We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Leeds vs Arsenal
Elland Road has been one of the most demanding venues this season, and Leeds arrive with numbers that justify their aggressive home reputation. Leeds have scored in 10 of 11 home league games and have found the net in 16 of their last 19 Premier League matches overall. Home xG stands at 1.52 with xGA at 1.28, producing a positive xG ratio and an xPTS total that ranks them among the stronger home sides. They have won the xG battle in all 11 home matches, underlining their control of territory.
Arsenal arrive with elite underlying metrics but defensive cracks have emerged. Away xG is strong at 1.74, yet recent matches show concessions becoming more frequent, including goals conceded in 10 of the last 13 across all competitions. Arsenal’s away both teams to score rate sits at 45%, but that rises when facing high tempo sides. Leeds average 13.36 shots at home, with nearly five on target, which stresses even strong defensive units.
Last eight game data highlights the contrast. Leeds have taken 11 points from the last eight with 12 goals scored, while Arsenal have collected 17 points but conceded eight goals. Leeds’ shot volume inside the box at home sits near nine per game, compared to Arsenal allowing 5.09 shots in the box away.
This points toward a competitive game where Leeds contribute on the scoreboard but Arsenal’s efficiency remains decisive.
- Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Brighton vs Everton
Brighton return to the Amex needing stability after a run of uneven results that has left them drifting in the lower half. Their home numbers show why performances have not always translated into points. Home xG sits at 1.46 while xGA is 1.51, leaving them marginally negative in chance quality. That balance has driven a high home both teams to score rate of 73%, supported by Brighton failing to score in only 9% of home games. Shot volume remains healthy at 13.64 per game, with 5.18 on target, but defensive shot suppression has been an issue.
Everton arrive with far more fragile metrics. Away xG is only 1.08 with xGA at 1.32, and they have failed to score in 36% of away matches. Their away shot output is low at 8.45 per game, while conceding almost 16 shots on average. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 18% of Everton away games, reinforcing a pattern of low attacking output rather than defensive control.
Recent form points toward Brighton having the territorial edge. Across the last eight games Brighton average 1.35 xG and 1.51 xGA, while Everton sit at 1.04 xG and 1.64 xGA. Everton have conceded nine big chances across their last eight, compared to seven for Brighton. The xPTS gap also favours the hosts.
Everton’s limited away threat and Brighton’s consistent chance creation point toward a narrow home win rather than a high scoring contest.
- Score 2-0 at 8/1 with Skybet
Chelsea vs West Ham
Chelsea return to Stamford Bridge in a fixture shaped by attacking volume rather than control. Their home profile shows consistent chance creation but defensive exposure. Home xG stands at 1.71 with xGA at 1.66, producing narrow margins in most games. Chelsea average over 13 shots per home match with 4.45 on target, while allowing close to ten shots against. That balance explains a home both teams to score rate of 55% and over 2.5 goals landing in more than half of their games.
West Ham arrive with one of the weakest away defensive profiles in the league. Away xG is only 1.12, but xGA rises sharply to 1.71. They concede over 15 shots per away match, including 5.64 on target, and have failed to score in 36% of away fixtures. Despite that, West Ham games remain open, with over 2.5 goals landing in 64% away from home and both teams to score in 55%.
Recent form leans toward Chelsea asserting territorial dominance. Across the last eight games Chelsea average 2.05 xG but also 2.11 xGA, reinforcing a high event profile. West Ham over the same period concede heavily, allowing 16 goals while scoring 10. Big chance data supports the same pattern, with West Ham conceding 16 big chances across the last eight.
Chelsea’s ability to sustain pressure at home should eventually overwhelm West Ham’s defensive structure, though concessions remain likely.
- Score 3-1 at 10/1 with Skybet
Liverpool vs Newcastle Utd
Anfield hosts a fixture that consistently produces goals without descending into chaos. Liverpool’s home numbers underline sustained attacking pressure. Home xG sits at 1.60 with xGA at 1.11, supported by an average of 17.64 shots per game and five on target. Liverpool have won the xG battle in nine of 11 home matches and have kept a clean sheet in four, showing control rather than outright dominance.
Newcastle arrive with a more fragile away profile than raw goal numbers suggest. Away xG is 1.28 with xGA at 1.04, but seven of their ten away goals came across two matches against Everton and Burnley. Outside those fixtures, scoring has been inconsistent. Newcastle have failed to score in 55% of away games and average just over ten shots per match.
Recent trends reinforce Liverpool’s edge. Over the last eight matches Liverpool post 1.46 xG and 1.10 xGA, while Newcastle sit at 1.72 xG and 1.11 xGA but with greater variance. At Anfield, 10 of the last 11 visiting sides have conceded at least one card and struggled to sustain possession, which aligns with Liverpool’s territorial control.
The head to head record also favours Liverpool at home, with multiple wins settled inside controlled score lines rather than shootouts. This supports a Liverpool win without the game breaking into extreme goal totals.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
Man Utd vs Fulham
Old Trafford stages a meeting between a Manchester United side building consistency and a Fulham team whose away numbers remain a concern. United’s home xG is 1.68 with xGA at 1.31, while they average more than 16 shots per game and over six on target. That attacking volume has driven a home both teams to score rate of 55%, but United have still won the xG battle in 10 of 11 home matches.
Fulham’s away profile explains their vulnerability. Away xG stands at only 1.10 with xGA at 1.30, and they concede over 12 shots per game with nearly five on target. Fulham have failed to score in 27% of away fixtures and have kept only one away clean sheet. Their xPTS away ranking places them in the lower half of the league.
Recent form strengthens United’s position. Across the last eight games United have taken 13 points, scoring 15 and conceding 12, while Fulham have also collected points but with a far weaker defensive trend. Big chance data highlights Fulham conceding ten across the last eight away games, compared to United conceding seven at home.
United’s ability to generate sustained pressure and Fulham’s away defensive fragility point toward a home win with goals at both ends.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
Spurs vs Man City
This fixture pairs a Tottenham side prone to volatility with a Manchester City team still capable of control despite recent inconsistency. Spurs’ home xG is 1.28 with xGA at 1.40, highlighting narrow margins. They average just under 11 shots per home match and concede a similar volume, contributing to both teams to score landing in 64% of home games and over 2.5 goals in 55%.
Manchester City’s away profile is more stable. Away xG sits at 1.63 with xGA at 1.12, and City average close to four shots on target per away match while allowing fewer than four. They have won the xG battle in six of 11 away fixtures, reflecting territorial dominance even when results fluctuate.
Recent form adds nuance. Over the last eight games City have taken 15 points, conceding just five goals, while Spurs have collected only six points and conceded 13. Big chance data reinforces this gap, with Spurs allowing ten big chances over the last eight compared to City conceding fewer than half that number.
Spurs may generate moments through transition, but City’s structure and ability to limit high quality chances should control the contest over 90 minutes.
Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 405,503/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Man Utd and Man City to both win 2-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 63/1 with Skybet.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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