MY National League swatting didn't pay dividends but I assume Dover's defeat at Aldershot was a bit of a shock.
Goals were probably the way to go and well done to Greg for his Nap and any others who picked winners.
We're still a day away from the start of the Euro qualifiers so it's another quiet night with the Germany v Argentina friendly possibly the highlight.
There is one National League game – Stockport v Hartlepool – and some Under-21 qualifiers.
I've picked out a Thursday Super Single which is Russia -1AH against Scotland and the match preview guys have started posting this week's big games so check them out.
Daniel Stendel, sacked by Barnsley, has been installed as 4-1 favourite with Coral to be the next Sunderland manager after Jack Ross was axed. Mick Harford is second in the betting at 9-2 while Roy Keane 5-1 to return to the club.
Ross did OK but paid the price for not winning promotion last season and overall too man draws. His stock remains high in Scotland though and you can be sure he'll be in thoughts of one or two Premiership clubs.
Remember to check out welovebetting for their video tips and chat.
3pts Super Single
- Russia -1AH (Thursday)
- (19-20, bet365)
Mr Fixit's October Super Singles Total: -4pts
Mr Fixit's October Advised Accas Total: -1.7pts
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
America v Bragantino 1.30 KO
14+ corners 7/2
7+ Bragantino corners 3/1
4+ corners each team 4/5
4+ each half 8/13
Bit early I know but Barrow are a massive 13/10 at home to Dover on Sat
Yeah totally agree. ?
Potenza v Rende in the Seria C Cup should be a one sided affair. Both sides are from Group C and are in contrasting positions,Potenza sit 2nd and Rende are stone cold last and winless with just 3 goals to their name in 8 outings. Rende are a youthful side with 22 of their 34 players 21 or under,they’ve have shipped 10 in 4 aways and netted just once. Potenza beat them 1-0 away a couple of weeks ago, there’s been 4 H2H meetings and Rende have failed to register a goal.
Trying to find a bit of value is tough,win to nil is priced at just 4/7. Betbuilder is an option if taken with over 6 match corners which should be achievable and HT/FT. Rende have been behind in 5 of 8 league outings.
Betbuilder
Rende HT/FT
BTTS no
Over 6 match corners
7/4
Rende behind at HT in 5/8
Should that not read Potenza HT/FT MrH?
RWC – Scotland v Russia
Nothing else but a bonus point win for us this morning. 14 changes as we look to rotate the squad and keep our best team fresh for the game on Sunday against Japan. Russia be playing their 4th game in 2&1/2wks and may tire after all their hard efforts but haven’t been hammered in any game. I can see us running away in the 2nd half though winning by about 30 points and -35 points is the handicap.
Seeking value again for me and conscious of ref Wayne Barnes being very hot on the officiating:
Darcy Graham to score in the first 10mins @ 10/1
George Horne to score 1+ try’s in each half @ 10/1
Red card @ 5/1
With Paddy Power
On george Horne to score a try at evens. Fingers crossed
Horne gets a try?
On george Horne to score a try at evens. Fingers crossed
Won in first half ✅
Horne in both halves. Tremendous @andymac1980
Any tips for Wales match later bud??
Great @andymac1980
Anything for Wales – Fiji?
Gareth Davies anytime tryscorer 6-4 (betway )
Gareth Davies to score 2+ tries 15/2 (Betway)
Horne hat-trick. I know that wasn’t tipped but over this World Cup your tipping has been top notch, Andy. Well done.
Great shout with Horne. Watched some of the game as my pal’s boy was playing and just hope Russia defend as badly tomorrow nigt.
Thanks all, delighted first and foremost with the bonus point win which sets us up nicely for Sunday. Good to see a few of you were on the tips too! Thoughts on Wales v Fiji shortly.
Scotland -35 @ 11/10 advised only ✅
George Horne to score 1+ try’s in each half @ 10/1 ✅
Spot on Andy ?
America v Bragantino 1.30 KO
14+ corners 7/2 LOSE
7+ Bragantino corners 3/1 ?
4+ corners each team 4/5 ?
