juvevinter

ONE Europa League tie is finely balanced but the other is heavily weighted with the away side.

The more interesting semi-final sees Juventus entertain Benfica trailing 2-1 from the first leg.

It’s a big match for the Serie A leaders with the final being played in their Turin ground.

Benfica’s first-leg success wasn’t a big surprise because they are so strong at home but grabbing an away goal could be crucial and I’m on the Serie A champions-elect to turn it around and qualify at 8-11 with the likes of Ladbrokes and William Hill.

To win on the night Juve, unbeaten at home this season, are just 8-13 at McBookie while the draw pays 10-3 at bet365.

Benfica are 6-5 at McBookie to qualify and have kept a clean sheet in their last four away.

Juve have a doubt over top scorer Carlos Tevez – who hasn’t netted in Europe since 2009 – so I’ll be on Fernando Llorente to score first at 5-1 with Coral.

Benfica’s biggest goal threat will come from Lima who netted the winner in Lisbon and he is 19-5 at 888sport just to net.

The other tie is an all-Spanish one between Valencia and Sevilla and looks almost over after Sevilla won 2-0 at home.

However, I said that in the last round with Valencia trailing Basel 3-0 and we know what happened there – with the Spaniards going through in extra time and winning 5-3 overall. But Alcacer, a hat-trick hero against the Swiss, is banned.

I can’t see a repeat this time as Sevilla are likely to snatch an away goal having netted at least two in four of their last five away matches but they did lose 3-1 at the Mestalla in the league.

However, they’re in good form – Sunday's 3-1 defeat at Bilbao apart – having won five out of six and while I’m tempted to back them to add to their lead at 12-5 with McBookie, best bet could be both to score at 8-13 with Paddy Power.

Valencia are 5-4 at Stan James to win on the night. To qualify it’s Valencia 11-2 with Hills and Sevilla 1-6 at Coral.

Recommended Bets

Juventus to qualify
(8-11, Ladbrokes, William Hill)

Llorente to score
(6-4, bet365)

Valencia v Sevilla btts
(8-13, Paddy Power)

Leagues Tipped:
17 Comments
  1. John 10 years ago

    Mr Fixit, Tevez broke his goal drought in the first leg. I think Juv and Sevilla double.Sevilla will counter tomorrow at will.

  2. StevieB 10 years ago

    good reasoning Mr. F. but ive got a sneaky feeling that Benfica may just scrape through, good luck though

    • Mr Fixit 10 years ago

      StevieB, two good teams but I’m on Juve with home advantage.

  3. Kris 10 years ago

    I’ll be on Juventus and Valencia score/win. Think both to score in both is a certainty and fancy both to sneak the game too.

  4. MiniDuffman 10 years ago

    Small gamble for me. Paul Pogba to score first (10/1)

  5. jamie180 10 years ago

    I think juve will win but I’m on Vidal anytime scorer.takes the pens aswel so got a great chance 5/1

  6. Stephen 10 years ago

    Done a cheeky £10 Juventus & Valencia btts & win returns £130, worth a shot.

  7. everlong 10 years ago

    Hello everyone,

    As a Benfica supporter, today is a win/win situation for me… (Kinda).
    IF Benfica qualifies, I lose money but I will be celebrating till tomorrow!
    If Juventus qualifies… at least I’ll get some :)

    In first case, then i’ll have to do a challenge with your help to buy the trip & ticket to Turim :D

    GL to all
    I believe in Jesus (Benfica’s coach ;) )

  8. Lokti 10 years ago

    Juve to win to Nil at 6/4 is a stand-out. They’re a cracking side and Benfica don’t travel well.

  9. Recoba1980 10 years ago

    Lokti,Benfica dont travel well but have defintely improved on there travels in the league and Europa league. Think i might go BTTS in the 2 games. Also like Llorente first goal. Cheeky Scorecast Silva or Lima first goal and 2-1 Juventus. Good luck guys :)

  10. Alan 10 years ago

    I’ve gone for all four teams to score @ 2/1

  11. John 10 years ago

    Italian teams are very clever at home stopping the oppositions wingers.I remember ac Milan v arsenal a few years ago.the grass on the wing sides were uncut to make it play slow and to make the ball get stuck up.it worked and Walcott hardly could get a good forward run on that pitch.So I expect Juve to win and I expect Sevilla to win,I feel Valencia will attack from the start and be countered constantly. Sevilla have a very good attack with the maestro ratikic in midfield what a player.and with Reyes upfront and baccu I expect goals,and quick breaks.Valencia are missing their main goalscorer alc.

  12. golden 10 years ago

    I like the anytime scorer its a ongoing (unless subbed) and can be great value.
    Benfica scorers : Garay and luisao as anytime scorers are both at 12/1 are worth a £5 -£10 of peoples money . Both are big dangers at set plays. Garay especially. This season he he has 2 in 6 europa league matches. In the league from 27 apps its 6 goals . He also scored last week against Juve after 2 mins.

    Luisao 2 goals in 7 europa league matches . And 1 goal in 27 matches in league.

    Vidal may be on starting from the bench hes recovering from injury but came on in Juve last league match and like others i think hes a fair bet for the Juve anytime scorer. The other i favor is Marchisio 7/2 anytime who ghasnt scored much but scored in last league match so i often like to take a player who scored in his last game

    all willhills …

  13. darran 10 years ago

    juve are looking very lazy at the minute

  14. Willie McGuire 10 years ago

    Tonight has just summed up the Europa League for me. A complete minefield for punters.

  15. John 10 years ago

    Thanks Juve for a laboured poor performance in such a big game.Very shocked at how one dimensional Juve are.poor poor performance. Bayern Chelsea and Juv disasters!

  16. everlong 10 years ago

    Hello again :D

    Benfica is in the final! For the second time in a row!

    Lost some money but my heart is filled with joy! :D

    Now as stated before… I’ll need some help to build up my bank account so I can go to Turim… :D

    Viva o Benfica!!!

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