THE obvious double tonight is to take a punt on big guns Atletico Madrid and Benfica.

But they're both involved in cup action and we know what can happen there especially as the duo are likely to rest some stars. However, both should win at home to Real Betis and at Academica respectively.

Atletico have been one of the success stories of the season, helped to a great extent by strike sensation Falcao, and sit second in La Liga – outshining city rivals Real.

The capital outfit have an incredible home record, winning all 10 of their league matches this season, and are massive favourites to carve out a quarter-final first-leg lead.

Betis are no mugs of course and lie fourth after four wins in five and much could depend on whether Falcao starts.

He hardly ever plays cup games but Atletico are expected to name a strong side as they bid to land a trophy. Betis will be close to full strength so it should be a proper game.

Atletico are a biggest 2-5 at with BetVictor and Ladbrokes and I'll have no doubts about them if Falcao starts. The Colombian is just 2-1 at William Hill and Paddy Power to score first and
4-11
at the likes of bet365 to net at any time.

Benfica remain unbeaten in the league and top ahead of Porto after their weekend draw against their great rivals. They'll be eyeing a Portuguese Cup win after Porto were knocked out and they head for holders Academica in good shape.

However, once again there are doubts over whether the likes of star striker Oscar Cardozo will start so team news should be checked.

Academica are no mugs and as holders of course will want to fight to defend their trophy. Just last week they lost 3-2 away to Benfica in the League Cup and the last league meeting between the pair finished 2-2.

So with Benfica pretty short at 2-5 with William Hill, bet365 and BetVictor the best bet could be both teams to score at 1-1 with Paddy Power and bet365. Three of the last four meetings have seen both score and be over 3.5 goals.

The other Portuguese Cup tie is an all-Second Division affair between Arouca and Belenenses. This league is one I'm not too familiar but I've seen a few tips for Belenenses who are the league leaders.

Arouca have struggled in the league bit been great in the cup but did lose 3-0 at home to Belenenses earlier in the season. That makes 11-8 on the away at Blue Square and 888sport fairly attractive.

Recommendations

Falcao to score first
(2-1, William Hill, Paddy Power)

Both to score at Academica
(1-1, Paddy Power, bet365)

Belenenses
(11-8, Blue Square, 888sport)

113 Comments
  1. Milesey 8 years ago

    Only horses for me today

    Lucky 15

    1.50 Wincanton
    Minella Theatre

    2.10 Thurles
    Roi Du Mee

    4.30 Wolverhampton
    Miss Bunter

    7.00
    Spifer
    ———————————-

    E/W Patent

    1.00 Lingfield
    Guest of Honour

    2.20 Wincanton
    Clouded Thoughts

    2.40 Thurles
    Charlie’s Vic
    ———————-

    Patent

    Meydan
    2.30 Belgian Bill

    4.50 Glass office

    5.25 In the Spotlight

    ————————–

    Milesey.

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      7.00 Wolverhampton

      Spifer NON Runner

    • Muzza 8 years ago

      And me.
      Wolv treble tonight:
      4:30 Aubrieta
      5:00 Stand Guard
      6:30 Syrian

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      You not doing any Meydan ?

      Start of their festival today.

      Milesey.

    • Muzza 8 years ago

      Not had much success at Meydan so not tempted really. Will be watching Fallon & Spencer. If I was betting my picks would be:

      14:30 Elderly Paradise EW
      15:05 Naqshabban
      15:40 My Special J’s
      16:15 Devils Cut
      16:50 Glass Office
      17:25 Royaaty EW

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      Have replaced NON runner Spifer, with Rosie Future in the 6.00 Wolverhampton.

      Lucky 15

      1.50 Wolverhampton
      Minella Theatre

      2.10 Thurles
      Roi Du Mee

      4.30 Wolverhampton
      Miss Bunter

      6.00 Rosie Future

  2. Alva 8 years ago

    Dont think ATH.MAD.win is all that clear cut Betis aint no mugs 4th in league.I fancy u2.5 goals and bts NO.Both pay evs.general.

  3. Stan 8 years ago

    Btts double for atletico and benfica games pays 2.43/1. Is this a good bet?

  4. Milesey 8 years ago

    What do people think about having to pay Double for a lottery ticket ?

    ——————————————————

    The cost of a lottery ticket is set to double in price later this year.

    Operators Camelot say the increase to £2 for a single line of numbers will help it create more winners and help more charities.

    The prize for matching three numbers will go up from £10 to £25.

    Prize money will also be halved to £50,000 if you win five numbers and the bonus ball.

    The firm says this is the first rise since the game was introduced 19 years ago and the extra revenue will mean more cash for charities.

    After carrying out research about the game, Camelot UK managing director Andy Duncan said: “Our players still love Lotto but after 18 years they say they want more from it.

