Nottingham Forest v Wolves
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

, KO: 19:30 , City Ground
Wolverhampton Wanderers

There’s a massive game at the bottom of the Premier League table at the City Ground on Wednesday night as 17th-placed Nottingham Forest host rock-bottom Wolves.

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Nottingham Forest saw their four-game unbeaten run in the Premier League come to an end last Friday, as they were beaten 3-1 away at relegation rivals Leeds United, on an evening I landed a 4/5 winner.

With West Ham winning at Burnley the following day, Sean Dyche’s men come into this clash now just three points above the Hammers in the relegation zone.

Wolves suffered a third consecutive loss in the Premier League last weekend, as a Cole Palmer-inspired Chelsea left the Molineux with a 1-3 victory.

Rob Edwards’s men remain a massive 18 points adrift of their hosts, with relegation to the Championship more or less already guaranteed.

How the bookies view it: Forest favourites

Despite failing to win any of their previous four Premier League fixtures at the City Ground, Nottingham Forest come into this clash as favourites, with bet365 pricing a home success at 7/10.

Wolves are 4/1 outsiders to claim just their second Premier League victory of the season, whilst the draw is 14/5.

Head to head: Six unbeaten for Forest

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in each of their previous six Premier League meetings with Wolves (W2-D4-L0), including a 0-1 victory in the reverse fixture at Molineux in December.

However, the Tricky Trees have failed to win any of their previous nine matches against Wolves at the City Ground (W0-D4-L5), with each of the last four finishing in stalemates.

Players to watch: Another yellow for Yerson?

Yerson Mosquera has unbelievably been booked nine times across his 16 Premier League appearances for Wolves this season.

One of those cards came in the reverse fixture between these two sides at Molineux in December, and the 19/10 on offer at William Hill for the Colombian defender to collect another card on Wednesday night appeals to me.

Predicted line-ups:

Nottingham Forest will be without the injured Matz Sels, John Victor, Nicola Savona and Chris Wood, whilst defender Murillo is a doubt, but Neco Williams is available following suspension.

Wolves will be without the injured Toti Gomes and Hwang Hee-Chan, whilst midfielder Andre is a doubt.

Nottingham Forest: Ortega, Aina, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams, Sangare, Anderson, Hutchinson, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Lucca

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Sa, Doherty, Mosquera, Bueno, Bueno, Gomes, Bellegarde, Gomes, Mane, Armstrong, Arokodare

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Under 2.5 goals

The best bet for Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers based on the metrics point toward a low margin game with limited separation.

Nottingham Forest home numbers suggest control without cutting edge. Home xG sits close to 1.20 with xGA at 1.18, supported by around six shots inside the box and three shots on target per game. Home xPTS places Forest in the lower half, reflecting how often territorial balance fails to translate into wins. Their W-D-L profile at home shows draws feature heavily, with narrow score lines the norm.

Wolves away metrics mirror that pattern. Away xG sits near 1.05 with xGA around 1.30, while shots inside the box remain below six per match. Away xPTS also ranks bottom half, showing difficulty sustaining pressure for long periods. Wolves score through moments rather than volume, but their defensive numbers are stable enough to avoid heavy defeats.

Both sides rank bottom half for SIB and shots on target created, while conceding at similar rates. That balance limits the upside for high scoring outcomes. Best bets based on the data are under 2.5 goals and the draw. A correct score angle of 1-1 also fits the xG, xGA, and xPTS profiles from both teams. .

Anything else catch the eye?

Nottingham Forest come into this clash as favourites, but they seem a little too short for me, especially given they have failed to win any of their previous nine meeting with the Old Gold at the City Ground.

Prior to their 1-3 loss at home to Chelsea at the weekend, Wolves had seen Under 2.5 Goals pay out in each of their last four and in five of their past six Premier League encounters.

Under 2.5 Goals has also landed in each of Forest’s last three Premier League fixtures on home soil, and a repeat pays an appealing 10/11 at bet365.

Think you’ve found odds that look too good to be true? Explore our Value Betting guide and learn when a price is genuinely favourable.

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Betting Tips & Predictions
Yerson Mosquera to be Carded
19/10
William Hill
Under 2.5 Goals
10/11
Bet365
Further Reading
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