Crystal Palace v Leeds
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United

, KO: 14:00 , Selhurst Park
Leeds United

Leeds United are a bit too close to the Premier League drop zone for comfort and will be desperate to get some more points on the board when they take on Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.

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Daniel Farke's side have lost just four of their last 19 games in all competitions yet still find themselves sweating on safety, with West Ham and Nottingham Forest picking up form.

Two of those defeats have come in their last two Premier League outings, with Leeds firing blanks at home in 1-0 losses to Manchester City and Sunderland.

They've drawn on their last four road trips but Farke will be targeting maximum points from this clash against a Palace side coming off the back of a Thursday night game in the Conference League.

Oliver Glasner's men have eased their own relegation worries by winning two of their last three Premier League games.

That has left them free to prioritise Europe and it will be interesting to see if Glasner rests any players for this clash with Leeds.

But Crystal Palace will still want to keep building momentum and confidence in domestic games as they look to finish a rollercoaster season on a high.

How the bookies view it: Selhurst spark

Bet365 reckon home advantage will give Crystal Palace the edge here, with the Eagles 11/8 favourites and Leeds priced at 21/10. A fifth successive away stalemate for Farke's side pays 23/10.

Recent head to head: Leeds on top

Leeds United romped to a 4-1 win at Elland Road back in December and that avenged a 5-1 loss to Palace on their previous visit. The last 11 meetings have produced five Leeds victories, three wins for the Eagles and three draws.

Players to watch: Pino has a point to prove

Yeremy Pino has been in and out of the Crystal Palace side in recent weeks but could get a chance to shine if Glasner freshens things up. The playmaker is capable of moments of magic and he's 8/5 with Bet365 for a goal or assist.

Anton Stach has caught the eye with his long-range shooting in midfield for Leeds and has chipped in with four goals so far. The German is 13/5 to score or assist with Bet365 and 14/1 to score from outside the box.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Probable line-ups

Daniel Munoz, Cheick Doucoure and Eddie Nketiah could miss out again for Palace but Glasner's other injury absentees are now back in the squad. The Eagles boss should make a few changes from Thursday's starting lineup.

Joe Rodon and Dominic Calvert-Lewin sat out the FA Cup tie for Leeds last weekend with minor injuries but could return here. Noah Okafor looks set to miss out again.

Crystal Palace: Henderson, Clyne, Lacroix, Lerma, Richards, Mitchell, Hughes, Wharton, Pino, Johnson, Strand Larsen.

Leeds United: Darlow, Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson, Stach, Aaronson, Ampadu, Gruev, Nmecha, Calvert-Lewin.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Both teams to score

Crystal Palace host Leeds United with both teams showing profiles that support goals at each end.

Palace generate consistent attacking output at Selhurst Park. They average 1.54 NPxG at home while producing 12.57 shots and 3.86 shots on target per game. Their matches also see regular chances in the box, with around 7.8 shots inside the box across recent fixtures. Over the last four matches both teams to score has landed in 75% of Palace games. Leeds show similar patterns, particularly defensively away from home. They concede 1.25 NPxGA on the road and allow 12.50 shots and 4.79 shots on target per match. Their away matches see both teams to score in 64% of fixtures and they have struggled to keep clean sheets throughout the season. Recent form numbers also support attacking opportunities. Across the last eight games Palace average 1.69 xG while Leeds produce 1.45. With Palace creating chances at home and Leeds regularly conceding away, the data strongly supports both teams to score in this matchup. .

Anything else catch the eye?

Crystal Palace's record in games after Conference League matches hasn't been great this season, winning just twice.

That 4-1 loss to Leeds came after a Thursday night game with KuPS so there could be some value in backing Farke's side to win either half at evens with Bet365.

The last meeting produced 14 corners, with nine of them going to Leeds. So I fancy over 4.5 flag kicks for the visitors in this one, a bet that also pays evens.

Both teams should be going for a win and a double on Karl Darlow and Dean Henderson each making over 2.5 saves looks good at 13/8 with Bet365.

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United Betting Tips & Predictions
Leeds to win either half
Evens
Bet365
Darlow and Henderson over 2.5 saves
13/8
Bet365
Over 4.5 Leeds corners
Evens
Bet365
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