    The average Saturday jackpot will increase from around £4.1 million to £5 million and the Wednesday jackpot will increase from an estimated £2.2 million to around £2.5 million.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, I’m sure many people will be angered by it but I rarely buy a ticket so I’m not bothered. Would rather stick £2 on a daft football line than buy a lottery ticket.

    • Muzza 8 years ago

      Not too bothered either I just think people will do less lines and spend same amount

    • robert miller 8 years ago

      100 per cent inrease Milesy is totally scandalous in this current financial climate where household chains like Comet are shuttin down evey week

      personally i think a lot of people will now go down the road of works, club bonus ball thingies

      okay rant over will get me coat!!!!!!

  5. Muzza 8 years ago

    Milesey just seen Tour Dargent is running in 15:00 at Lingfield. This looks a much classier horse than anything else in the field and would be my Nap of the day

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      Fallen in past 2 races, you confident it’ll get around ?

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      Fallen previous 2 outings, both as a 5/4 FAV, last with Geraghty on board who has the ride today.

  6. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Milesey I buy a lottery ticket every Sayurday. I sometimes buy one in a wed (when I remember). I just see it as a weekly donation to be honest but unfortunately I’ve picked the same numbers since day one and I’d be pig sick if my numbers were to come up and I stopped buying them

    It would be better if I had just done a lucky dip, that way I would have never known. I think winning £10 for 3 numbers is abysmal, even £25 is still crap. Remember when a standard Jackpot was 10m? Nowadays to get a 10m Jackpot there has to be a triple rollover. I personally will stop buying the tickets if they increase them to £2.

  7. JB 8 years ago

    Single
    Betis Draw No Bet 9/2

    Treble
    Belenenses -1
    Benfica -1
    Atl Madrid -1

    £10 returns £208

  8. John Henderson 8 years ago

    TOUR D ARGENT should not fall today only national hunt flat races Lingfield :)

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      Sorry yes thats right, the 3.00 is a class 4 NH FLat Bumper.

      1.10 Thurles…….. Ruby walsh ride backed all the way into 3/10, then in play Irish punters ringing in to lay it off , thousands, after thousands staked on the lay, last jump…….. boom it falls ! hahaha, corrupt Irish racing again !

    • Muzza 8 years ago

      You sound surprised?! What happened to tour Dargent ? My Meydan picks 2 out of 2 second but to be fair I would have backed early EW at 10’s & 8’s so in profit…

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      Finished 3rd.

      3.30 Lingfield. Border station, betfair sp 320 WOW.

  9. Lord Clegg 8 years ago

    Next thing you know there’ll be two or three draws on each night like the Irish lottery. I will not be stumping up £2 on the off chance of winning 25 quid and reading their good causes list makes me even more determined. Thunderball only from now on until they muck about with that… again.

  10. Hughie 8 years ago

    Never had four numbers in all the years lotto running can’t believe they now wont £2 a ticket just lost another customer.

  11. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Lucky 15 for suhin to watch today.
    2.00 hollow penny
    2.20 fine parchment
    3.00 cold knight
    4.00 definitely gold
    £5 on benfica belenese ath madrid

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      nice win on HOLLOW PENNY.

  12. John 8 years ago

    I notice Antalyaspor are 2/9 to score 1 or more goals tonight while the away side are 1/4, does that mean bookies are thinking the away team have better chance than the home side?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      John, it means they are slightly leaning towards the away side.

  13. James 8 years ago

    What you think of this treble mr f
    Hjk helsinki
    Betis
    Benfica

    £10 pays £150

    Hjk have already won so im waiting for betis & benfica , betis highly under rated i think ?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      James, I’ve tipped Atletico so obviously I don’t fancy it but in the cup anything can happen.

  14. Stephen 8 years ago

    i fancy this..

    Antalyaspor v Eskisehirspor – exactly 2 or 3 goals
    Arouca v Belenenses – over 2.5 goals
    Coimbra v Benfica – over 2.5 goals
    Athletico Madrid v Betis – exactly 2 or 3 goals

    16/1

  15. usa man 8 years ago

    betis under 2.5

  16. Danny The Power Taylor 8 years ago

    Inter Turku tip wasnt too clever first game after a long break a hope once the finland norway sweeden leagues are up an running a can carry on the good luck ive had in previous seasons dinomite for btts

  17. AC 8 years ago

    hello fella’s

    Meydan 5.25

    The horse In The Spotlight is all the rage in India at the moment and is hacking it up by winning Classics all over the country. Has been backed in from 5/1 into 3/1 in places so could be top dollar.

    Ahzeemah 4/1 who has won some very decent races here and actually fairly easily is one to watch

    Then i spotted Kidnapped 33/1 2 years ago under Frankie Dettori this horse posted a decent effort in a better race. 11lb lower now and either not run over suitable C&D since or has genuinely flopped (Hope it’s the former) its the Longshot of the day.

