Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Villa continue to suffer after exodus of players

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Everton vs Crystal Palace

David Moyes built a solid defensive base at Everton last season, with their home xGA of 1.38 ranking inside the Premier League's top 10. They kept six clean sheets across 19 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium, although a home xG average of 1.18 showed there was still plenty of room for improvement in attack.

Crystal Palace arrive after one of the most disruptive summers in the division, losing both their head coach and director of football. Pierre Sage takes over a side preparing for a Europa League campaign earned through last season's Conference League victory, but without the continuity that underpinned that success.

Palace's away numbers were respectable, averaging 1.36 xG and 1.28 xGA, although they failed to score in more than a quarter of their league matches on the road. Everton were also involved in tight home games, with 47% finishing under 2.5 goals, compared with 37% of Palace's away fixtures.

Everton's defensive structure and Palace's upheaval point towards a low-scoring game, with the hosts looking slightly better placed to edge it.

• Score 1-0 at 7/1 with Sky Bet

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United

Oliver Glasner's appointment at Nottingham Forest has been well received, particularly after the club's underlying numbers suggested their performances last season were better than their final position. An unexpected Europa League run placed extra physical demands on the squad, although their home data still showed clear attacking limitations.

Forest averaged only 1.27 xG at the City Ground and conceded 1.48 xGA, with both figures sitting in the bottom half of the division. Their home fixtures averaged 2.26 goals, the lowest total recorded by any Premier League club, which regularly made their matches tighter than the result market suggested.

Leeds produced stronger underlying away numbers than their results indicated, averaging 1.34 xG and 1.37 xGA. Those figures were closer to mid-table standard than relegation form, but they still struggled to turn competitive performances into victories.

Neither club has made major additions this summer, with both relying on continuity and coaching changes to improve their results. Forest's low-scoring home pattern and Leeds' tendency to remain competitive on the road point towards another close contest, with neither side holding enough of an advantage to justify predicting a winner.

• Score 1-1 at 5/1 with Sky Bet

Brentford vs Spurs

Tottenham begin the season with Roberto De Zerbi entering his second campaign, no European football to manage and a rebuilt midfield following the arrivals of Sandro Tonali and Mateus Fernandes. Their away numbers last season were less alarming than their 17th-place finish, averaging 1.26 xG and conceding 1.36 xGA, with both figures close to the middle of the division.

Brentford bring a stronger and more established home record into the fixture. They averaged 1.72 xG last season, the third-best home attacking figure in the Premier League, although their 1.46 xGA showed they remained vulnerable defensively.

Keith Andrews has strengthened his squad, while a 7-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt in their final pre-season friendly suggested their attacking sharpness remained intact.

Both sides created and conceded chances regularly last season, making an open game likely. Tottenham's investment should improve them over time, but a rebuilt midfield and De Zerbi's attacking approach could leave space during the early weeks. Brentford's continuity, home advantage and stronger attacking numbers give them the edge in a match where both teams should score.

• Score 2-1 at 8/1 with Sky Bet

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

Manchester City's home numbers were among the strongest in the Premier League last season, with their 1.78 xG and 1.17 xGA both ranking second in the division. Those figures provide a strong base for Enzo Maresca, although defeats against Arsenal in the Community Shield and a K League All Stars side have added uncertainty to his opening weeks.

Bournemouth also produced strong numbers away from home, averaging 1.52 xG, the fifth-best road figure in the league, while conceding 1.37 xGA. Their pre-season results have been more encouraging than City's, with Marco Rose's side scoring freely against a range of opponents.

The main concern for Bournemouth is the amount of change behind those performances. Andoni Iraola left for Liverpool during the summer, while Junior Kroupi has been ruled out for around 12 weeks at the start of the campaign.

City retain enough attacking quality and squad depth to make home advantage count, but Bournemouth's away output suggests they should create chances of their own. Maresca's early defensive work remains unproven, making a comfortable City clean sheet less likely than the match odds suggest.

• Score 3-2 at 14/1 with Sky Bet

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Newcastle against Liverpool carries one of the strongest goals signals on the opening weekend. Newcastle averaged 1.41 xG and conceded 1.46 xGA at home last season, but the overall pattern was far more significant than either figure in isolation.

Both teams scored in 79% of Newcastle's home matches, the highest rate in the Premier League, while those fixtures averaged 3.47 goals, another league-high figure. They kept only three clean sheets across 19 home games, giving them the second-worst home record in the division by that measure.

Liverpool travel with strong away data after averaging 1.64 xG and conceding 1.24 xGA, ranking third and fifth respectively. Andoni Iraola is still settling into the job and Mohamed Salah has not yet been replaced, but Liverpool remain one of the strongest attacking sides in the league.

Newcastle have suffered the heavier disruption, losing Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes and Anthony Gordon during the summer. Matthias Jaissle must rebuild the team around those departures, which increases the defensive uncertainty against elite opposition. Newcastle's home scoring record should still give them chances, making a high-scoring draw the preferred outcome.

• Score 2-2 at 10/1 with Sky Bet

Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton begin with one of the Premier League's more reliable home records from last season, averaging 1.44 xG and conceding 1.38 xGA. Their defensive figure ranked sixth in the division, while their summer recruitment focused on specific improvements rather than a major rebuild, with Luka Vuskovic the leading arrival.

Aston Villa's away numbers were stronger, with an average of 1.39 xG and 1.19 xGA. Their defensive record ranked fourth among Premier League teams, but Unai Emery now has a thinner squad after losing Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans and Lucas Digne before the start of another Champions League campaign.

Villa's pre-season results reflected some of that disruption, with defeats in three of their final four warm-up matches, including losses against Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain. Brighton produced stronger attacking form during their preparations, although Thursday's European trip to Norway gives them a short recovery period before this fixture.

Both sides are well organised and possess enough quality to score, but Villa's departures leave them more vulnerable than last season's away record suggests. Brighton's home consistency and greater continuity give them a narrow advantage, despite the additional fatigue created by their European schedule.

• Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Sky Bet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 605,879 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back Everton to beat Palace 1-0 and Brighton to see off Villa 2-1. Combining these two games combined give you odds of 67/1 with Skybet.

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