As the National League season progresses, several key fixtures this weekend offer intriguing betting opportunities.
Barnet, boasting a strong home record, face Woking, who have struggled on the road.
Southend United, aiming to improve their inconsistent form, host league leaders Forest Green Rovers. Meanwhile, York City, with an impressive home defence, take on a resilient Yeovil Town side.
Without further ado, here are this week's non-league betting tips!
Barnet vs Woking
Barnet have demonstrated a potent offense this season, netting 38 goals across 17 matches, averaging approximately 2.11 goals per game. Their home form is particularly impressive, boasting an unbeaten record of eight wins and one draw, with the team scoring two or more goals in seven of these fixtures.
This offensive strength is reflected in their league-leading xPTS and a high number of touches in the opposition box. However, defensively, Barnet have conceded 23 goals, averaging 1.28 per game, and have managed only six clean sheets, primarily against lower-ranked opponents. Notably, four of their last six home games have seen them concede, with six out of nine home matches featuring at least three goals.
In contrast, Woking have faced challenges both offensively and defensively. With a record of W5-D5-L8, they have scored 19 and conceded 24 goals. Their away performance has been particularly concerning, securing only one win, three draws, and suffering five losses, with an average of 1.44 goals conceded per away game.
Woking have kept just two clean sheets on the road, both against teams positioned in the bottom six of the league. Against teams ranked twelfth and above, Woking have failed to secure a win, recording two draws and seven losses, without a single clean sheet. Additionally, they hold the third-lowest xG in the league, indicating struggles in creating scoring opportunities.
Given Barnet's strong home scoring record and Woking's defensive vulnerabilities, it is reasonable to anticipate that Barnet will secure a victory in their upcoming fixture, with the match featuring at least three goals.
- Best Bet: Barnet to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.91 with Bet365
Southend Utd vs Forest Green Rovers
Southend United's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of W5-D6-L7, scoring 20 goals and conceding 22. At home, they have managed W3-D2-L4, conceding 12 goals while scoring 11. Notably, they have lost four of their last five home matches.
Their season began positively at Roots Hall with two draws and two wins, including holding both York City and Dagenham & Redbridge. However, subsequent home defeats to Gateshead, Yeovil Town, Sutton United, and Maidenhead United have highlighted their struggles.
Southend United, currently 16th in the table, have shown inconsistency throughout the season. At home against top-half sides, their record stands at W1-D1-L3. Interestingly, Southend rank fourth for xPTS, while Forest Green Rovers are seventh, which may influence the odds for a Forest Green victory.
At home, Southend are conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match from a xGA of 0.86. In their last home match, a 1-0 defeat to Yeovil Town, they generated just 0.17 xG, failing to register a shot on target. Southend have secured 10 of their 11 home points against sides sitting 12th and below.
In contrast, Forest Green Rovers have been in impressive form, boasting W12-D4-L2, conceding just 14 goals and scoring an average of 1.94 goals per match. They have secured six victories in their last seven matches, with only one defeat in their past eleven. After a slow start to the season, with one win in their opening four matches, they have since achieved W11-D2-L0, conceding just 10 goals in that period.
While their matches often feature goals, they have kept seven clean sheets from 18 fixtures. A notable recent result was a 2-0 home victory over York City, positioning them at the top of the table. Their only two defeats have been to Barnet and Oldham Athletic, who currently sit third and fourth, respectively.
Given the current form and statistical insights, Forest Green Rovers have the upper hand in the upcoming fixture against Southend United.
- Best Bet: Forest Green +0.25AH at 1.72 with Vbet
York City vs Yeovil Town
York City have been in impressive form, securing W11-D5-L2, while scoring 33 goals and conceding 14. At home, they have achieved W7-D1-L1, scoring at least twice in six of nine matches, totalling 20 goals.
The team boasts the second-highest xG in the league and ranks sixth for lowest xGA, indicating a solid defence. They have kept five clean sheets at home and conceded only seven goals, averaging 0.78 goals against per home game. Their last three home games have seen them register a total of 29 shots on target, reflecting their offensive capabilities.
Yeovil Town have shown consistency with W8-D4-L6, conceding 16 goals this season, averaging 0.89 goals against per game. They have suffered just one defeat in their last eight matches, a 1-0 loss at home to Halifax. On the road, they have a record of W5-D2-L2, conceding just eight goals and not conceding in their last four away games.
However, these clean sheets have been against teams sitting 15th and below in the table. Against sides 15th and above, they have W0-D2-L5, failing to score in six of these matches. They are overachieving defensively on the road, conceding just 0.89 goals from an xGA of 1.36, and have scored an average of 1.44 from an xG of 1.13.
Given York City's solid home defence and Yeovil Town's struggles against higher-ranked teams, it is reasonable to anticipate that York City will secure a win in a low-scoring match. York's ability to create opportunities, combined with Yeovil's defensive overperformance, suggests a keenly contested game with limited goals.
- Best Bet: York to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.91 with Skybet
