Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Man City to add further pressure on Chelsea

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Liverpool vs Fulham

Liverpool’s home profile remains strong, averaging 1.65 NPxG and producing 17.13 shots per game, with 4.87 on target. Across the last eight they hold 13.62 xPTS and create 12 big chances, showing sustained attacking threat.

Fulham arrive with competitive numbers, posting 1.70 xG across the last eight and 13.30 xPTS, but defensively they allow 1.30 xGA and concede 6.4 shots in the box. Liverpool’s recent games are high event, with 75% over 2.5 and 100% both teams to score across the last four.

Fulham also show balanced output, creating 8.5 shots in the box while conceding 6.8. This points towards an open game with chances at both ends. Liverpool’s higher shot volume and ability to sustain pressure should prove decisive, but Fulham’s attacking consistency suggests they will contribute

• Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

Sunderland vs Spurs

Sunderland come into this in mixed form but with a clear boost after beating Newcastle last time out. They are safe from relegation in their first Premier League season, though results since late January show four wins from 15 games.

Underlying numbers reflect a competitive but open profile, with 1.63 xG and 1.51 xGA across the last four, alongside 5.8 shots in the box and 8.0 conceded. Across the last eight they hold 9.68 xPTS but continue to allow high volumes, conceding 11 big chances.

Tottenham arrive in poor condition. A 3-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest led to Igor Tudor leaving after seven games, with Roberto De Zerbi now in charge. Their league form is weak, just two wins in the last 22, and defensive numbers remain a concern with 1.94 xGA across the last eight and 10.0 shots in the box conceded.

Sunderland’s attacking output combined with Spurs’ defensive instability suggests chances at both ends. With Spurs in transition and Sunderland carrying momentum from their last result, the hosts hold the edge in a high event game.

Score 2-1 at 17/2 with Skybet

Brentford vs Everton

This sets up as a tight and competitive match driven by contrasting trends. Brentford’s home data shows strong process but poor results, with 8.76 xPTS across the last four compared to just two points.

They average 2.09 NPxG and allow 0.95, alongside 8.3 shots in the box and seven big chances created. Everton arrive with nine points from their last four but only 6.88 xPTS, suggesting overperformance. Their away numbers show 1.59 xG and 1.63 xGA, conceding 7.0 shots in the box.

Across the last eight both sides are similar in output, Brentford 11.85 xPTS and Everton 12.39. The key difference is control, Brentford create higher quality chances while conceding fewer big chances. Everton remain competitive but allow too much territory. This points towards a marginal home edge in a game where both sides can contribute.

Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Palace’s recent record highlights clear attacking issues despite stable underlying numbers. They have gone W3-D4-L8, scoring just eight goals, which aligns with a modest 0.87 xG across the last four.

Even across the last eight, while they post 13.23 xPTS and 1.66 xG, that has not translated into consistent goal output. They produce 7.6 shots in the box but lack efficiency in front of goal.

Newcastle arrive with mixed away form at W4-D4-L7, with wins coming against weaker opposition such as Burnley and Spurs. Defensively they remain vulnerable, conceding in 10 of their last 12 away games and allowing 2.14 xGA across the last eight, alongside 14 big chances conceded.

This sets up a balanced game. Palace lack cutting edge, while Newcastle struggle to control games defensively. With both sides showing attacking limitations but consistent defensive exposure, chances should still come at both ends without either side dominating.

Score 1-1 at 6/1 with Skybet

Chelsea vs Man City

Chelsea’s recent form adds clear downside despite strong underlying numbers. They have won just one of their last six Premier League matches, including draws with Leeds and Burnley, and were eliminated from the Champions League with an 8-2 aggregate defeat to PSG.

That context reflects instability, with pressure on the manager and signs of disruption within the squad. While they still post strong metrics, 1.82 xG and 7.02 xPTS across the last four, results are not matching performance.

Manchester City arrive in far stronger condition. They have beaten Arsenal and Liverpool in recent cup matches and across their last 20 Premier League games hold a W12-D6-L2 record. They are unbeaten in eight and continue to post elite underlying numbers, 2.00 xG and 1.14 xGA across the last eight, alongside 14.86 xPTS.

Chelsea still create chances, averaging 8.3 shots in the box, but City match that with 9.8 and maintain far better control. With superior form, consistency and fewer off field issues, City are better placed to dictate the game.

• Score 1-2 at 15/2 with Skybet

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

Forest’s home numbers highlight low scoring but limited control. Across the last four they average 1.00 xG and 1.43 xGA, returning five points from 4.37 xPTS, while producing 6.5 shots in the box and conceding 7.5. Across the last eight they post 8.22 xPTS with 1.66 xGA and 10 big chances conceded.

Villa arrive with stronger underlying performance, posting 5.56 xPTS across the last four and 11.94 across the last eight, alongside 1.18 xGA and just five big chances conceded in that run.

Forest have scored once across their last six at the City Ground, which limits their attacking ceiling despite relatively stable defence. Villa’s stronger balance and ability to manage games gives them the edge in a low margin contest.

Score 0-1 at 8/1 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a 345,932/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Man City to beat Chelsea 2-1 and Liverpool to beat Fulham by the same score line. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 67/1 with Skybet.

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