GERMANY are World Cup favourites and should prove their credentials away to Northern Ireland tonight.
The Irish have clinched second spot while the Germans will win Group C so this should be a decent and open game with both sides enjoying the occasion.
Michael O'Neill's men have once again performed above their standing and their only defeat came in Germany. They've made Windsor Park a fortress again and have scored in 15 of their last 17 matches there.
Germany are packed with quality and on their day can put several goals past teams such as the Irish. Don't think it will be a rout though but can see the visitors winning 2-1 or 3-1 so back Germany and over 1.5 match goals at around 1-2.
The other games in the group are meaningless so Azerbaijan v Czech Republic is a no bet while Norway should win by at least three in San Marino. Tough to find value here with Norway and over 3.5 match goals a possibility at 7-10 with Ladbrokes. It was 4-1 in Oslo.
In Group E the big game is Montenegro v Denmark with the sides locked on 16 points with an identical goals record – three behind leaders Poland who should win in Armenia. Interestingly the Poles have a worst goal difference than their rivals.
The final games see Montenegro go to Poland and the Danes entertain Romania so this should go to the wire.
Tonight's result is tough to call but both sides should be going to goals and I'm on both to score at 13-15 with Ladbrokes.
Poland are no bigger than 1-4 and it's pretty short but with Robert Lewandowski on the pitch they're usually good for goals so take the Poles -1 at 8-11 at Unibet.
For my Top Treble I'm adding England to score 2+ and there's a separate preview of the game on another post.
The dead rubber in Group F is Malta v Lithuania and as bad as the Lithuanians are they should avoid defeat and probably win. Malta have lost eight of our but only conceded 21 compared to the likes of 38 by San Marino and 37 by Gibraltar.
They are minnows who can defend a bit but Lithuania beat them 2-0 at home for their only win so could add another. The are a best 43-30 at sportingbet and under 2.5 match goals is likely at 8-15 with Marathonbet.
2pts Top Treble
- Germany & over 1.5 match goals
- Montenegro v Denmark btts
- England to score 2+
- (16-5, BetStars)