giovinco was a bit too keen through the race and never dropped the bridle. Now he's back on a slightly sounder surface on a speedster track I think he has a great chance of winning this race against totally different horses.

Hermes Allen was a good winner on chase debut at Newbury, he is an ex-Grade 1 winner, but if you look through his form, is he really that good or has he been flattered? I think the latter is true as the run at Aintree in the Grade 1 which saw him back in 3rd looks fairly shoddy for the top level. Irish Point is a good horse, but Kateira was second and she's been woeful in her two starts this season. Il Est Francais is overhyped in my opinion. I tipped him up a couple of times last year and he delivered, but his wins have come in weak races and when he was stepped up he got battered, he relishes heavy ground which he won't get and has to prove he stays this far. The yard from France has sent a couple of runners to the UK with big reputations and they've been battered, so I wouldn't touch him with a barge pole.

bet365

Aintree 1:05 – Florida Dreams 14/1 (0.5pt EW, Bet365)

For the inaugural Tolworth hurdle running at Aintree, I thought that Florida Dreams was worth an EW bet on ground which would be very testing.

It's going to take a lot to get home at Aintree today, the ground is soft and the going stick suggests it's going to produce some extremely slow finishes, so having a horse who can finish a race off is probably going to be needed. It's obvious that Florida Dreams hasn't set the world on fire since moving to hurdles from his Grade 2 bumper win at this track, but I think he is a horse who will relish when upped in trip, so the stamina I think he has, he can put that to use with a strong finish to run down the horses ahead of him to land a Grade 1.

This is probably not a vintage renewal of this race, but it looks wide open and the odds suggest many of these can win this. Florida Dreams does his best work at the finish of his races as we saw with his bumper run at Musselburgh where he showed a crazy turn of foot at the finish to put the race to bed. He was off the bridle just after turning for home at Aintree in the Grade 2 bumper, he was brave to nip up the inside and he stayed on strongly to win that day, and on his last hurdles run he did the same, with the front two pulling well clear of the rest. I think that a return to Aintree will be a big positive for him, it has a long straight which will help him reach top gear and at the odds, I think he is being massively overlooked.

Aintree 1:40 – Classic Lord 6/1 (0.5pt EW 3pl most big firms)

This is obviously a step up in class for Classic Lord but on the basis that he's been winning over 2m and 2m 1f yet looking like a better horse over further, he can take this step up in class in his stride.

As i previously mentioned, this is going to be very testing so having a horse who handles the conditions is going to be a MUST. Classic Lord has won two on the bounce on heavy ground, albeit in novice races, but I thought his win when carrying a penalty last time out at Bangor was a smooth win and a win which looked like he'd have no problems in handicaps. For his handicap debut running out of the weights by 5lbs, he gets 7lb claimer Daire Davis on board, so he isn't running out of the weights and running from a racing weight of 9st 9lbs on what will be close to heavy ground looks a very smart decision from the Tim Vaughan yard.

The form of his novice wins looks decent enough for him to be very competitive in this race as he battered Intimate who has since finished a close 3rd on his next start. I'm expecting a nice performance from this horse who could be ahead of his mark by a fair margin based on his flat form when trained by Andrew Balding, which saw him reach a peak rating of 90.

Sedgefield 12:15 – Imperial Measure 9/4 (1pt, WilliamHill)

I get the feeling a lot of people who are looking at the smaller cards for Boxing Day will fancy their chances on backing Imperial Measure.

I do try and stay away from backing horses from this yard as they pick and choose when they want to try with their horses. However, the form this horse has in the books looks far too strong for him to be running off a mark of 90 and he should have more to come from this low mark for a 5yo. The form of the Exeter run behind Asian Spice has produced winner after winner, ranging from the top places right down to horses who were tailed off. He was then ridden very cold at Taunton, which saw him go off as favourite, which is surprising as it must've been a fake gamble produced by the bookies as Adam Wedge is normally mustard when the money is down from the Evan Williams yard. The winner turned out to be well-handicapped and went on to win again, with the front three in the next race pulling well clear of the rest.

It's interesting that this horse has turned up at Sedgefield on Boxing Day, which is a day when many yards like to land a ‘Christmas gamble'. Evan has a 21% SR at this track and I think this lad could take some stopping if they are really trying this time around.

