Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League, KO: 20:00 Apr 16, 2024, Signal Iduna Park
BORUSSIA DORTMUND and Atletico Madrid reconvene for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie at Signal Iduna Park on Tuesday night.
Edin Terzić's team were 2-0 down at half-time last week before Sébastien Haller struck late on to hand the Germans a lifeline in their bid to make it to the semi-final stage for the first time in over a decade.
That means this tie is delicately poised ahead of this week's make-or-break return match in North Rhine-Westphalia.
BVB warmed up for this crunch clash by battling to a hard-fought 2-1 win away at Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga on Saturday.
As for Atletico Madrid, they tightened their grip on fourth spot in La Liga at the weekend with a 3-1 win over second-placed Girona.
Diego Simeone's side now switch their attention back to continental matters this midweek as they aim to reach the last four of the Champions League for the first time since 2016/17.
Outright Betting
Borussia Dortmund, who have avoided defeat in each of their last nine Champions League home games, are 6/5 favourites on Bet365.
A draw would be enough to secure a place in the semi-finals for Atletico Madrid and that outcome can be backed at 11/4 (Betfred) while an away win is trading at a best price of 21/10 (Bet365).
Betting angles: Koke's Foul
Borussia Dortmund will have their backers at the above-mentioned price here but I'm going to highlight an alternative offering in the player props market.
Atletico Madrid's Koke is priced up at 10/11 on Bet365 to commit a solitary foul during this Signal Iduna Park showdown, and that price looks too big to ignore.
With the onus on Borussia Dortmund to attack on Tuesday night, the aforementioned Koke and Co should be kept busy on a night when Atletico Madrid boss Diego Simeone will look to pull off one of his renowned defensive masterclasses.
What's more, Spanish midfielder Koke has never been one to shy away from a tackle, posting an average of just under one foul per game throughout his stellar career so far.
It's also worth pointing out that the Atleti skipper was reprimanded by the referee during last week's first leg, not to mention he clocked up a combined total of five fouls across his team's two tussles with Inter in the previous round.
With that in mind, coupled with Diego Simeone's warriors being one of the masters of the dark arts of the game, siding with just one Koke foul on Tuesday night stands out at 10/11 (Bet365).
Given that Koke has committed exactly two fouls in three of his six La Liga outings, the 7/2 (Bet 365) about a repeat on Tuesday night also represents an eye-catching value option in a game loaded with jeopardy.
On a similar line of reasoning to some of the above, I'll also back Atletico Madrid to rack up at least 30+ Booking Points at 10/11 on SkyBet.
Atleti have broken the 30+ Booking Points barrier in three of their four Champions League away games this season, and they won't think twice about following suit here in their bid to fend off Borussia Dortmund and their famed Yellow Wall.
This UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid will be played on Apr 16, 2024 and kick off at 20:00. Check below for our tipsters best Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
