We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest
Liverpool return to Anfield under pressure after seven defeats from their last ten games in all competitions, a run that has shifted the mood and raised the urgency for a response. The underlying process remains stronger than the results suggest. Across the last four league matches they post 1.63 xG and 1.16 xGA, with an xPTS total of 5.42 that places them ninth.
Their attacking volume stays consistent at 6.8 shots inside the box and four big chances, while the last eight fixtures rise to 1.85 xG and 1.39 xGA with thirteen big chances created. The broader metrics still point toward a side capable of sustained pressure at home.
Forest arrive with improved confidence after recording their second league win of the season, beating Leeds three-one in their last outing. Their recent indicators show competitive levels. Across the last four they return 1.62 xG, 1.04 xGA and an xPTS total of 7.73, ranking them fourth.
They generate six shots inside the box and create seven big chances, offering a clearer attacking threat than earlier in the campaign. Their last eight drop slightly to 1.48 xG and 1.42 xGA with an xPTS of 11.38 that sits mid-table.
Liverpool hold stronger territory, superior home metrics and higher big-chance creation. Forest’s recent lift improves their outlook but the expected-data profile still leans toward the hosts.
- Score 3-1 at 10/1 with Skybet
Bournemouth vs West Ham
Bournemouth return to home action aiming to stabilise after an uneven run shaped by mixed underlying numbers. Their last four matches show 1.16 xG and 1.85 xGA, creating a supremacy of -0.68, while an xPTS total of 3.55 places them around mid-table for that stretch.
The attack remains functional at 4.5 shots inside the box and five big chances, but defensive concerns persist. They concede 9.3 shots inside the box, and the last eight games at 1.06 xG and 1.51 xGA underline a side that still struggles to control space in transition.
West Ham arrive in better spirits after winning back-to-back league games, a run that has pulled them close to the teams above and leaves a draw potentially enough to lift them out of the bottom three. Their underlying numbers remain fragile.
Across the last four they post 1.45 xG and 1.86 xGA with an xPTS of 5.31, a return driven more by clinical moments than sustained control. The defensive profile is the key worry. They concede 9.3 shots inside the box and allow seven big chances. Their last eight show 1.18 xG and 1.92 xGA, ranking near the bottom for defensive process.
Both sides carry structural weaknesses, especially without the ball. Bournemouth offer slightly more balance at home, while West Ham’s recent results mask a process that still lacks stability.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
Wolves vs Crystal Palace
Wolves host Crystal Palace in a meeting shaped by contrasting momentum and a significant change in the home dugout. Wolves arrive under a new head coach after collecting two points from eleven league games, creating urgency inside the stadium and a clear need for immediate improvement. Recent output highlights the scale of the challenge.
Across the last four they post 1.03 xG, 1.93 xGA and an xPTS return of 4.62, a bottom-third profile. They concede 8.3 shots inside the box and seven big chances, while their attacking record shows they scored in four of their five home fixtures, with only Manchester City shutting them out.
Palace travel with stronger indicators and a more stable process. Their last four deliver 1.23 xG, 0.98 xGA and an xPTS total of 6.61, a level around sixth. They allow only 4.3 shots inside the box and concede three big chances, offering clear defensive control.
The broader eight-game sample strengthens their case, returning 1.72 xG, 1.14 xGA and an xPTS position near fourth. Their away results include goals at Everton and West Ham, confirming consistent threat against mid-table opponents.
Wolves expect a lift from the managerial change and the atmosphere will reflect the situation, but Palace arrive with firmer structure and cleaner underlying numbers.
- Score 1-1 at 11/2 with Skybet
Newcastle vs Man City
Newcastle host Manchester City in a game shaped by contrasting trends in recent weeks. Newcastle’s underlying numbers have drifted, with their last four league matches returning 0.96 xG, 1.82 xGA and 3.40 xPTS, a run that ranks eighteenth.
The broader eight-game picture is stronger at 1.22 xG, 1.43 xGA and 10.00 xPTS, which places them tenth, but the short-term drop highlights issues in defensive stability and territory control. Even so, St James’ Park remains a reliable platform.
Newcastle have scored in eighteen of their last twenty home league games, and the only two home clean sheets this season came against the current bottom two, indicating both threat going forward and vulnerability at the other end.
City arrive with clearer structure and higher process levels. Their last four games show 1.49 xG, 0.99 xGA and 7.57 xPTS, a profile that ranks fourth. They generate 12.3 shots inside the box and produce four big chances, numbers that point to sustained pressure and repeatable chance quality.
The last eight matches strengthen the case further with 1.41 xG, 0.87 xGA and 14.35 xPTS, placing them second. Their xGA trend and big-chance defensive numbers remain among the most consistent in the division.
Newcastle will ask questions at home, but City hold the cleaner process.
- Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Leeds Utd vs Aston Villa
Leeds face Aston Villa in a meeting shaped by clear stylistic contrasts and specific defensive trends. Leeds bring steady attacking volume into the contest. Their last four matches return 1.22 xG, 1.45 xGA and an xPTS figure of 5.19, a mid-table level. They generate 7.5 shots inside the box in that spell and maintain consistent chance creation.
The broader eight-game sample strengthens the profile, with 1.33 xG, 1.34 xGA and 10.65 xPTS, ranking them tenth. Their defensive record at Elland Road shows sharp splits. Only six sides concede fewer shots on target at home, yet only two teams allow more shots inside the box, highlighting a low-volume but high-location concession pattern.
Villa arrive with a defensive-first shape. Across their last four they post 1.07 xG, 0.84 xGA and an xPTS return of 5.31, a level close to eighth. Their structure limits clear chances, and their xGA numbers remain stable. Over eight matches they produce 0.93 xG, 1.04 xGA and balanced big-chance figures at six created and five conceded, showing controlled territory and compact spacing between lines.
Leeds offer stronger attacking volume, while Villa rely on defensive order. The matchup points to Leeds driving territory and Villa sitting in controlled phases.
- Score 1-1 at 5/1 with Skybet
Arsenal vs Spurs
Arsenal and Spurs meet in a local derby shaped by contrasting data trends and important team news. Arsenal arrive with elite underlying numbers. Their last four return 2.12 xG, 0.54 xGA and an xPTS figure of 10.24, the best in the league. They average 9.3 shots inside the box, generate seven big chances and concede only two. The larger eight-game sample remains dominant, with 2.24 xG, 0.64 xGA and 20.08 xPTS, again first. Their control in SIB, big chances and touches in the final third places them at the top of every major metric. The concern is the injury list, which affects both defensive structure and attacking fluency. Several key absences reduce their first-choice stability in the back line and limit rotational options in advanced areas.
Spurs enter with mixed indicators. Their last four show 1.39 xG, 1.12 xGA and an xPTS figure of 6.61, a level around sixth. Across eight they post 1.33 xG, 1.33 xGA and 11.29 xPTS, a mid-table profile that sits below their league position. They create five to six shots inside the box and concede similar volumes, pointing to balanced but unspectacular output. Their away record remains strong, highlighted by only three goals conceded on the road.
Arsenal hold a clear process advantage, but injuries narrow the margins. Spurs offer resilience away from home, while Arsenal rely on their elite expected-data profile to dictate the game.
Score 3-1 at 11/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 329,471/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back both Man City ton win 2-1 and Leeds and Villa to claim a point each in a 1-1 draw. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 47/1 with Skybet.
Further Reading
- Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips
- Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction and Betting Tips
- Brighton vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips
- Fulham vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips
- Non-League Betting Tips: York to run riot at St James Park
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
GambleAware