We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Newcastle Utd vs Brighton
Brighton look the stronger side heading to St James Park. Newcastle have lost their last five in all competitions and are W6-D2-L12 across their last 20, conceding 2.1 goals per game. In the Premier League, they have won only three of their last 13.
The recent data is just as concerning. Across the last four games, Newcastle have generated only 1.64 xPTS and allowed 2.67 xGA. Over the last eight, their xPTS sits at 5.57, with 2.16 xGA and 15 big chances conceded.
Brighton arrive W6-D1-L1 across their last eight, conceding only five goals. They have 13.18 xPTS over that spell and 7.73 across the last four. Their last four away games brought 12 actual points, three clean sheets and only 0.79 xGA overall.
Newcastle’s set-piece threat is strong, but Brighton’s open-play control and defensive form make them the better side.
- Score 1-2 at 17/2 with Skybet
Wolves vs Sunderland
Wolves continue to profile as one of the weakest sides in the league. Their home numbers remain poor, with only 19.17 home xPTS and just five home xG battle wins from 17, a 29.4% rate. They also average only 1.00 xG at home and concede 1.58 xGA.
Recent numbers do little to improve the case. Across the last four games, Wolves have posted only 0.65 xG, 2.36 xGA and 0.93 xPTS. They have failed to score three times in that run and conceded nine big chances.
Sunderland are not flawless, but they look the stronger side here. Across the last four games they have produced 1.81 xG and 5.86 xPTS, while creating six big chances. Their away profile is still weak overall, but Wolves are giving opponents too many openings.
The match looks open rather than polished, with Sunderland’s current attacking output enough to edge it.
- Score 1-2 at 15/2 with Skybet
Brentford vs West Ham
Brentford look capable of turning strong underlying numbers into a home win. They rank fourth for home xPTS with 31.38 and have won the xG battle in 12 of 17 home matches. At the Gtech, they average 1.72 xG and 1.33 xGA, while producing 11.0 shots and 4.06 shots on target per game.
The short-term home data is even stronger. Across the last four home games, Brentford have posted 2.04 non-penalty xG, only 0.89 xGA and 9.38 xPTS. They have also created seven big chances and allowed none.
West Ham arrive with pressure around the relegation fight and sit only two points above the bottom three. Their away process is weak, with 1.20 xG, 1.56 xGA, 14.71 shots conceded and 5.41 shots on target faced per away match.
Brentford’s set-piece strength also matters, with 16.54 set-piece xG facing a West Ham side that has conceded 17 set-piece goals.
Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet
Arsenal vs Fulham
Arsenal’s home profile is the strongest in the league. They have won the xG battle in all 17 home matches, sit first for home xPTS with 37.53, and rank first for home xG ratio, shots on target ratio, shots in box ratio and touches ratio.
Their home attacking and defensive numbers justify a controlled win. Arsenal average 1.80 xG and only 0.81 xGA at home, while allowing just 1.88 shots on target and 3.47 shots inside the box per game. They have also kept nine home clean sheets, a 53% rate.
Fulham are competitive, but their away profile is modest. They average 1.15 xG and 1.30 xGA away, have failed to score in 41% of away games and rank only 14th for away xPTS.
Across the last eight games, Arsenal have 14.27 xPTS and 1.65 xG. Fulham have taken points, but the matchup is difficult. Arsenal’s control and clean-sheet base point to a home win.
- Score 2-0 at 6/1 with Skybet
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Bournemouth against Crystal Palace looks one of the more competitive matches on the slate. Bournemouth are strong at home in the underlying numbers, ranking sixth for home xPTS with 30.61. They average 1.66 xG at home and have won the xG battle in 13 of 17 home matches, a 76.5% rate.
Their recent numbers also support goals. Across the last eight games, Bournemouth have posted 1.82 xG and 12.35 xPTS, while both teams to score and over 2.5 goals landed in 100% of those matches. Over the last four home games, they produced 1.89 non-penalty xG and 8.02 xPTS.
Crystal Palace are dangerous enough to make this close. They have won 50.0% of their away xG battles and their away xG sits at 1.36 with only 1.19 xGA. Across the last four games, Palace have also been strong, with 7.17 xPTS and only 0.79 xGA.
Bournemouth’s home edge is narrow, but their attacking volume can prove decisive.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
Man Utd vs Liverpool
This looks the best game for goals. Manchester United’s home both teams to score rate is 65%, while Liverpool’s away both teams to score rate is also 65%. In the last four home versus away comparison, United’s home both teams to score was 100% and Liverpool’s away both teams to score was 75%, with an 88% combined both teams to score and over 2.5 profile.
United are strong at Old Trafford, ranking second for home xPTS with 33.14 and winning 15 of 17 home xG battles. They average 1.62 xG and 6.76 shots on target at home, the best home SOT figure in the league.
Liverpool remain dangerous on the road. They rank third for away xPTS with 26.33, average 1.60 xG away and have won 52.9% of away xG battles. Their away games also land over 2.5 goals in 71%.
Recent form keeps it tight. United have 13.30 xPTS over the last eight, Liverpool 11.60. Both attacks should land, but neither side looks safe enough defensively to trust.
- Score 2-2 at 9/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 384,369/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Brighton to win 2-1 at Newcastle and Bournemouth to beat Palace by the same score line. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 75/1 with Skybet.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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