The Saint Greg Browning’s Tips: Bookies have got this wrong

HAD a good look through Saturday's card – already waiting for Mexico for the other half of my double and going to follow the same approach as the Peru game.

Before that there’s a match from Sweden that’s caught my eye.

Degerfors v Varnamo (5pm)

When I looked at this match I was expecting the hosts to be at best 1-2 given they are 10 points better off than Varnamo and playing a side rooted to the bottom of the league and who have lost the their last 3 games 3-1, 0-4 and 4-1, so I was surprised to see Degerfors as big as 10-11.

They come into this in good shape with two wins and two 2-2 draws from their last four games and look good value to continue their form against the league's basement boys. The bookies don’t often get it wrong but I feel they have here.

• Degerfors (10-11, Betway) (NAP)
• Over 2.5 match goals (16-19, 188Bet)

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Mexico v Scotland (1am, Sun)

Mr F and I are on the same page here again when it comes to Scotland’s hopes. Peru were my NAP -1 and I'll be on the Mexicans to make it another comfortable win against Scotland. The Mexican win will also land my 4-5 double of Scotland to lose both games. Scotland won’t even land a blow here. Mexico will win – it’s just a case of how many.

• Mexico -1 goal (17-20, Coral)

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