The 2024/2025 Premier League title race was not as close as many expected, with Liverpool running away with it way before the season's end. Arne Slot's Reds were impressive last season and rightfully took the crown from Manchester City.
Based on recent weeks, though, the Reds aren't going to have it all their own way this time around as Slot's men have lost three consecutive matches in the league.
Top 10 best Premier League winner odds
| Arsenal |
4/5 |
| Man City |
10/3 |
| Liverpool |
4/1 |
| Chelsea |
20/1 |
| Man Utd |
50/1 |
| Tottenham |
66/1 |
| Newcastle |
150/1 |
| Crystal Palace |
200/1 |
| Aston Villa |
200/1 |
| Bournemouth |
250/1 |
Premier League favourites
Arsenal
Arsenal are the new favourites to win the Premier League this season and deservedly so given that they are top of the table after the first eight rounds. Not only that, but the Gunners are three points ahead of Man City in second place and they've already faced Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd and Newcastle, so it has been a mightily impressive start from Arsenal.
Their hopes of getting over the line this season could hinge on how well Viktor Gyokeres performs. The Swede scored 68 goals in 66 games for Sporting Lisbon last season, so Arsenal will hope that he can be nearly as efficient in the Premier League next season. All in all, it does seem like this could finally be Arsenal's year after a few near misses lately.
Liverpool
Liverpool started the season as the outright favourites to win the Premier League, but their odds have since lengthened, especially after their recent loss to Manchester United, their third loss in the league.
After that game, Liverpool are now four points behind Arsenal and while it's clear that they need some time for their expensive summer signings to mesh, they can't afford to fall to much behind their rivals or it might be too late to catch up later on.
On top of that, the Reds haven't played well in a single Premier League match this season and their recent run of three defeats was very much on the cards after scraping over the line in several matches earlier in the campaign.
Manchester City
After years of dominance, the Cityzens finally showed weakness last season, and those weaknesses were as prominent as ever in their 2-0 defeat to Tottenham in the second week of the new season. City looked light at the back and spineless in the middle, and they weren't much better in their defeat to Brighton the following week.
They responded to those defeats by beating Man Utd 3-0, and came within minutes of recording a massive win against Arsenal at the Emirates. However, after settling for a point, they have some catching up to do and while they did win their last three games in a row, none of those wins came against other candidates for the top.
Chelsea
The Blues finished last season in great form, securing a spot in the Champions League by finishing fourth in the Premier League. That form also carried them to glory in the Europa Conference League and the Club World Cup.
However, the Blues have been far from that form so far in the Premier League and they are currently fifth in the standings with 14 points, five points fewer than league leaders Arsenal.
Who will win the Premier League in 2025/26?
If we had to place a bet now, our choice would be Arsenal. It feels that after years of being the Premier League's bridesmaid, it is their time to finally become the bride.
To achieve this, Arsenal will need Gyokeres to score at something close to the rate he did for Sporting. If he does, then their first title since 2004 could await.
Premier League outright winner betting trends
Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.
The last 10 Premier League title winners
The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12. The only other teams to lift the Premier League trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea, Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:
| Liverpool |
2025 |
84 |
86 |
| Manchester City |
2024 |
91 |
96 |
| Manchester City |
2023 |
89 |
94 |
| Manchester City |
2022 |
93 |
99 |
| Manchester City |
2021 |
86 |
83 |
| Liverpool |
2020 |
99 |
85 |
| Manchester City |
2019 |
98 |
95 |
| Manchester City |
2018 |
100 |
106 |
| Chelsea |
2017 |
93 |
85 |
| Leicester |
2016 |
81 |
68 |
Points gained by Premier League title winners
Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the Premier League over the past decade is for a team to get 91.4 points—a significant increase compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the Premier League’s lifetime.
City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.
Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners
Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. City have scored 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, and on three occasions, they even reached 100.
More Premier League predictions
- Premier League relegation tips
- Premier League Golden Boot odds and favourites
- Next Premier League manager sacked odds
- Premier League top four odds and favourites
Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.
GambleAware