THE weather was more shocking than the results at Wimbledon on Thursday – although one of my tips Milos Raonic was well beaten by Igor Rijsing.
Andy Murray is back in action on Friday and I can't see anything but a victory for the Scot. However, there is a chance he could drop a set to tenacious Spaniard Tommy Robredo who likes his clay more than the grass.
Murray is best 1-25 with Paddy Power so it might be worth taking a risk on 3-1 Murray at 4-1 with William Hill.
Elsewhere in the men's singles I like the look of German rastafarian Dustin Brown who blew away Lleyton Hewitt in the last round and even won over the Aussie fans. Brown's career has been hampered by injuries and lack of money but he's looking the real deal and can follow up with a win against Adrian Mannarino. Brown is 8-13 at Titanbet.
I'm also taking a chance on Latvian Ernests Gulbis who took advantage of Jo-Wilfried Tsonga's injury in the previous round. Gulbis is a tough nut to crack and I like him at 4-5 to beat another Spaniard Fernando Verdasco.
Complete the treble with American Sloane Stephens who I tipped to win yesterday but her match was rained off. She is 8-13 to beat Petra Cetkovska.
Tennis Single
3-1 Murray
(4-1, William Hill)
Tennis Treble
Brown, Gulbis, Stephens
Pays £46.92 to a £10 stake at Titanbet
Note: Check starting times as weather disruptions are likely
Watch out for Ellis's day 5 tips and keep an eye on whether Grigor Dimitrov keeps his £10 to £1000 challenge alive. Dimitrov trails 9-8 in the final set.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Verdasco, almagro douvle
Stakhovsky – Melzer 2 @1.83
Flipkens – Dolonc 2 @2.65
Bouchard – Suarez Navarro 2 @1.83
Stephens – Cetkovska 1 @1.7
Youzhny – Troicki over 39.5 @1.85
——————-
total: 27.9
Stakhovsky beat Federer, so I’m betting against him this game, Malzer seems like value.
Flipkens beat Jovanovski thanks to her opponent’s mistakes more than her good game. Dolonc played surprisingly well so far and taking down two strong opponents makes her more than one-hit-wonder. Also, Dolonc won twice against Flipkens few years ago on hard surface, so expect possible suprise here.
Bouchard beat Ivanovic, but Ivanovic is slow and navigating on grass was too hard for her, plus she missed too many clean shots. Navarro had better results on grass so far and both ranking and experience are on her side.
Stephens is rock steady this year, so even though Cetkovska took down (lately unimpressive) Wozniacki, my money is on American.
Youzhny and Troicki I see going to 4 or 5 sets, so over in games seems like a good bet.
CONSENSUS BETTING TENNIS.
(The tennis matches from Wimbledon most experts agrees on having value combined with my staking plan.)
I knew it! As soon as I as much as looks at an outdoor tennismatch as a betting object it starts raining. And a 40% chance of rain in London today! So I’ve chosen just two matches from the (covered) centre court where there’s concensus among experts. Concensus on Murray to win at centre court tonight too but no value in the odds. Two experts like the odds (2,20) on over 8.5 games in the first set but that’s just not quite concensus enough for me.
L. Robson – M. Duque-Marino
M. Duque-Marino +6 games
Odds: 1,90
Stake: €45.00
J. Janowicz – N. Almagro
J. Janowicz
Odds: 1,75
Stake: €49.00
Total stake: €94.00
If 1 pick correct: -10% lost of my €94.00
If 2: +82%%
The Dane.
I agree with brown and stephens mr f… remember watching brown give murray a very good game a couple of years ago in the us open when I went over for it. Hes a cracking player! Bit unsure about gulbis though!
kev, Gulbis could maybe go either way but I reckon he edges Verdasco on grass.
Treble for me at Wimbledon today. Going with most of your tips Mr F
Brown and Stephens to win and M. Duque-Marino + 6 games against Robson.
Treble pays 5.33
Stakhovsky@1.85
Qureshi A U H / Rojer J J – Malisse X / Skupski Pick :1@1.80
Any one know what time Dimitrov is set to play barrin the rain ?
Agree that Tommy Robredo could nick a set i think i may look at the overs market in each set.
On Sloane Stephens again @ 8/13, reasons as previously stated
Like the look of Sam Stosur @ 11/8, although depending what Sam Stosur(can be very inconsistent/erratic) turns up, it could end in tears!
Lindstedt/Nestor, Peya/Soares and Mirnyi/Tecau are three odds on pairings that should progress in the Men’s.
8n the Women’s, Robson/Raymond v Groenefeld/Peschke to go the distance and may have a tie-break or two during the match!
Here’s hoping it isn’t a washout!!
put these on last night as had tenner sitting in account burning a hole.
to lose the 1st and win the match
dustin johnson 9/2
tommy haas 11/2
jurgen melzee 5/1
fernando vedasco 11/2
mikhail youzny 9/2
andy murray 6/1 10p trebles returns £466
plyers to win 3-1
dustin Johnson 3/1
Fernando verdasco 4/1
Mikhail youzny 3/1
Jurgen melzer 9/2
Tommy hass 11/4 10p trebles returns £86
shoved last £7 on football acca for 1st day back for £138
man utd
chelsea
psg
lyon
psv
ajax
dortmund
Juan Monaco to lose to Kenny De Schepper @ 3’s 5/10
+5 Games De Schepper @ 1.83 6/10
Viktor Troicki vs Mikhail Youzhny Over 39.5 Games @ 1.72 8/10
Petra Kvitova to beat Ekaterina Makrarova @ 1.80 8/10
Dustin Brown to beat Adrian Mannarino @ 1.61 8/10
seems a few folk have went for Dustin Brown, apart from Murray games thats the only mens game I’ve seen as was hoping to do bit in play but bookies weren’t giving much away. watched keys v watson aswell but Brown impressed in that showing v hewitt
Like it mr f! Sticking to ur guns! Any idea if kerber match is likely to get played today mr f?
kev, just back from golf so don’t know about Kerber. Raining just now so only Centre Court getting used and Murray abut to start.
Cancelled my Double of Sloane Stephens & Jerzy Janowicz
in favor of a 4 Fold which I’m probably going to regret …
Jerzy Janowicz to beat Nicolas Almagro
Dustin Brown to beat Adrian Mannarino
Petra Kvitova to beat Ekaterina Makarova
Sloane Stephens to beat Petra Cetkovska
@ 8.11 (Bet365)
Titou skybet has kvitova stephens and bartoli to win at 4/1 enhanced… I fancy that
Kev i like the look of that shout mate, Good luck if you decided to take.
it**
Got 10 on it mate… waiting for my acca from yesterday to come in. Just need kerber to win! Cmaam
Spoke to soon kev ?
Yup! Sure did. Damn bitch double faulted 9 times!! Really??
Kerber blew a 5-1 lead in the 2nd set tie break as well
I know mate. Gutted!! :( heres hoping kvitova bartoli and stephens can rescue me!!
Feck sake brown!! And stephens for that matter!! :@
Had £500 on verdasco going big haha