There's only two games left and it's getting to the crunch. The playoff teams are largely decided although the positions are yet to be finalised. The AFC has one spot up for the grabs with the Steelers currently in pole position for it, unfortunately. The Titans are realistically the only team who can take that spot, that probably won't be the case after tonight. Five teams are locked into the NFC too with the East the only question mark, either Dallas or Phillie.

Bet 1 – Marlon Mack anytime TD – 1.91 (Betfair)

Basically the same reasoning as for Chris Carson last week, the Colts are playing the Panthers who are the worst run defense in the league and Marlon Mack is the workhorse when he's fit in the backfield. The game script went against him on Monday night hence the low carry count for him but I'm expecting him to bounce back in this one. The Panthers are starting rookie QB Will Grier so could be some favourable field positions for the Colts as well which should help.

Bet 2 – New Orleans Saints -2.5 v Titans – 20/23 (365)

The Saints are the better team in this one and need to keep up the pace to try and get a bye week in the NFC, so they won't be able to slow down here. Now they are much better at home, and in dome games and this is outside on the grass in Tennessee but the Titans are likely without Derrick Henry who is their main weapon on offense so they'll be significantly hurt by that. The Saints also picked up Janoris Jenkins in the week to add to their secondary so should be able to slow the Titans passing attack which has in fairness been great since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB.

Bet 3 – Greg Ward o44.5 receiving yards – 5/6 (Skybet)

I think I wrote him up last week, but the Eagles have no WRs again. Jeffrey is out for the season and Agholor is out for this one as well. Last week the only wide receiver who caught any passes at all for the Eagles was Ward and he seems to have a good rapport with Carson Wentz. They go up against an average Cowboys defense so should be able to move the ball and it's a key game in the season of both of these teams, the winner essentially takes the NFC East and gets a playoff spot.

Bet 4 – Longshot of the week – Darius Slayton 2 or more TDs – 16/1 (Skybet)

The Giants face the Redskins in a game that I think could be sneaky high scoring. They welcome back Daniel Jones which usually increases scoring due to his propensity to turn the ball over, but also means he throws more and Slayton should be talked about in the running for OROY along with Terry McLaurin on the other side of the ball in this one. He's scored 8 times this season, with 3 lots of 2 TDs. He's a big lad with a bit of speed and they face a poor Washington secondary this week.

Summary

  • Marlon Mack anytime TD – 1.91 (Betfair)
  • New Orleans Saints -2.5 v Titans – 20/23 (365)
  • Greg Ward o44.5 receiving yards – 5/6 (Skybet)
  • Darius Slayton 2 or more TDs – 16/1 (Skybet)

Good Luck with whatever you're on and enjoy the last proper week of the season (Next week will be tough to call as teams generally rest players in week 17)

16 Comments
  1. greenman 9 months ago

    cheers mate on them all

    ive also backed Nyheim Hines to score a t.d at 6/1 with b365

    • TDTips 9 months ago

      Nice work man, yours is in already!

  2. nflfan 9 months ago

    Firstly like to wish all a happy Christmas
    Adam your info all season been brilliant
    Bets gunna post 2 fourfolds
    Saints +3.5
    Steelers +2.5
    Colts ml
    Falcons ml
    Coral machine 5/2
    Bet 2
    Seahawks ml
    Broncos ml
    Raiders +13.5
    Eagles + 8.5
    9/4’coral machine again good luck ☘️

    • TDTips 9 months ago

      Good Luck mate, lets finish the proper season on some winners

  3. greenman 9 months ago

    needed it mate. lol

    gaints @ redskins was over 41 points before the game

    • TDTips 9 months ago

      Yeah I wrote that up for somewhere else

  4. greenman 9 months ago

    mack in also
    nice

  5. winnerallright 9 months ago

    Super stuff yet again TDTips. Backed the Mack anytime TD and wards yards over too. Happy days. Thanks mate

  6. nflfan 9 months ago

    Well done lads on fire again
    Both my four folds down
    Steelers in one
    Seahawks in the other
    Couldn’t believe the Seahawks one puzzling performance

  7. winnerallright 9 months ago

    I’m backing chiefs -6.5pts and chancing a bet on Kelce getting over 100yrds and score a TD @ 7/2

  8. TDTips 9 months ago

    Nice end to the proper season, fun week digging through who’s going to actually try next week now!

    The Slayton bet. He got injured 1st quarter didn’t come back in till late in the game. Cost me a fair few DK lineups that did

  9. nflfan 9 months ago

    In a very open year going into the play offs you can make a case for maybe 6 of the teams to be Super Bowl winners
    I think there is value still in two teams on the outright market
    Kansas 8/1 skybet
    New Orleans 6/1 Skybet boost price
    Should both go deep into the playoffs
    Just a thought anyone else got an opinion
    Be glad to read it good luck all ☘️

  10. greenman 9 months ago

    i think Kansas are a great shout they been great the last 4 weeks.
    thing is they probably have 3 games before the s.b
    week 1 titans be heavy odds on 1/3
    week 2 patroits 6/5
    week 3 ravens 1.75/1
    then superbowl be 10/11

    i think week to week best from now on

    saints may be worth a bet if they get 1st seed but think and hope 49ers get 1st seed

    nfc i honestly think anyone can win that

    afc can only see cheifs or ravens winning

    seahawks are out to 12/1

  11. nflfan 9 months ago

    Thanks greenman I think you right nfc is wide open
    Have backed chiefs and saints today as we have said represent a bit of value
    Ravens look class but at9/4 a bit short

    • TDTips 9 months ago

      Yep, all agreed on the Chiefs.

      NFC. Its between the 49ers and Pack/Vikings for me. Not sure why just not sure on the Saints

  12. nflfan 9 months ago

    Pick price vikings Adam
    Will shorten if they win tonight

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