The Premier League fouls betting markets allow punters to wager on the total number of transgressions in a match, specific player fouls, players to be fouled, or which team will commit the most fouls.
You can bet on over/under fouls, team fouls, or individual players.
Below you can find our Premier League fouls tips and betting predictions ahead of this weekend's action.
Ipswich vs Leicester
Abdul Fatawu is set to start for Leicester City in a crucial game against Ipswich Town, who are yet to secure a Premier League win and currently sit in the bottom three. With multiple injuries affecting Ipswich, their defensive strategy has relied heavily on physicality, averaging 11.5 fouls per home game.
Leif Davies, Ipswich’s left-back, has impressed with his offensive contributions, leading defenders in chances created and crosses. However, his forward positioning often leaves Ipswich exposed on that side, creating more opportunities for Fatawu to draw fouls.
Fatawu has been fouled 12 times across his four Premier League starts—an impressive rate of one every 28 minutes—and has drawn at least two fouls per start. With Tim Robinson, the Premier League’s strictest referee, overseeing the match and averaging 27 fouls per game, Fatawu’s aggressive, direct style of play against Ipswich’s defensive tendencies makes him likely to be fouled multiple times.
- Best Bet: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku to be fouled two or more times at 1.91 with Paddy
Liverpool vs Brighton
Andy Robertson's form has dipped this season, with notable commentators like Gary Neville highlighting a perceived loss of pace. Lined up as a left-back, Robertson will face Joel Veltman, who has been fouled 19 times in eight starts—an impressive 88% fouled rate per game. Historically, six out of eight full-backs facing Veltman have made at least one foul.
In Wolves' recent match, all players positioned on Veltman's side, including the wingback Ait-Nouri and the left-sided centre-back Gomes, registered fouls. Additionally, Kadioglu, often in front of Veltman, has drawn fouls in every game where he played over 45 minutes.
Although Robertson has only committed two fouls this season, his track record against Brighton shows eight fouls in his last six games, with at least one in five of them. Given these trends, Robertson is likely to commit at least one foul against Brighton.
Best Bet: Andy Robertson to commit 1+ fouls at 1.83 with Skybet
Newcastle vs Arsenal
Thomas Partey is expected to continue at right-back for Arsenal due to current injuries and suspensions among their defenders. In his nine starts this season, Partey has committed 14 fouls, averaging approximately 1.56 per game. Notably, he made two fouls in his recent appearance as a full-back against Liverpool.
Newcastle's Anthony Gordon, who has been fouled 24 times in eight matches this season (averaging 3.0 per game), is likely to return to the left wing after playing on the right in the midweek EFL Cup.
At home, Gordon has drawn nine fouls in four games. Given the home advantage and Gordon's propensity to run at defenders, it's probable he will target Partey, who is playing out of his usual position. Gordon has been fouled two or more times in seven of his eight games this season.
Betting markets reflect this scenario: Bet365 offers odds of 1.80 for Partey to commit two or more fouls, while SkyBet provides slightly higher odds at 2.20.
- Best Bet: Thomas Partey to commit 2 + fouls at 2.20 with Skybet
Who has committed the most fouls and who has suffered the most fouls?
| Team | Player | Total fouls suffered |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães |
Newcastle United |
53 |
| A. Gordon |
Newcastle United |
34 |
| C. Palmer |
Chelsea |
31 |
| T. Dibling |
Southampton |
29 |
| R. Yates |
Nottingham Forest |
29 |
| J. Maddison |
Tottenham Hotspur |
28 |
| J. Veltman |
Brighton |
227 |
| Matheus Cunha |
Wolverhampton Wanderers |
26 |
| J. McGinn |
Aston Villa |
26 |
| Y. Tielemans |
Aston Villa |
26 |
| Player | Team | Total fouls committed |
|---|---|---|
| Joelinton |
Newcastle United |
31 |
| João Gomes |
Wolverhampton Wanderers |
29 |
| M. Caicedo |
Chelsea |
29 |
| L. Cook |
Bournemouth |
28 |
| L. Delap |
Ipswich Town |
27 |
| K. Havertz |
Arsenal |
26 |
| Sam Morsy |
Ipswich Town |
26 |
| F. Downes |
Southampton |
26 |
| W. Ndidi |
Leicester City |
24 |
| I. Gueye |
Everton |
23 |
Which match will have the highest booking points total?
Booking points in betting refer to a system where points are assigned based on yellow and red cards shown to players during a match.
Generally, a yellow card is worth 10 points, while a red card is valued at 25 points. In some cases, two yellow cards resulting in a red are counted as 35 points.
The upcoming clash between Chelsea and Manchester United is poised to be a highly charged encounter, with both teams exhibiting a propensity for accumulating booking points this season.
Historically, their last ten meetings have averaged 50.5 booking points per match, indicating a consistently competitive nature. This season, Chelsea have amassed an average of 40.0 booking points per game, second only to Southampton.
Notably, two Chelsea players have already faced suspensions after accruing five yellow cards each, a significant statistic given that the season is only nine games in. Overall, Chelsea's matches have averaged 73.89 booking points, with the team collecting 30 or more in seven out of nine games, and exceeding 20 points in eight. Their opponents have also averaged 33.89 booking points per game.
Manchester United's matches have averaged 57.78 booking points this season. The team has accumulated an average of 32.78 points, surpassing 20 points in eight of their nine games. Their opponents have averaged 25 booking points per match.
At Old Trafford, in the last 23 games, visiting teams have averaged 23.70 booking points, with 16 matches seeing visitors collect over 20 points, and 22 matches with at least 10 points.
Given these statistics, the forthcoming match is expected to be intensely contested, with a high likelihood of numerous bookings. Both teams' aggressive styles and disciplinary records suggest that fans can anticipate a match rich in competitive spirit and, potentially, disciplinary actions.
The referee for this game is Rob Jones, who over his 76 Premier League game he has averages 41.38 booking points. This season, he has started with an average of 60 booking points, dishing out at least 10 booking points to each team in all six of his matches. In his last 28 Premier League games he has given both sides at least a booking each in 25 of these fixtures.
- Best Bet: 60+ match booking points and both sides to collect 20+ booking points at 1.75 with Skybet
Player to be carded acca – our picks
Thomas Partey
Playing out of position against Anthony Gordon who has been fouled 24 times this season. Arsenal will look to sit back and catch the hosts on the counterattack. Partey will be asked to get forward and support Saka which is going to expose him even more. Already picked up two cards this season and is averaging 1.56 fouls per game.
- Best Price at 3.0 with Betfair
Kalvin Phillips
In his last three games, he has made eight fouls without collecting a booking. This is a massive game for Ipswich, given that they are still winless and now in the bottom three. Per 90 minutes, Phillips has made the fourth-highest number of fouls in the Premier League this season. Tim Robinson is the referee, who is fussy with a high number of fouls and an average of 5.75 cards per fixture.
- Best Price at 3.25 with Bet365
Wes Fofana
It's hard not to back him, given that he has collected a card in each of his last six matches. He has already served a one game ban after collecting five yellow cards and in his first game back, he collected another booking. This weekend he is up against Man Utd and he will have the pace of Rashford and Garnacho to deal with.
- Best Price at 2.75 with Betfair
Combining our three-player selections into a three-fold comes in at a reasonable 26.81 with Paddy.
