Sunday, 12.30pm, live on Sky Sports 2
TWO games so far in the Championship play-offs have produced just the one goal and there's no reason to believe that will change as the Foxes take the slenderest of leads to Watford for this lunchtime kick-off.
Gianfranco Zola's men have hit a bit of a wall at just the wrong time – squandering the chance of automatic promotion at home to Leeds then slipping to defeat at the King Power Stadium on Thursday.
Matej Vydra looked a pale shadow of the striker who had scored 20 goals by the end of February in that game so Troy Deeney, back after suspension, will go straight into the side and be the focal point of the home side's attacking plans.
Having squeezed into the play-offs the Foxes will feel they have nothing to lose and must now fancy their chances of a date at Wembley a week on Monday.
They may not be pretty to watch but their performance on Thursday was just the kind of committed and physical effort which the play-offs call for. Away goals don't count double but strikers of the calibre of David Nugent and Chris Wood are well capable of taking a chance which comes their way and ensuring Watford would have to score at least twice to stay in the tie.
The feeling persists though that the Hornets are at their most effective away from home and will struggle to break down a side who set out their stall to defend deep at Vicarage Road, which is exactly what Leicester will do here. I'm expecting another tight game here and will be backing under 2.5 goals at 1.9 with a considerable degree of confidence.
With neither side in vintage form this is set to be another nailbiting clash and could go all the way. A tight 1-0 win to the home side looks the most likely scoreline so a small play is advised at 8.6.
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.9
Back 1-0 at 8.6