I’M throwing in the towel on Green Bay this season. We were able to blame the losses in LA and New England on team performances but something looked off with Rodgers in Seattle and Green Bay on a whole.
With news of Mike Daniels and now Nick Perry missing extended time I can’t see us keeping out the Vikings on any of their drives.
While its probably not a good idea to back against Rodgers it just seems right at the moment. I’m leaning towards Mike McCarthy not being there next season if things continue too.
Double the Vikings with the Patriots coming off their bye in New York who will be once again manned by Josh McCown.
I fancied the Jets to win their last outing at home against the woeful Bills and how wrong we were with a 41-10 thumping. The Jets won’t be half as bad as then but I’m betting McCown doesn’t keep up with Brady. Brady has been ailing in trailing but my guess is he’ll go as the line is still active.
Recommended Bets
- Patriots -3.5 (6pm)
- Vikings +3.5 (1.20am, Mon)
- (4-5, bet365 – 5pts
In December 2020 we sadly 
Hi all double for me
Bengals +5.5
Eagles +1.5 11/10 alt handicap coral in shop terminal
Not even half time oops
9:25PM
Marlon Mack (Indianapolis Colts) Over 79.5 Rush & Receiving Yards @ 10/11 @ PP – 3.3 points
No bet week for me.
Good tipping Jordan.
Skipping the Monday night game as it’s tough to call. I’d lean the Texans with Mariota’s health in question. You don’t quite know which Titans are going to come out. Lean Corey Davis Receiving Yards but not a solid play.
Night shift so sticking a small NBA bet on.
Bucks ML
Thunder ML
Pels ML
Clippers ML
Mavs +9 & under 215.5
5.4/1 @ bet365 (additional 20% parlay bonus) – 1 point
Looking ahead to week 13 I think there is 6 expected to win in Saints, Broncos, Packers, Chiefs, Seahawks & Texans (Browns are getting some noise but not in Texas against this Texans team).
Then I’ve got 3 that should win in Rams, Colts (Jags dropped O coach, Fournette suspended & Bortles dropped) & Pats (Rhodes should be out and Pats @ home are a different beast).
I like the Eagles after a close win against a banged up Skins O & Dolphins against a poor road team in the Bills.
Then I can’t make my mind up on the Bears without Trubisky & Panthers who are in a must win situation now. How they lost to the Seahawks I don’t know but surely can take care of the Bucs!
Could do with some thoughts to help whittle this down.
NFL Week 13 Tips.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay
Going for Carolina -4 at evens. Carolina need the win to stay in the play-off race, defense hasn’t been playing good enough recently, but with a chance to play against a hot/cold QB in Jameis Winston I think they should re-coup. Secondly does anyone expect Tampa’s defense to get a stop?
Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans
Mayfield has been on a terrific run of form which has a resurgent Browns vibe going on. However Texans are winners of 8 straight arguably in even better form. This game for me points one of two ways, Browns get smoked or over 48 points. I’m leaning with over 48 points both teams look like they have the ability to create a shootout.
Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons
Ravens are looking revitalised with Jackson under centre, the passing game hasn’t picked up much agreed. However the ability to run the ball and still make better throws than Flacco can’t go unnoticed. Ravens have a tough defense and if the Ravens are able to build a lead and keep the running ball I think this is an obvious mismatch, Falcons are missing several key defensive players. I’m going with Ravens -2.5.
Vikings Vs Patriots
I’m not as confident as I used to be this this time of year as a Pats fan. But one thing we can’t hide is we’re actually unbeaten when Gronk, Gordon and Edelman play together. Doesn’t mean we will automatically win but I saw enough big plays last week to remind myself A. Tom Brady is still a top 5 quarterback B. Single Gronk and he will still beat you C. If you double Gronk, Gordon or Edleman will win there match-ups.
Diggs is looking doubtful which plays a massive part as I expect Gilmore to shadow Thielen all game, he’s played at a lockdown level throughout the year bar his illness against the Titans. Do the Vikings have a run game?
Patriots -5 and comfortable.
4 fold is 15.06/1 on 365
Probably one of the toughest weeks to choose sides imo and I’m still unsure. No value in teams like Green Bay, Rams or Seattle, but its teams like Denver, Carolina and Atlanta that intrigue me most. Denvers tough defense against a QB in his first NFL start. The Bengals tightened up their run D against the bruising Nick Chubb last week, but Lindsay is a very different back and has shown impressive skills this season. I’m taking his rush and receiving yards with confidence in a game thats likely to see 14mph+ winds.
My lean Carolina is also because of potential weather with high winds and rain expected in Tampa. Fingers crossed no thunder storms which would likely stop play, but Carolina should have won last week and will be looking to snap a 3 game losing streak. No matter which QB the Buccs field, they will likely cough up the ball, and with Cam now finding playmakers throughout his offense outside of Olsen and McCaffery, the Panthers should win, but a division game on the road is usually a grind.
Final lean being Atlanta is based on not being as impressed with Lamar Jackson as his two game win streak shows. If The Raiders offense wasn’t so inept, they might have struggled to beat Oakland if it wasn’t for the Ravens defensive TD in garbage time. Jackson threw two picks in that game, and with Jones returning for Atlanta on D, there’s probably no better linebacker than he to spy Jackson. Both of Jacksons wins have come at home too, so it will be interesting to see if he can handle the crowd if they get behind. They’ve been lucky enough to have not been trailing for too long over Jacksons two starts, so if Atlanta can eek out a lead, they could easily test Jacksons arm.
For my two cents I’d advise caution on betting in Green Bay with temperatures hovering around 0 with 22pmh winds…
For now…
Phillip Lindsay (Denver Broncos) Over 96.5 Rush and Receiving Yards @ 4/5 @ 365 – 2.5 points