Sedgefield 2:35 – Duo D'Enfer 5/1 (1pt, Bet365)

I really do think that Micky Hammond has a good chance in a few races on Boxing Day, but this race stood out to me as his most likeliest winner of the bunch with Duo D'Enfer.

This doesn't look a strong race, with only a couple really having outstanding claims, but I just thought that the drop back to 2m 3f for Duo D'Enfer would be enough for him to secure a win. Tom Creen has to be respected at a track he loves, and he should be classed a course specialist, but I don't think he's on the best of handicap marks these days, whereas I thought Duo D'Enfer ran a belter in a better race at Wetherby over a trip which was too far last time (3m). He went through the race nicely, but you could tell he was running on empty approaching the last couple of fences, and towards the finish he was shattered.

This horse is looking well-handicapped on his French form where he did most of his running over this trip or similar, given that he is now 107 rated but was producing ratings of 127 and 120 on testing ground over 2m 3f.

Market Rasen 2:57 – O'Connell 9/2 (1pt, Bet365)

I was a bit gutted that I didn't go with my head when O'Connell last ran at Market Rasen as I did think he was on a good handicap mark but the 12st he was carrying that day put me off, but he ran out a ready winner and I think he has plenty left in the locker for a race like this Lincolnshire National.

He is unexposed at this trip, he has to prove he stays this far, but given that top weight carrying performance over 3m where he wasn't stopping at the line I think he can be even better over this type of trip. Though his win was in a lower grade, I thought his run prior to that at this track behind a very well-handicapped horse was a great effort, and with them coming here twice, it seems like this race has been the plan for some time.

The yard are in great form now after starting the season off very slowly, and towards the foot of the weights, I think he has a great chance.

Horse Racing Tips
Giovinco
Kempton Park - 1:20 pm

11/4 @ William Hill

Florida Dreams
Aintree - 1:05 pm

14/1 @ Bet365

Classic Lord
Aintree - 1:40 pm

6/1 @ Bet365

Imperial Measure
Sedgefield - 12:15 pm

9/4 @ William Hill

Duo D'Enfer
Sedgefield - 2:35 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

O'Connell
Market Rasen - 2:57 pm

9/2 @ Bet365

60 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Kempton
    1-20 I’ll est francais 🇫🇷 2-1 (paddy power) NAP 🏇.

    2-30 hewick 16-1 ew 2 places and bigger stake 10-1 ew extra 3 places

    6
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Aintree
      12-30 ridersonthestorm 6-4.
      Goes well fresh and has won here more than once before.

      13-40 ted Hastings 14-1 ew 3 places SKYBET
      Fatty Elliott hasn’t sent this over for the leftover mince pies 🎅

      14-50 heros 7-2
      This Venetia Williams nag is 2/2 over fences and won in this class last time and today at least 9 pound off all the others.
      The 2 principals chasing fire and tamahuras are decent animals but the concede 20 pounds to heros ⚡

      2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Well done Elvis looks like you win bet of the day with Hewick 💰💰

  2. lossie jim 2 months ago

    Wetherby 12.27 Tom Cody

    4
  3. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Gulfstream – Race 4…Whealinanddealing 8/1

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Bet your spiced right up by now 😂

  4. recoba 2 months ago

    I’ll take that ⬆️

    🇺🇸 🍊

    Gulfstream -Race 6…Mclovin 11/4 *** pulled out last week but gets ground and 2 miles
    *Wee combo forecast = 5-7- 4
    Race 7…Darley Darling 5/2
    *Combo forecast = 1-7-5
    Race 8…Get The Candy 4/1
    Race 9…Super Chow 4/5
    Race 10…Street Lute 4/6. Double with Super Chow?

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I did darley darling I can see why it lost now you jinxed it ! 😂 luckily I did Ashima and dark and Fitzy also did smoke wagon which came second ! A better jockey would have brought that one home glad I took sp as I did it early this morning so could nt get a price I thought once the first 2 came in I was going to at least get 3 out of 4 with darley darling being my main one to be fair but was a let down prob one for next time never mind hopefully better luck on Boxing Day with so many races even us on here can surely pick out 1 winner 😂

      1
  5. smoothsailor 2 months ago

    Frankelcence in the first at Bethlehem Downs tomorrow is a cert.