4+ each half 8/13 ?
Belgium v San Marino
Over 7.5 goals at 5/6******(NAP)
Over 8.5 goals at 6/4
Over 9.5 goals at 11/4
Over 10.5 goals at 9/2
Russia v Scotland
Russia to win -2 asian handicap at 4.250
Best of luck
Wales v Fiji. Going to be a physical battle. Wales playing to guarantee top place so I don’t expect a slip up. Fiji lost to Uruguay but beat Georgia. Josh Adams is a real threat and I’d fancy him more then north to score a few.
Josh Adams to score 2+ tries 4-1
A red card in the match 11-2
Wales -17 Evens (NAP)
Good shout Gibby ?.
There’s his 2 try Gibby12. Good shout
They always look to him for tries. 3 yellows in the first half. I’ll be shocked if we don’t see a red. Handicap bet in doubt with the slow start. Cracking game tho!!
Good work on Adams there Gibby. Was screaming at Davies to go over himself for the 2nd though!
You won’t be far off a red I’d say. Should’ve been Ken Owens off already in my opinion.
Cheers Andy. Still more tries in this, Davies just has to be greedy. Ken Owens tackle was a certain red I thought, tmo and referee letting bad tackles go a lot!
RWC – Wales v Fiji
Apologies as I got stuck in a meeting and thought it was a later KO so have missed the value tips. Seeing Fiji play some great stuff already and should have been a red card for Wales there. Great game and if Wales can get a grip they should win this but still odds on so no value in play. Jonathan Davies is one of my favourite players and a regular scorer so going with him in-play:
Jonathan Davies anytime try @ 15/8
Jonathan Davies 2 of more try’s @ 16/1
Davies goes off. No try’s, should’ve had 1, but 2 assists. Great game this and still in the balance.
I agree barrow are massive at 13/10 skybet 5/4 6/4 William hill against dover
Spare a thought for two lads here in my home town of Wigan. 9 months ago, I’ve just read, they chucked in £50 each on a double of Salford rugby league to finish in the top 5 and Jackson Hastings of Salford to be named Man of Steel of the RL season. Both obliged. The lads thought they were picking up a cheque for £23,500 yesterday. But no! Hills are saying it’s a related bet and was struck in human error by one of their shop assistants, who claims he must have been half asleep at the time. Yet Hills are willing to pay out as if it were two singles. What!!!! I’ll leave it there as I don’t want to turn the thread blue….!!!
It’s probably what’s in the rules but really they should have paid this one – going to be such bad publicity.
At worse pay the double at reduced odds. Hope they take it to IBAS.
Problem with counter staff is many are just trumped-up shop assistants there just to take the money.
In the, ahem, old days staff were more knowledgeable than the punters.
Read they will be taking it further, MrF. Hope it’s a happy outcome for them. We’ll see…
Had this problem when I used to work in one, regular monitored customer came in and placed a £1000 treble, first two horses won at EVS going onto an 8/1 antepost, staff member struck the bet but before sent to BAC (bet authorisation) and they accepted the bet, months later the antepost bet won and when it come to paying out they refused and said it shouldn’t have been taken, long story short they paid him out after 3 months of him being on their back because of ‘bad publicity’ yet the damage had been done for the 3 month prior ?
Said bet eventually paid out £40,0000
Best odds paid a part too on the two EVS shots at being an orange customer he was allowed up to a £4000 stake on BOG multiple bets, hence the additional £4000 payout
Wow if Fiji had any bit of a rugby brain they’d of beaten wales well there. Great brand of rugby they play but sometimes overplay it. Adams hits a hat trick which saves me for the day.
Andymac outstanding on Scotland this morning mate cheers ?
Wee treble punt in the ?? Seria C Starting at 2 with old favourite Carrarese
Carpi v Carrarese BTTS 10/11
Suditrol o1.5tgls – 10/11
Sambenedettese o1.5tgls – 1/1
6/1
Cheers Mr H, much appreciated!
Speculative half stake afternoon punt.
Slovakian cup 2pm.
Tu Kosice v pohronie
Btts 6-5.
