Kilmarnock v Celtic
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

, KO: 13:30 , Rugby Park
Celtic

Celtic slipped up plenty of times on Kilmarnock's plastic pitch so they will be hoping a switch to grass at Rugby Park suits them more, starting in this SPFL Premiership clash.

The new surface is getting its first competitive test run, with Killie forced to play the opening five games of the new campaign away from their home.

Neil McCann's side lost 4-3 on the road at promoted St Johnstone last weekend so will be hoping a return to Rugby Park sparks their season into life.

It could be a good time to face the Hoops as it's unsure who will be in charge of the champions, with veteran manager Martin O'Neill underdoing hospital treatment in midweek.

O'Neill somehow salvaged Celtic's season last term and got them over the line for an unlikely Double but he was just papering over the cracks.

A host of new signings were required in the summer window and fans are growing frustrated with just two arriving so far.

The Hoops beat Dundee 1-0 at home in their Premiership opener but it wasn't a convincing display and a better performance will be needed to emerge victorious in Ayrshire.

How the bookies view it: Hoops still heavy favourites

Despite the uncertainty surrounding the champions, Celtic are still hot favourites for this one at just 2/5 with Bet365.

Kilmarnock are 6/1 outsiders and even the draw is pretty big at 4/1.

Recent head to head: Another five-goal thriller?

Celtic came from 2-0 down at half-time to win 3-2 on their last visit to Rugby Park, with Julian Araujo's stoppage-time strike sparking bedlam.

That made it four wins in a row for the Hoops at Killie's home but they had lost two in a row before that.

Players to watch: Hogh the headlines

Celtic's new £11million striker Kasper Hogh misfired on his debut, with the former Bodo/Glimt star missing a host of chances. If he keeps getting into dangerous positions a goal should come and he's just 4/5 for anytime scorer at Bet365.

Joe Hugill has been an excellent signing for Kilmarnock and the former Manchester United kid is 11/4 to grab his third goal of the new season.

Probable line-ups

Liam Scales is still suspended for Celtic and I'd imagine the Hoops won't make any changes from the opening game.

But Killie boss McCann might shake things up a bit after watching his defence ship four goals in Perth, having looked so solid in the League Cup group games.

Kilmarnock: Stryjek, Brandon, Stanger, Schonning-Larsen, Brown, Kiltie, O'Hara, Rice, Tshibola, John-Jules, Hugill.

Celtic: Sinisalo, Johnston, Carter-Vickers, Trusty, Tierney, McGregor, Engels, Nygren, Duran, Yang, Hogh.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Celtic win & under 4.5 goals

Kilmarnock host Celtic with last season's underlying numbers making a strong case for the visitors, particularly when combining the result with a higher goals line.

Celtic averaged 2.13 xG and just 0.96 xGA per game across the 2025/26 season, comfortably the strongest underlying split in the division. Kilmarnock's numbers were considerably weaker, averaging 1.28 xG and 1.79 xGA across their relegation group campaign.

The opening weekend did little to change that picture. Celtic beat Dundee 1-0 while producing 2.13 xG and conceding 0.96 xGA, almost identical to their averages from last season.

Kilmarnock's 4-3 defeat to St Johnstone was much more chaotic. They scored three times despite producing only seven shots compared with St Johnstone's 15, a level of finishing that looks difficult to sustain based on last season's attacking numbers.

Celtic's ability to restrict opposition chances is important here. Their 0.96 xGA average suggests Kilmarnock should find opportunities much harder to create than they did last weekend, while Celtic's 2.13 xG provides enough attacking threat to take control themselves. The numbers point towards a Celtic win without needing the game to become a high-scoring contest.

Anything else catch the eye?

Celtic kept a clean sheet in their SPFL Premiership opener but Dundee almost pinched a point at the death. Kilmarnock's physical forwards caused the Hoops problems last season so I fancy BTTS here, although it pays just 4/6. Adding on over 2.5 goals boosts the odds to evens with some firms.

All three meetings last term saw 13 corners or more so that's another market worth exploring. Over 6/5 Celtic corners pays 10/11 at Bet365, who also price over 3.5 Killie corners at the same price.

Benjamin Nygren scored Celtic's winner against Dundee and the Swede is always a big goal threat. He's also 10/11 to have over 1.5 efforts on target at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Betting Tips & Predictions
Over 3.5 Kilmarnock corners
10/11
Bet365
Over 6.5 Celtic corners
10/11
Bet365
BTTS and over 2.5 goals
Evens
Bet365
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