    1
  6. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    3:05 kempton- court in the act 7/2

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      11:45 sedgefield- panhandle slim 7/2

      2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      3:10 sedgefield- back door flush 11/10

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      3:10 sedgefield- back door flush 11/10

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      1:15 market rasen – Anna Harvey lad 7/1

  7. double carpet 2 months ago

    Things haven’t been going to well for me the past couple of months but I won’t bore you with the details, after all it’s Christmas and a time of joy with quality racing to look forward to over the coming days.

    Looking forward to seeing Mirazur West at leopardstown but from a betting angle I’ve gone for the following

    Conspire River 25/1 ew 6 places 1.45 leop

    Has some good maiden form mixing it with horses now rated in the 130’s to 140’s so running off 115 might just be generous.

    King George

    If the Allaho that we all know turns up then it won’t even be a contest but I wasn’t impressed with his comeback run and on that ground it was hard work and might have left a mark. BMG’s prep has been poor and I can’t back him based on that either but Nicholls has won the race so many times you just can’t discount him.
    Shishkin’s prep has also gone wrong but at least he comes here a fresh horse and is 3-3 at the track and he’s also the only horse in the field that won’t want to be at the front so can get a nice lead and let the others burn themselves out. It’s a risky bet but I can just see him finishing the strongest.
    I also like Hewick at bigger odds and will have a saver on him. He was running a cracker in the GC before falling 2 out and 3 miles on a flat track on decent ground is right up his street.

    Shiskin 4/1
    Hewick 14/1

    I might have a go on a few more on the day but for now I’ll leave it at that.

    Merry Christmas everyone 🎄

    17
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Got to say I was worried by your absence recently mate, sorry to hear things ain’t been good recently.
      Don’t be afraid to post your issues here, it’s good to talk as they say and sometimes you can find solace and often sound advice for those on your side as I’m sure we all are here.

      Chin up mate and try enjoy the festive season best you can DC 🎅🇮🇪

      Ps
      Glad you fancy hewick too, I mentioned him above, any rain will dampen bravemansgame’s chances of a repeat win maybe ?

      13
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Merry Christmas to you sir , wishing you good health , thanks for your efforts over the years

      2
    • Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

      Hope you’re well DC.

      6
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Thanks guys, rather than clog up this thread as I’m sure it’s going to be a busy one, I’ve posted an update of my wellbeing on the previous days thread.

      3
  8. jimba 2 months ago

    🎅Happy Christmas🌲 everyone👍

    5
  9. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    10:00 Hyderabad- DAS 4/1 surely to god !

  10. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    🤶🛷🎄🎅🎁⛄🌲🤶🛷🎄🎅🎁⛄🌲

    Remember to cherish your families today and also remember whatever gifts are thrust upon you , your health is your wealth.
    You can’t buy that !!

    Nadolig llawen I chi gyd aye 🎅👍

    Merry Christmas to all 👍🎅

    🤶🛷🎄🎅🎁⛄🌲🤶🛷🎄🎅🎁⛄🌲

    12
  11. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    realization 11.55 did win with a good few lengths and escapes a penalty

  12. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    Merry crimbo

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Hope you got the flesh light with handle bars you were after 😂

      3
  13. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    the real whacker 2.30 ew did beat a good horse so worth a ew bet check out a few more tomoz

  14. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    The dreaded NAP trap !!

    1
  15. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    15:20 wetherby- transatlantic 6/1 nap 😂

    1
  16. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    loughglynn 1.33 nap

    3
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Whitman , price , hadadd 😂

      1
  17. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    mothill 2.00 nb

    2
  18. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    I’ve managed to narrow it down to 10 selections for all of todays meetings that’s not to bad 😂

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Put them all on one post to make it easier for us planks to enjoy 🤣🎅🏇

      3
  19. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    12-30 aintree
    ridersonthestorm 6-4.
    Goes well fresh and has won here more than once before.

    1-20 kempton
    I’ll est francais 🇫🇷 2-1 (paddy power) NAP 🏇.

    1-28 wincanton
    No hubs no hoobs 3-1
    Won this last year and carries just 10-2 with the claimer 5 pound today

    13-40 aintree
    ted Hastings 14-1 ew 3 places SKYBET
    Fatty Elliott hasn’t sent this over for the leftover mince pies 🎅

    2-30 kempton
    hewick 16-1 ew 2 places and bigger stake 10-1 ew extra 3 places.

