WEEK 11 saw a lot of surprises so I’m hoping to avoid any on Thanksgiving.
The favourites look right to me even though Chicago are on the road. Matt Stafford usually has a good turkey day but this should be different with Mack and that defence coming to town. Likely to be without Johnson and Jones, the Lions really don’t have any offensive weapons other than Golladay.
Washington head to Jerry world with Colt McCoy under centre after Alex Smith's horrific leg break on Sunday. McCoy has experience and very nearly beat the Texans in his cameo role but for four quarters I can’t see him keeping up with the Cowboys who have been decent since Amari Cooper's arrival which is freeing up room for Zeke to roam.
The night game sees the Falcons head to the Super Bowl favourites New Orleans who are scoring a league high 37.8 points per game (48 over their last 3).
Revenge will be on the cards for Atlanta but there is no stopping Drew Brees who is my MVP favourite. The Saints should be the second team to reach 10 wins come Friday morning so I’ll tease down the field goal win.
I’m also on a prop in the Dallas game. I mentioned Jordan Reed had a good connection with McCoy when he took over from Smith, and I’m on his receiving line which is very low. Pinnacle have opened up this line @ 47.5, so this seems decent. The Cowboys have allowed the second most yards to Tight Ends over the last two weeks.
Recommended Bets
- Bears +3.5 – 5.30pm
- Cowboys -2.5 – 9.30pm
- Saints -2.5 – 1.20am
- (21-20, bet365) – 4pts
- Jordan Reed (Washington Redskins) over 43.5 receiving yards (5-6, Skybet) – 3 points
- Ezekiel Elliott & Jordan Reed Anytime TD (3-1, William Hill) – 1 point
In December 2020 we sadly 
Hi Jordan, Ive been a fan of the Bears since I was a young kid and although I’ve never fully understood the rules or watched many games, Ive always looked out for their results. This is the best year I can remember them having for some time. Do you think they’ve got a good chance of winning the superbowl this year?
Regards
Forshie
@forshie, unfortunately I don’t think they can win the super bowl just yet with Trubisky, but they have certainly exceeded expectations and are actually playing good ball while being lifted by the defense. I still think they are a few players away from beating the Saints/Rams but could very well win the division the way the Packers and Vikings are playing.
Cheers for your reply mate. All the best in your betting endeavours 👍.
Ask this bet to be voided as the starting QB has been changed. They should be fine about it. Have done so with mine.
For now I’m on a prop in the Dallas game. I mentioned Jordan Reed had a good connection with McCoy when he took over from Smith, and I’m on his receiving line which is very low. Pinnacle have opened up this line @ 47.5, so this seems decent. The Cowboys have allowed the second most yards to Tight Ends over the last two weeks.
Jordan Reed (Washington Redskins) Over 43.5 Receiving Yards @ 5/6 @ Skybet – 3 points
With Trubisky out you should expect a heavy workload for Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen. They aren’t going to put this thing in Chase Daniels hands when leading the division. Lowest line I’ve seen for Howard is 57.5 @ Pinnacle, Skybet @ 59.5. See what 365 come out as.
Ezekiel Elliott & Jordan Reed Anytime Td @ 3/1 @ William Hill – 1 point
Is it just me or is over 59.5 in the Falcons @ Saints not very achievable with these O’s? Last time out they put up 80 and the Falcons know to beat the Saints they’re looking at high 30’s minimum. Plus this is a game the Falcons want to win for various reasons. This line seems short to me and @ 10/11 it appeals.
Is it just me or is over 59.5 in the Falcons @ Saints not very achievable with these O’s? Last time out they put up 80 and the Falcons know to beat the Saints they’re looking at high 30’s minimum. Plus this is a game the Falcons want to win for various reasons. This line seems short to me and @ 10/11 it appeals.
I’m advising to take Drew Brees as MVP while its above EVS as that likely won’t be the case by tomorrow. Breaking records like total passing yards, the Saints being one of the highest scoring teams in NFL history this season, and the man has thrown 1 INT to 19 TD’s. Only Aaron Rodgers can boast similar ratios, but Rodgers won’t be getting no MVP unless we win every game remaining.
Drew Brees Regular Season MVP @ EVS @ 365 – 5 points
Reed landed. One more punt for Thursday. Mark Ingram Over 80.5 Rush/Receiving Yards @ 4/5 @ 365 – 2.5 points
Saints/Falcons – 1:30AM
Thanks for the Reed tip Jordan 👍
Cheers Crofty
I’m throwing in the towel on Green Bay this season. We were able to blame the losses in LA and New England on team performances, but something looked off with Rodgers in Seattle and Green Bay on a whole. With news today of Mike Daniels and now Nick Perry missing extended time, I can’t see us keeping out the Vikings on any of their drives. While its probably not a good idea to back against Rodgers, it just seems right at the moment. I’m leaning towards Mike McCarthy not being there next season if things continue too.
Double the Vikings with the Patriots coming off their bye in New York who will be once again manned by Josh McCown. I fancied the Jets to win their last outing at home against the woeful Bills, and how wrong we were with a 41-10 thumping. The Jets won’t be half as bad as then, but I’m betting McCown doesn’t keep up with Brady. Brady has been ailing in trailing but my guess is he’ll go as the line is still active.
Patriots -3.5 – 6:00PM
Vikings +3.5 – Monday 1:20AM
4/5 @ 365 – 5 points
Will have some props up tomorrow, potentially later.