York vs Eastleigh
If you are looking for a solid bet, York City looks like a strong pick to beat Eastleigh this weekend.
York are flying high this season, sitting second for xPTS and fourth on xG. They are a real threat going forward, ranking fourth in total shots and 10th for shots on target, with only a handful of teams managing more touches in the opposition penalty area.
Defensively, York has been rock solid, too, conceding very few chances—ranking sixth for xGA and fourth for the fewest shots allowed. Their form speaks for itself with W7-D3-L1, keeping seven clean sheets, including in each of their last three matches. At home, York are even more dominant, boasting W4-D0-L1, scoring two or more goals in three of those and keeping three clean sheets.
Eastleigh, on the other hand, have not been as convincing. They sit 30th on xPTS and have struggled to create chances, ranking 80th for shots taken and defensively, they sit 20th for xGA. Their away form is shaky with W2-D0-L3, and they have only managed five goals on the road. They have lost the xG battle in three of their four away games and conceded a whopping 44 shots in their last three trips.
- Best Bet: York win and over 1.5 goals at 2.0 with Bet365
Ebbsfleet vs Oldham
Oldham look well-positioned to secure an away win at Ebbsfleet this weekend, based on both teams' form and underlying stats.
Oldham have been impressive this season, currently sitting fourth for xPTS. They rank fifth for both shots and shots on target, as well as fifth for xG, showing their attacking threat. Defensively, they have also been solid, ranking third for xGA and for the fewest shots conceded. With a record of W5-D5-L1, they have scored in every game so far, and after a run of 1-1 draws, they have hit their stride, winning their last three games and conceding just one goal. On the road, they have been solid as well, with W2-D2-L1.
Ebbsfleet, on the other hand, have struggled mightily this season. They sit 23rd for xPTS and have the worst defensive record in the division, conceding 23 goals from an xGA of 16.87. They have also allowed the most shots on target, and only two sides have conceded more shots overall.
Offensively, they are ranked 20th for xG, highlighting their struggles in attack, and have won just one of their 11 games (W1-D2-L8). While their home form is slightly better, they have failed to score in three of their five home matches.
With Ebbsfleet’s defensive frailties, an Oldham win looks highly likely.
- Best Bet: Oldham to win at 1.87 with Spread Ex
Dagenham vs Solihull
A high-scoring encounter looks likely when Dagenham & Redbridge take on Solihull this weekend, with the stats supporting at least three goals in the game.
Dagenham sit seventh in the league for xPTS but have shown inconsistency in their results, with a record of W4-D4-L3. However, they rank second for xG, showing their attacking potency, despite sitting 15th for shots and shots on target.
Their matches have averaged 2.82 goals per game, with both teams scoring in seven of their 11 fixtures. At home, the goal average rises to 3.6 per game, with Dagenham scoring two or more in three of their five home fixtures.
Doidge has seven goals this season whilst Rees already have six for the season, so they have attacking players in form.
Solihull, while third on xPTS and possessing decent defensive metrics sitting fifth for xGA but have still conceded in nine of their 11 matches, averaging 1.55 goals conceded per game. Like Dagenham, both teams have found the net in seven of their fixtures. On the road, Solihull’s record shows promise for goals, with both teams scoring in three of their five away matches, and Solihull themselves netting in every away game.
With both sides showing a pattern of scoring and conceding regularly, and with Dagenham’s home matches producing goals, expect at least three goals in this encounter.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 match goals at 1.85 with Paddy Power
