MAN CITY go into tonight's clash at Aston Villa 15 points adrift of Man United but the gap should be cut by three at the end of the game.
So for better value you have to look elsewhere and City should cover the minus one handicap at 13-10 with Paddy Power. Villa have improved slightly and since crashing out of the Capital One Cup to Bradford haven't lost by more than a goal – and beaten West Ham and drawn at Everton.
City thrashed Paul Lambert's men 5-0 at the Etihad and have quality players who can really hurt signs of weakness in defence. The Villa kids could be spooked by the likes of Sergio Aguero and Carlos Tevez who are 7-2 and 4-1 respectively to score first almost across the board.
But I backed Yaya Toure to strike against Chelsea in his last outing and he had an impressive scoring performance. Toure is a huge player for Roberto Mancini's men and is worth a look at 5-2 with BetVictor and Paddy Power to score at anytime. For first goal he is 17-2 with bet365.
There is a chance Villa will score as there last six have seen both on target and have decent forward players such as Christian Benteke who has netted six in six games and Andreas Weimann. Benteke is decently-priced at 11-4 with Coral to score.
There is one game in La Liga and Sevilla should beat Celta Vigo but again are no bigger than 8-15 with Ladbrokes. Sevilla will be concentrating on the league after losing to Atletico Madrid in the Copa del rey semi-finals and have been strong at home with eight wins in nine.
Celta are struggling to avoid the drop and have won just once away from home this season but the fixture has a history of low scorers. It's been no to both teams to score in the last meetings, with five of them finishing 1-0 – four to the visitors.
So best bet could be under 2.5 goals at 11-10 with Paddy Power while 1-0 Sevilla pays 7-1 at BetVictor. It looks a 1-0 or 2-0 and Celta have conceded exactly one goal in five of their last six outings.
I'm on a Man City/Sevilla double and on a quiet night if you wanted to a third team it could be Braga at struggling Olhanense in Portugal. Braga's poor away record puts off me off a bit but they need the points – as do their relegation-haunted rivals. Could be a tight win for Braga and treble pays £39.70 to a £10 stake at Coral.
However, I'm happy withthe double and it really should come ine and give us some spending power for Tuesday and Wednesday.
Man City/Sevilla double
Pays a best £23.40 to a £10 stake at Paddy Power
Man City -1
(13-10, Paddy Power)
Man City to win both halves
Under 2.5 goals at Sevilla
(11-10, Paddy Power)