ATLETICO MADRID have performed miracles to edge ahead of Real Madrid and Barcelona in the title race and stay in contention to win the Champions League.
Their success adds an edge to tonight's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg at the Bernabeu.
Real's run of 10 wins in a row as ended by a 1-1 draw at Athletic Bilbao at the weekend and star man Cristiano Ronaldo was red carded for a bit of petulance.
That ban will be served in league games so he's available on Wednesday and Gareth Bale could return from his latest injury.
So despite Sunday's draw and Atletico's rise to the top I'm on Real to make it 13 home wins on the spin and take a lead to the Vicente Calderon.
Real, unbeaten in 21 games, have been defending superbly with just one goal conceded in nine games so Atletico are guaranteed an away strike.
Half of the last four meetings have been over 2.5 goals and half under so it's a difficult call on that market.
Atletico beat Real in last season’s final and beat their neighbours in the league early in the campaign but they've won just five of the last 29 showdowns. I can't see Real losing three in a row so back them for the win.
The other semi-final features Barcelona at home to Real Sociedad. Barca are just 1-7 at Hills and Ladbrokes.
But having scored 14 in their last four home meetings with Sociedad – including 4-1 this season – they should cover the -2 handicap at 10-11 with bet365 and Ladbrokes – despite losing at home to Valencia at the weekend.
(10-11, William Hill)
Ronaldo to score first