Home team amateurs v struggling premier League side.
Kosice drew with premier League michalove last round 1-1 and won on pens.
Hoping pohronie get a good lead and let the amateurs get a consolation goal.
Rubbish ?
Azerbaijan u19 over 3.5mgs 6/4
Kick off 2pm
Good luck
Shocker An early goal then hee haw
Darts World Grand Prix 20:10
Dave Chisnall vs Stephen Bunting – Dave Chisnall most 180’s & win match 1/1 Paddypower **NAP**
—————————————————————————————————————————————
U19 International 16:00
England U19 vs France U19 – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Denmark Cup 18:00
Vendsyssel FF vs FC Nordsjaelland – over 10.5 Asian total corners
Darts World Grand Prix 20:10
Dave Chisnall vs Stephen Bunting – Dave Chisnall -1.5
Treble 6.33/1 Bet365 **NB**
Good luck all
Hi Mr F and other guys, sorry for a newbie question, but wondered best approaches to staking and bankroll management. Are there any decent sources I can read? Do you fix stakes or another method? Appreciate a detailed topic but any advice greatly appreciated.
I’ve said it before but I’d suggest starting with 100 points – a point is what you can afford.
Risk to lose no more than 10 per cent a day and never chase losses. Stakes depend on strength of confidence about a bet.
Double
Monopoli v virtues francavilla (over 1.5mgs)
Cristo Atletico v Burgos Promesas (Burgos DNB)
Shade over evens
Going to try a double tonight for bit of interest
Germany to win
Btts stockport v hartlepool
6/4 double
Bahrain v Azerbaijan 530pm kicks off
Azerbaijan far too big to win 21/10
Bahrain 2 -3 Azerbaijan ***Win**
International Match
Azerbaijan were too big pre match at 21/10
Brazil u20 league 7pm
São Paulo
Botafogo
Over 2.5mgs double 7/5
All 6 games over 2.5mgs 18/1
Good luck
Lost a goal short in botafogo for the double
both teams to score
operario v parana club
William hill 5/4
NAP
LOST
tonite
limon btts & overs
GL…………..
Belgium win and over 3.5 goals at home to San Marino is a huge 1/5 with Sportsbook.
I’ve emptied my bank on it. Not often you see mistakes like that from traders. Huge mistake.
i still remember France vs Luxembourg 0-0
Belgium should be scoring 9 or 10 here.Not sure of the point of taking a 1/5 unless your stick 50 grand on it
Should land easy but I wouldn’t describe 1-5 as huge. As macca says you’re going to need big stakes to make it worthwhile.
That’s probably first half,should still land though
I think they rested some big players before facing the mighty Scotland and they only won 4.0 remember team news will be vital.
team news doesn’t matter when you can also lay the Belgians to score more than 3 on the exchange at a much shorter price than you backed them to score more than 3 ;-)
Arbing baldy45,nice
both teams to score
Tolima v millonarios
William hill 6/5
NAP
both teams to score
junior v dep cali
William hill 11/8
NB
also double on above
William hill 4.22/1
I’ve took the big hitters to win to nil and it won the last round of matched as opposed to looking at the goals market.
Bahrain 2 -3 Azerbaijan ***Win**
International Match
Azerbaijan were too big pre match at 21/10
Germany vs Argentina BTTS
***NAP***
GL
Germany v Argentina
Simple one here
Anytime
Serge Gnabry 7/5 paddy powers
Germany v Argentina
Simple one here
Anytime goal
Serge Gnabry 7/5 paddy powers
For the second time in a week, I have placed 2 accas (the first which won) and they have voided the biggest odds leg of the bet citing change of venue. Brought my winnings down hugely. Second time tonight, with Scotland u19s the last leg to play (win and btts) again the biggest selection of the acca bringing my winnings down once again!!!! How is that fair, to make it even worse the selection was still listed INPLAY at the same odds!
shocking
Bookie is Skybet btw, don’t know what i can do about this but surely thats not right. Quite funny as I scrambled to chuck £15 squids on the same outcome, currently Scotland 2-1 up so will boost my profit slightly but not anywhere near as much had they not voided.
