IT'S advantage Real Madrid with the Spaniards 2-1 up heading into tonight's Champions League semi-final decider.
Zinedine Zidane's side didn't play anywhere near their best in the first leg against Bayern Munich but still nicked the victory and will be looking to complete the job in style at a packed Bernabeu.
Real rested all their main men at the weekend and will restore them to the starting line-up tonight while Bayern are still missing key players in Jerome Boating, Arturo Vidal and Arjen Robben.
The Spaniards have won the Champions League in three of the last four seasons and their head-to-head record against Bayern is excellent with five wins in the last six meetings, including knocking them out in the quarter-finals a year ago.
Real were awful at home in the previous round, losing 3-1 to Juventus with only a late Cristiano Ronaldo penalty staving off extra time. But they should have learned their lessons from that close shave I'm backing them to edge victory tonight at 6-5.
Bayern of course have to score to have any hope of pulling the tie out of the fire and Real rarely draw a blank. Over 2.5 has landed in Madrid's last eight Champions League games, and 14 of Bayern's last 15, and same again is the call at 4-11.
To score any time
Ronaldo failed to net in the first leg but will again be the home side's main dangerman tonight. He netted in 12 consecutive games before the Munich blank and is on 46 goals for the season, including 15 in the Champions Leeague. Take him to bag a goal at 8-13.
Team to score in half
Bayern are likely to have to throw caution to the wind towards the end of this tie. They've scored in four of five away outings in Europe this season and are 8-15 to get on the scoresheet after the break.
The first leg saw 13 corners and last year's Bernabeu meeting totalled 17. In fact, the last five meetings have comfortable cleared the 10 corner mark so go for over that total tonight at 4-9.
Bet Builder Tip
- Real Madrid win
- Over 2.5 match goals
- Ronaldo to score
- Bayern to score in second half
- Over 10 corners
- (7-1, bet365)