ARSENAL have no Premier League points away from home this year and that suggests they have little chance of beating Atletico Madrid tonight.
The Gunners blew it in the first leg when they conceded a late equaliser to 10 men.
That 1-1 means Atletico will qualify with a 0-0 while another 1-1 forces extra time – but I'm on the Spaniards to win.
The Gunners have lost at the likes of Bournemouth, Brighton, Swansea, Newcastle, Watford and Stoke this season so their chance of beating one of Europe's most experienced outfits on their own patch look slim.
Atletico are no bigger than 4-11 with betfair to qualify but 19-25 at Marathonbet for a victory at the Wanda Metropolitano where they are unbeaten since losing to Sevilla in the Spanish Cup semis in January.
Diego Costa is in line to start alongside Antoine Griezmann after returning to fitness. He knows all about Arsenal and at Chelsea netted three times in six games against Arsene Wenger's men.
Arsenal must score or they're out and will look to Alexandre Lacazette to provide it and he is 57-17 with Unibet.
The other semi-final is weighted in favour of Marseille who take a 2-0 lead to Red Bull Salzburg. Marseille won't underestimate the Austrians who netted three in four minutes to make a great escape against Lazio in the previous round.
However, the French are in superb form and should score at least once with Dimitri Payet feeding Florian Thauvin who has scored in his last five. Thauvin is 2-1 at Unibet to net tonight.
Red Bull are 6-1 at McBookie to overturn the tie but best bets are over 2.5 goals at 3-4 with Marathonbet or even over 3.5 goals at 2-1 with William Hill.
- Atletico to qualify
- Costa to score
- Red Bull v Salzburg over 2.5 goals
- Thauvin to score