Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Borussia DortmundGerman Bundesliga, KO: 14:30 Jun 13, 2020, Merkur Spiel-Arena
BORUSSIA Dortmund know their title hopes are fading away but will be looking to keep a little bit of pressure on Bayern Munich with a victory at Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Defeat in Der Klassiker two weeks ago effectively handed Bayern the trophy, with the champions opening up a seven-point gap that still exists with just four games to go.
If Dortmund crash in Dusseldorf and the leaders claim yet another victory then it will be all over this weekend but it's hard to see Fortuna taking anything from Lucien Favre's men.
Borussia have won nine of their last 11 matches and the only slip-ups in that run have been that Bayern defeat and a Champions League loss to a PSG side boasting arguably Europe's finest attack.
Third-bottom Dusseldorf blew a chance to claim a huge three points last weekend when they could only draw 2-2 with a Hoffenheim side that played for 81 minutes with 10 men.
Rouwen Hennings' penalty at least saved them from the ignominy of a morale-sapping defeat and also put a big smile on my face as it made sure all three of my recommended bets came up.
Fortuna remain three points off safety but it would be a huge shock if they beat Dortmund, especially after crashing 5-0 to Bayern Munich a fortnight ago in a similar mismatch.
How the bookies view it
Dortmund are heavy favourites at a best 2/5 with Genting while Fortuna are as big as 15/2 with Betfair. Six of Dusseldorf's last eight games have ended in stalemates and the draw is 9/2 with Betfred here.
Recent head to head
Dusseldorf hasn't been a happy hunting ground for Dortmund in recent seasons, with Borussia winning just once on their last four visits.
It ended 2-1 to Fortuna last season at the Merkur Spiel-Arena last term, with Dusseldorf in command before Paco Alcacer pulled one back late on.
But Dortmund have won the last two matches, both at the Westfalen, and cruised to a 5-0 victory back in December (below).
Players to watch
Marco Reus and Jadon Sancho both netted doubles in that 5-0 win over Fortuna but only the England man is fit to start this one.
Sancho (below) scored a hat-trick on Dortmund's last road trip against Paderborn and is a best evens with 888Sport to find the net here.
That doesn't offer great value so instead I'll go for Achraf Hakimi at 4/1 with Paddy Power. The Moroccan midfielder has scored twice since the Bundesliga came back so he's in decent form in front of goal.
Rowen Hennings netted both Fortuna goals last weekend and is their penalty taker so he looks the best option for a home goal at 27/10 with 888Sport.
Anything else catch the eye?
Fortuna have conceded 10 goals in their last four games and even 10-man Hoffenheim managed to breach their defence twice. That should lead to a few goals here and over 3.5 strikes is 6/5 with Bet365.
Backing Dortmund goals is another decent option and they are 11/10 with Bet365 for over 2.5 strikes.
In Borussia's 5-0 win over Fortuna earlier this season, four of the strikes came after the break. That lends value to the 21/20 Betway offer on the second period being the highest-scoring half.
This German Bundesliga match between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Borussia Dortmund will be played on Jun 13, 2020 and kick off at 14:30. Check below for our tipsters best Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund prediction.