Norwich City vs Leicester CityEnglish Premier League, KO: 20:00 Feb 28, 2020, Carrow Road
IF Norwich are to mount a great escape they better get a move on but it's hard to see the Canaries sparking a shock surge towards safety with a win over Leicester.
Although Daniel Farke's men deserve plaudits for being easy on the eye, it's all about results at the highest level and Norwich have won just once in their last 14 Premier League games.
That dismal run has left them rooted to the bottom of the table, seven points from safety, and even the optimists at Carrow Road are starting to prepare themselves for a season back in the Championship.
Wolves crushed the Canaries 3-0 at Molineux last weekend but they have been harder to beat at home, with Liverpool the only team to defeat them in the league in their last four matches at Carrow Road.
I thought that clash with the Reds might be a tight one and that's how it transpired, although the Canaries bust my coupon by failing to score in the 1-0 defeat.
Now they face a Leicester side who remain a big threat despite going off the boil a bit recently. It's now four games without a win for the Foxes, although they were a bit unfortunate to lose 1-0 to Manchester City last time out.
Jamie Vardy hit the post early on while Leicester also had a strong penalty appeal for handball turned down so they were far from outclassed by City in a match where one of my three tips came up. Brendan Rodgers' men need a win to spark them back to life and should get it in East Anglia.
How the bookies view it
Leicester are unsurprisingly favourites at a best 10/13 with SportNation while Norwich are outsiders at 15/4 with Marathonbet. There's a chance this could end in a draw and that's a best 16/5 with Betway.
Recent head to head
Leicester are unbeaten in their last four games against Norwich, although the Canaries did gain a creditable 1-1 draw at the King Power back in December (below).
The Foxes won the three games before that, with their last trip to Carrow Road ending in a 2-1 win back in 2015.
Norwich's last win in this fixture came in the Championship, a 3-2 victory at the King Power in 2011. They also edged a 4-3 thriller at home in the same campaign.
Players to watch
Harvey Barnes came off the bench for Leicester in the defeat to Manchester City but should return to the starting line-up at Carrow Road.
The winger has four goals in his last eight games and looks good value at 57/17 with SportNation for anytime scorer.
I love watching Norwich kid Todd Cantwell and he has added an end product to his game this season. The winger is 3/1 with 888Sport for a goal against Leicester.
Anything else catch the eye?
Five of the last six meetings between these sides have resulted in a one-goal winning margin and I can see this being close again. A one-goal winning margin for either side pays 6-4 with Betway here.
Both these sides are easy on the eye and rarely resort to sticking the boot in so I'd be surprised if we saw a lot of cards. The bookies haven't priced up the card market yet but I'll be looking for odds on under 2.5 cards.
Nowich top scorer Teemu Pukki has gone off the boil of late, drawing a blank in his last four games, but is still getting into positions to score.
The Finn (below) is evens with Paddy Power to have three or more shots at goal, either on or off target, and that looks decent value.
This English Premier League match between Norwich City and Leicester City will be played on Feb 28, 2020 and kick off at 20:00