Napoli v Inter, Sunday, 7.45pm

ON the face of it this looks like a real glamour fixture but regular viewers of Serie A will know all too well just how much Inter's star has fallen.

When Andrea Stramaccioni's team beat Napoli back in December they went second in the table but a dire end to the season has seen them fall away and they'll need to finish well to even make the top eight.

Unfortunately for us the rest of the world has caught up with just how bad Inter have become and so Napoli are trading at 1.46 (40-85) for the win they're likely to get.

Javier Zanetti became the most recent and the most heartbreaking addition to Inter's injury list last week and so their squad is down to worse than the bare bones.

I can't see any way Inter will escape from San Paolo with anything other than a heavy defeat and with Edinson Cavani back in the side they could dish out a real beating.

Napoli showed last week against Pescara they have learned how to win games without Cavani and have goalscoring options elsewhere (notably Blerim Dzemaili).

So it's a question now of how we support Napoli in this one. I'm keen to have a small bet on “any unquoted” in the correct score market. If you can get matched at around the 5.8 (5-1) mark that should give you a run for your money and have a look as well at supporting Napoli in the Inter +1 and Inter + 2 markets.

The evening may end up laced with regret – for Inter that the season should finish so poorly and for Napoli that their mid-season loss of form cost them a real chance of the Scudetto.

With Cavani almost certainly gone in the summer they may never have a better opportunity.

Recommended Bet

Back “Any Unquoted” in the Correct Score market in Napoli v Inter

Lazio v Bologna, Sunday, 2pm

THIS is the time of the season when you have to start being careful in Serie A. Bologna are 6.2 (5-1) to win at Lazio this weekend and normally that would look like sensational value.

But there's been a sense with them of playing from memory in recent weeks and that's probably what has pushed their price to where it is. Lazio haven't won since the end of March and their slide down the table has mirrored that of Inter.

They've looked uninspired in front of goal despite the return of Miroslav Klose and there's certainly nothing here that will trouble Bologna.

Stefano Pioli has proved himself an excellent coach this season and is now being rightly linked with a series of top jobs.

I think he'll be keen for his team to end the season on a high and finish in the top 10 while if we're worried about Bologna's motivation we should maybe remember Lazio's European chances could now rest on the Rome derby cup final – and their players might be forgiven for casting a distant eye to that fixture.

Either way Bologna have just about a fully-fit squad for this and have already shown they can pick up big away wins at Roma, Napoli and Inter.

They have drawn their last five games and with Lazio trading at 1.65 (4-6) laying them is an option. But I'm sticking with my initial feeling I can't let Bologna go unbacked at bigger than 5-1 and so they're my selection.

Recommended Bet

Bologna to beat Lazio @ 6.25-1

Milesey (Betfair)

14 Comments
  1. Milesey 11 years ago

    BET OF THE DAY – SUNDAY
    *********************

    Nancy v Lyon (16th v 3rd) Sun, 16:00

    It’s difficult hand the Coach of the Year prize to a man in charge for only half a season but Nancy’s Patrick Gabriel has made a very good case.

    When he took over in January Nancy were bottom of the table, 8pts from safety and seemingly doomed to Ligue 2 next season. Yet Gabriel has inspired a remarkable revival, with their 0-0 draw at Valenciennes last weekend Nancy’s latest fine result. In 15 games under him they have picked up 24pts. If he had been in charge the entire campaign, Nancy would be seventh.

    The strongest trend on Nancy this season is Both Teams to Score. This bet has paid off in 19 of 34 league games, including nine of 17 at their Stade Marcel Picot.

    Lyon are perfectly set-up for the selection as well: embroiled in a tight race for the Champions League places they will commit plenty of men forward and be more vulnerable than usual in defence as first-choice goalkeeper Remi Vercoutre is out with serious ligament damage for six months. Twenty-two-year-old Anthony Lopes will keep his place in goal after making his league debut last weekend.

    Over 2.5 Goals is worth considering at 2.2, but I’d follow the both teams to score trend.

    Nancy v Lyon Both Teams to Score @ 1.91

    Milesey

  2. virtuoso 11 years ago

    Today Seria A games are great for both to score:
    My prediction BTTS
    Milan – Torino
    Juve – Palermo
    Lazio – Bologna

    • Mr Fixit 11 years ago

      virtuoso, I’d worry about Palermo but other teams look OK.

  3. George 11 years ago

    What are the unquoted scores?

    • Mr Fixit 11 years ago

      George, it’s any other correct score for which a price is given. Betfair only offer correct scores up to 3-2 or maybe 3-3 I think. Anything else, such as 4-0 or 4-1, is regarded as unquoted.

  4. Titou 11 years ago

    Inter’s Injury Lists is Huge

    Luca Castellazzi
    Gaby Mudingayi
    Joel Obi
    Diego Milito
    Rodrigo Palacio
    Dejan Stankovic
    Antonio Cassano
    Yuto Nagatomo
    Ibrahima Mbaye
    Walter Samuel
    Matías Silvestre
    Walter Gargano
    Javier Zanetti

  5. Danny 11 years ago

    that being said with 5 goals in his last 5 games I fancy Turkish Midfielder Blerim Dzemaili too net again today at anytime he is 11/2 @ Coral to do so

  6. Duarte 11 years ago

    Lazio 6 Bologna 0

    Lol.

    • Mr Fixit 11 years ago

      Duarte, some score, wasn’t one I was on. Seven out of seven homes in Italy so far, need one more tonight for my treble.

    • coldasice 11 years ago

      Was waiting on just Lazio for £220 – Mogi Mimi v santos (btts), Porto to win, Lanus to win, AC Milan to win and Lazio to win. Was worried after reading tips backing Bologna so chucked £20 on them to cover at 11/2. Mental score for Lazio today after not scoring more than 3 in their last 10 home games. Was lucky as well as AC scored in the 85th to bring the line up.

      Defo double up: Hamburg v Wolfsburg – btts @ 4/7 & Napoli to win@ 2/5

  7. Danny 11 years ago

    Tippeligaen Anytime Goal Scorers

    Alexander Soderlund (Haugesund) @ 21/20 Bet365
    Peter Kovacs (Stromsgodset) @ 1/1 Bet365
    Ricardo Santos (Sogndal) @ 6/4 Ber365

    ZZZZZZ time good luck for the rest of Sundays fixtures

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