    2-33 down royal
    Vaucelet
    11-4 top 3 finish bet365 (single)
    12-1 ew extra 4 places
    Went off favourite for the hunter at Cheltenham and came 7th, ran with credit after at punchestown and Stratford finishing 2nd on both occasions, trainer has several entered including odds on favourite ferns cross .
    The 14-1 SP price looks huge here !!

    14-50 aintree
    heros 7-2
    This Venetia Williams nag is 2/2 over fences and won in this class last time and today at least 9 pound off all the others.
    The 2 principals chasing fire and tamahuras are decent animals but the concede 20 pounds to heros ⚡

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Forgot to add vaucelet also won this race last year 🇮🇪

      1
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Very impressive NAP Elvis. Must enter BANC equations now.
      Only defeat was to Theleme (stayers hurdle) who must now look a bet for that race.

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      On theleme a month ago DC 5-1 👍

  20. double carpet 2 months ago

    Other bets for today

    11.55 Aintree Cherie Dam 2/1

    Really should be winning this off 115

    12.40 MR Asta La Pasta 6/4

    Yard have a good record in the race and should be better suited to the ground conditions

    BOL

    3
  21. double carpet 2 months ago

    Oops forgot 2 others

    Farren Glory 3/1 1.05 Aintree

    Already a grade 1 winner even if the Royal Bond wasn’t the strongest of renewals.
    The French horse though has been hammered in the betting.

    Search for Glory 5/2 1.33 limerick

    Elliott runs 2 as its a race he usually targets and SFG’s form would be superior to Stellar Story’s

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      This was on my hit list got the rubber stamp of approval now Cheers 👍🤞💰

      1
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Both win 👍

      1
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Think it’s fair to say Farren Glory would have pissed that

      1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I think you jinx it sometimes when you watch these races counting the money in your mind then they fall haha it does make you wonder if they practice how to fall off horses somewhere at a secret location 😂

  22. Gateacre Pete 2 months ago

    Merry Christmas all. Hope you all had a good day yesterday.
    An optimistic ew lucky 15 today for me today.
    Sea Invasion 3.05 Kemp @ 50s
    Timourid 1.45 Leap @ 80s
    Villa Celina 3.45 Deau @ 33s
    School Lane 1.58 Down @ 33s
    GL with all your bets today 🤞

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I admire your optimism! You ve landed big numbers in the past no reason why not today ! I’ll have a dabble on yours ! Gl 👍🙏🤞💰

      1
    • Gateacre Pete 2 months ago

      Good luck dazzman 🤞

      1
  23. spurs55 2 months ago

    Al Kalila @ 28/1SP

    Win – 11.40 Down Royal

    1
  24. double carpet 2 months ago

    Es Perfecto in the first at Kempton is becoming a backable ew bet at 13/2.
    Was 2nd to Ginny’s Destiny on his chase debut and GD followed up that win at Cheltenham nto.

    Also the Kauto Star looks a really good race.
    Il Est Francais is the best horse in France according to some and Hermes Allen was impressive on debut and should be even better over this trip.
    Neither though have ever raced right handed so it will be interesting to see how it pans out.
    One to watch for me

    1
  25. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Pan handle slim !! 😂💰💰

    1
  26. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Nice nap Elvis thanks for that one ! 💰👍

    2
  27. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Think Elvis wins bet of the day hands down ! I was on shitkin which looked a good prospect at one point bookies clean up again. ! Ha

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Cheers dazzler
      Good stake at 10s and smaller stake at 16s.

      DC was on it too which is always a good thing 🇮🇪

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Yep he was , I let the shorter price persuade me to pick shit kin but who knows if he never fell may of had a good forecast ! Yep not a bad day at all

  28. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Azz had a nice double also nap / nb both came in ! The money was on the thread today if you could bundle the right ones together which is harder than it looks sometimes

    1
  29. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Court in the act 😛

    1
  30. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Bit of an up and down day managed to pinch a few winners off here which always helps . Poor old rizz must be chocking on his turkey sandwiches

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Sorry just noticed he had 1 . You can stop chocking now 😂😂

      1
  31. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Bet you had Welsh charger Elvis surely a easy name sake there

  32. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Race 4 gulfstream- Alexandra’s song 3/1 thought I’ll put it up before spice boy puts his lay bets up 😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      4/1 with the drift I’ll take that all day long 💰💰💰

      3

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