IT'S always sad when a top striker leaves the Premiership and Louis Moult will be missed.
Punters made a pretty penny backing him to score in big games against the likes of Celtic and Rangers when his odds were higher than they should have been.
Motherwell will miss him most of course – and in fact they're missing him already. Moult netted a goal every two games for them and will be difficult to replace.
Crocked Moult's sat out the last two and Well have lost them at Hearts and Partick Thistle and now he's heading for Preston.
People will argue there's no such thing as a one-man team and key men Chris Cadden, Peter Hartley and keeper Trevor Carson were also missing in midweek and remain on the sidelines.
I tipped the Jags not to lose and that's the call when Moultless Well visit Kilmarnock today.
The sides are moving in different directions and Killie will close to within a point of their rivals with victory at Fir Park today.
Steve Clarke's men pumped Partick Thistle 5-1 last weekend and followed up with a battling draw at Ross County.
Killie have lost two in 10 and while they tempt at 11-8 with McBookie maybe it's safer going 8-11 draw no bet at Ladbrokes. Kris Boyd has netted three in two and is 21-10 with bet365 to again hit the target.
Going against this tip is the fact Well are unbeaten in 11 v Killie and have won on their last four trips to Rugby Park but the form the home men are in combined with the players Well are missing tells me to go against the head-to-head stats.
Rangers are going for five wins in a row and are 2-5 at home to St Johnstone.
The manner of their 2-1 defeats of Hibs and Ross County suggest it's too short so consider both to score at 13-12 with Unibet. A third 2-1 victory on the spin pays 8-1 at McBookie.
Big game today is Aberdeen v Hibs and it's a difficult one to call. With the Derek McInnes saga over the Dons have won their last two and while Hibs crashed to Rangers on Wednesday Neil Lennon described their display as “sensational”.
Lennon's been lamenting missed chances and this could be a low scorer. It was 1-0 to the Dons at Easter Road earlier in the season and under 2.5 goals at 23-18 with Unibet.
Celtic's unbeaten run has hit 69 and while there have been some recent hiccups I can't see them being stopped by Hearts tomorrow.
The Jambos have stopped the rot with wins against Well and Dundee but have lost 10 of the last 11 at home to the Hoops.
All bar one of those losses have gone over 2.5 goals. Celtic are 2-5 at Stan James but best bet could be Celtic and over 2.5 goals at evens with Ladbrokes.
Hearts have big injury problems too with key men Arnaud Djoum, Jamie Walker, Aaron Hughes and John Souttar all out while Rory Currie, Malaury Martin and Ashley Smith-Brown are also injured. Craig Levein will be forced to field some of his youngsters.
In the Championship St Mirren are evens with Marathonbet at home to a Dunfermline side who shipped five at home to QoS last week. Saints let us down last time at home against Dumbarton when they were reduced to 10 before the break and I expect them to make amends.
Inverness are 6-10 at William Hill and should use home advantage to dump Dumbarton.
The bottom two meet at Falkirk and I'd take them on against a Brechin side without a win this season but who are now proving hard to beat. Brechin are big at 7-1 with Marathonbet so try them not to lose at 15-8 with betfair.
After their goal-crazy show in Fife take Queens to contribute to an overs game when Dundee United visit Palmerston. This pays evens at Marathonbet.
Now for some great goal stats. League One leaders Ayr's last four games have totalled 16 and East Fife's 15.
Their previous four meetings at New Bayview have totalled 21 goals so the chances of over 3.5 look good at 8-5 with Marathonbet. I also like Ayr and over 2.5 match goals at evens with Ladbrokes.
In Scotland there are games off at Livingston, Alloa, Berwick and Cowdenbeath..
- Boyd to score
- Rangers v St Johnstone btts
- Celtic & over 2.5 goals
- St Mirren
- Brechin not to lose
- Ayr & over 2.5 goals