Anyone had any similar issues? I stopped using Wiill Hill as the same thing has happened to me before a year or 2 back.
It’s poor really – especially if the change of venue didn’t change the price. Hiding behind the rules rather than looking after customers.
4/1 treble
Stockport v Hsrtlepool Btts
Germany v Argentina o 2.5 mgls
Bracknell v Henwell btts
Lol. Anything is possible in football…My rule ,Bet what you can afford to lose.
Evening gents – switching South American borders from the Colombian bets last night…viva las Venezuela!
ANGOSTURA VS. MONAGAS (9.00pm):
Cup action here and I’m hoping it’s not a case of Angostura bitters for my game choice!
The two sides may not have met for a while after the hosts drop from the top flight, but when they met more regularly, there were certainly a few goals in the offing!
It’s looking likely that Angostura will make a return this campaign and it could be an interesting match up with plenty of appeal for both sides to net:
Both teams to score
(4/5, paddypower) NAP ⭐⭐⭐
Over 2.5 goals
(21/20, bet365) NB ⭐⭐
Best of luck!
Superb Hull, jumped on the over 2.5gls and just saw it come in. Thanks for that??
No worries Andy – great stuff again yourself on the rugby ?
Thanks, been a good day!
In play 34 mins played 1-0
Nairn v Clachnacuddin over 1.5fhgs
11/10
Germany v Argentina
Simple one here
Anytime goal
Serge Gnabry 7/5 paddy powers ***win***
Gnabry scored after 15 minutes.
Think I’ll quit while ahead today.
I been happy with those bets and tips on international football !
Hope my luck continues over the international period.
And looking forward to the rugby world cup knock out matches coming soon . Its getting interesting .
GL with everyone on bets and tips.
Colombian league 11pm ko.
Tolima v Millonarios.
Btts EVENS (hills) NAP.
for reasoning just look up Millonarios away form over the last 15-20 games.
Price drifted to 6-5 on placing my bet.
Don’t know if this is a positive or not.
Double
Monopoli v virtues francavilla (over 1.5mgs) ✅
Cristo Atletico v Burgos Promesas (Burgos DNB) VOID
Shade over evens
Won✅ But not much lol
In play 34 mins played 1-0
Nairn v Clachnacuddin over 1.5fhgs
11/10
???
one from me today, a win double for the two strong home favourites in SA;
–Double–
Deportivo Tachira
Alianza Petrolera
21/10
1 POINT
Team’s to score Holland Russia Poland Portugal
Turkey Ukraine England France 1/1 even’s William hill and vc and coral
Secord one 10POINTS maximum
Team to score north Macedonia and Israel 8/15
And 8/11 all William hill can not believe the price’s for these game’s
Goodluck everyone
4/1 treble
Stockport v Hsrtlepool Btts✅
Germany v Argentina o 2.5 mgls✅
Bracknell v Henwell btts❌
Nacional v Daubio
Nacional -1 6/4
Germany vs Argentina BTTS
***NAP***
FT 2:2 ?
WD to all the winners
Looking like I targeted the one game that mattered in a big but barren Venezuelan Cup card ?
ANGOSTURA VS. MONAGAS:
Both teams to score
(4/5, paddypower) NAP ⭐⭐⭐ ✅
Over 2.5 goals
(21/20, bet365) NB ⭐⭐ ✅
??
Wasnt on unfortunately,brilliant tipping yet again?will have a bash on Tolima over 5.5corners 6/5,well done again??
Glad i did won?
NAP and NB both lost, Chisnal won but Bunting agonisingly tied up the 180 count in the last leg. Well done all winners.
Done a few golf bets with not much football about
France open Francesco molinari 16/1 e/w with paddy power 8 places
Houston open Russell Henley 20/1 e/w with paddy power 8 places
Thrown in a e/w double.and backed them both in the 1st round leader market.
Mike Lorenzo vera@3/1 with bet365 for top French man.
SAS championship rod pampling 25/1e/w and Langer 10/1 e/w.