Wales vs CroatiaEuro 2020, KO: 19:45 Oct 13, 2019, Cardiff City Stadium
WALES took a big step towards Euro 2020 with a draw in Slovakia and can plant one foot in the finals by following it up with a win over Croatia.
Although boss Ryan Giggs was a little frustrated his side failed to hold onto the lead in Trnava, the 1-1 draw was a decent result in the grand scheme of things.
Having beaten the Slovaks 1-0 in the group opener, bringing up two of my tips in the process, the Welsh now have a better head-to-head record than them in one of the tightest qualifying sections.
Wales currently sit fourth, below Croatia, Slovakia and Hungary, but have a game in hand so they remain on course to finish as runners-up behind the World Cup semi-finalists.
Next month's home qualifier with Hungary looks like being the pivotal game for Giggs' side, as they bid to avenge their defeat in Budapest, but taking something from this clash would hand them a massive boost.
A Cardiff victory over Croatia would also give the Welsh hope of topping the group as it would leave them just three points adrift with that game in hand.
It ended 2-1 to the Croatians when these nations faced off in Osijek so there's not a lot between the sides and I wouldn't be surprised if Giggs' troops avoided defeat in this one.
Wales are 31/50 with Marathonbet in the double chance market, which doesn't offer great value, so I'm more inclined to back another draw at 119/50 with the same firm.
Juventus midfielder Aaron Ramsey could return for this one, having missed the trip to Slovakia with injury, and it would be a massive boost if he was declared fit.
Wigan's Kieffer Moore impressed against Slovakia and grabbed his first international goal, adding another weapon to the Welsh armoury.
With Gareth Bale, Harry Wilson and Daniel James all offering pace and creativity, there are goals in this Welsh side so I can see them causing the Croatians a few problems. Luka Modric and Co also have plenty of firepower and I like the look of both teams to score at 23/25 with Marathonbet.
Bale remains the biggest threat, despite his troubles in club football, so I'll be backing the Real Madrid star at 17/10 with Boylesports for anytime scorer.
Croatia eased to a 3-0 home win over Hungary on Thursday, wrapping the game up by the break and warming my heart as I had lumped on them to be winning at half-time and full-time.
Dinamo Zagreb hitman Bruno Petkovic netted twice in that game so he looks overpriced at 11/4 with Paddy Power to net again in Wales.
Things got a bit fiesty when these sides faced off earlier in the group as six bookings were dished out, with five going to the Croatians. The bookies have yet to release odds but over 3.5 cards looks a good option.
This Euro 2020 match between Wales and Croatia will be played on Oct 13, 2019 and kick off at 19:45