The 2025/2026 Premier League title race concluded with Arsenal winning their first Premier League trophy in 22 years after a thrilling battle with Manchester City.
With the new season now just weeks away from starting, are the Gunners in a strong position to defend their title? Or can Manchester City, now managed by Enzo Maresca, fight back to reclaim what they now consider to be their trophy?
Beyond Arsenal and City, are there any other teams in with a chance of winning the title this season? Let's take a look at what the bookies think.
Top 10 best Premier League winner odds
| Arsenal |
7/4 |
| Man City |
10/3 |
| Liverpool |
6/1 |
| Chelsea |
17/2 |
| Man Utd |
9/1 |
| Tottenham |
28/1 |
| Aston Villa |
75/1 |
| Brighton |
250/1 |
| Newcastle |
250/1 |
| Bournemouth |
500/1 |
Premier League favourites
Arsenal
Arsenal will start the new Premier League season as the favourites to win it, which is usually par for the course when you are the champions. The Gunners have only added Greek winger Christos Tzolis to their squad this summer, and he is a like-for-like replacement for Leandro Trossard.
If Arsenal can secure deals for Bruno Guimaraes and Vinicius Jr before the end of the transfer window, their odds will shorten further. At the same time, if they add nobody, then they could be the second or third title favourites by the end of the month.
Manchester City
Manchester City are currently the second favourites to win the Premier League title, but Enzo Maresca has a huge job on his hands. Following Pep Guardiola is a near-impossible task, and the situation can only really be compared to when David Moyes replaced Sir Alex Ferguson at Manchester United, and we all know how that went.
City have spent £115m to bring Elliot Anderson to the Etihad Stadium, but it is looking increasingly likely that the former Forest man has been signed to replace Rodri rather than to play alongside him. The Spaniard looks set to join Real Madrid in what is a huge blow to the Cityzens' chances.
Liverpool
After a disappointing season, it's easy to forget the quality that Liverpool still have within their squad. Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz should both be far better this season, while the likes of Virgil van Dijk and Alisson still have plenty to offer.
How quickly Andoni Iraola can get his methods across will determine whether the Reds can challenge for the title this season, and he will likely need more reinforcements before the transfer window shuts.
Chelsea
Chelsea are the fourth-favourites to win the Premier League title this season, and they are worth a look considering they are not playing in Europe this season. Historically, ‘big six' clubs who have had a season out of Europe have fared well, and the Blues have quality throughout their squad.
Xabi Alonso also arrives at Stamford Bridge with great pedigree after winning the title with Bayer Leverkusen in 2024, but also with a point to prove after an unsuccessful tenure at Real Madrid.
Who will win the Premier League in 2025/26?
If we had to place a bet now, our choice would be Arsenal. They now have a squad full of players who know how to get over the line, and several other clubs are in the midst of transition.
Liverpool are worth keeping an eye on, but we can see Manchester City dropping off and ending up involved in the battle for the top five.
Premier League outright winner betting trends
Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.
The last 10 Premier League title winners
The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12. The only other teams to lift the Premier League trophy over the past ten editions are Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal.
| Arsenal |
2026 |
85 |
71 |
| Liverpool |
2025 |
84 |
86 |
| Manchester City |
2024 |
91 |
96 |
| Manchester City |
2023 |
89 |
94 |
| Manchester City |
2022 |
93 |
99 |
| Manchester City |
2021 |
86 |
83 |
| Liverpool |
2020 |
99 |
85 |
| Manchester City |
2019 |
98 |
95 |
| Manchester City |
2018 |
100 |
106 |
| Chelsea |
2017 |
93 |
85 |
Points gained by Premier League title winners
Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the Premier League over the past decade is for a team to get 91.8 points—a significant increase compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the Premier League’s lifetime.
City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.
Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners
Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. City have scored 90+ goals in all but two of the preceding eight seasons, and on three occasions, they even reached 100.
More Premier League predictions
- Premier League relegation tips
- Premier League Golden Boot odds and favourites
- Next Premier League manager sacked odds
- Premier League top four odds and favourites
Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.
GambleAware