  18. Danny 8 years ago

    fancy Veria-Xanthi 2 go over 2.5 goals @ 2/1 over 3.5 looks attractive @ 5/1 but may be asking 2 much

  19. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Copperwood EW in the 7.00 11/1 plus if it wins get free bet on next feature race wi bet365.
    Got eskyiaspor to score 2+ at 6/4

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      I have Calaf in the 7.00 @13/2 WIN.

  20. usa man 8 years ago

    benfica to win 3-2 28/1 labrokes

  21. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    What about Atletico Madrid to win by 1 goal @ 3/1?

  22. Stan 8 years ago

    Mr fixit, do you think atletico v betis will be btts?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Stan, there’s a chance of btts at Atletico. Betis are capable of scoring but remember it’s a first-leg tie so they may be more defensive.

  23. Chris Harris 8 years ago

    With the increase in lottery ticket to £2 will the prizes be adjusted accordingly…

    Hmmm

  24. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Athletico not to score in both halves at evens

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Craig, that could be a great if Falcao is not playing.

  25. paul 8 years ago

    thinking of doing over 3 for benfica game and atletico -1 any one know the team news.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Paul, more chance in Benfica game I think because last two have been 3-2 and 2-2. I’d imagine Benfica will be close to strength but Atletico probably rest some.

    • paul 8 years ago

      thanks,think am going to go for btts in both matches and costa to score any time pretty sure he will be starting.

  26. Sean McCready 8 years ago

    Mr fixit are you doing a piece or tips on African cup of nations or even a sneaky wee competition ;-)

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Sean, hoping to put up a preview tomorrow or Saturday morning. Admin I think are looking at doing a contest.

    • Sean McCready 8 years ago

      Great mr. F, thanks

  27. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    There had been doubts over the fitness of star man Radamel Falcao after the Colombian reportedly suffered a knock at the weekend, but he’s recovered and is set to start. Elsewhere, there are no differences to the 18 that overcame Zaragoza a few days back.

    Reports in the local press say we could see a few changes made to counter things and keep legs fresh, but as we’ve seen many times under Simeone, every player is counted on and can do a job if needed.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I hope so.

  28. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    £5 on ht Atletico FT Betis @ 80/1

  29. Guido 8 years ago

    4 x doubles – Real Betis X2 15/4 and 13/2 and Academica 1X 13/2 and 7/2. Both teams are no mugs and throw in it cup games,…at those odds be rude not to hava small punt!! :-)

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Guido, totally agree. Atletico and Benfica are not bankers but if they field strong teams both should win.

  30. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Thankfully never put my bets on yet. Still deliberating and waiting for team news. If Falcao playing then he simply must be backed for first goal. Can’t see many goals in this one though. I think 3/1 on Atletico to win by 1 goal is a decent price and cover this by putting small stake on 2-0 so that way you have 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1. I’d be surprised if the scoreline was any different to be honest.

    • Guido 8 years ago

      Hez got an obvious good chance Chris…but at 2/1 or less fgs not great value. Of course in saying that a 2/1 winner is better than a 20/1 loser…its skinny tho

  31. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul do you think the to win by 1 goal @ 3/1 is worth a punt? Was thinking about sticking £100 on it and cover it with £15 on 2-1

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I’m not sure. I don’t advise too much on cup games. If it was in the league I’d be looking at 2-0 or 2-1 Atletico. If you’re doing a ton on to win by one you’re not covering it by taking a 2-1 victory – you’re increasing your win potential.

  32. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    That’s not what I meant Paul I meant £15 on 2-0

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, that makes more like it. For me once I see the teams I’ll decide. If Falcao starts I’m backing him to score first – if he doesn’t I might do Betis draw no bet. But nothing with big stakes on this one – it just doesn’t make sense.

  33. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Arrgghhh don’t know what I’m going to do. If Cordoza and Falcao both start maybe do 4 x £15 doubles @ 2/1 and 3/1. Cost will be £60 with each double returning £180

  34. john g 8 years ago

    9hours an 29 mins ago Dr Chris guy got his mate
    to put 210 worth of bets on atletico game. 29 mins ago, he’s no got his bets on, you’re a clown mate. And that’s what you called me so don’t start greeting to Mr fixit

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      John g, that’s right it was his mate with the Paddy Power account. Maybe the doc’s been working too hard.

  35. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    No big stake on Falcao if he starts? I he try’s I was thinking £100 first and £50 last.

  36. Dr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    John no never got him to do it. Phoned him just in the nick of time as Paul posted that he was doubtful. Don’t know why you keep attacking me halfwit. Are you jealous or something? I phoned my mate in the morning and asked him to put the bets on for me due to them restricting my stakes. He said he would phone them at lunch time as he was at work! Understood? Hope your brain can retain such info. Also who goes running to Mr Fixit, I’m more than capable of shooting you down in flames myself :-)

  37. al 8 years ago

    Lima and falcao first goal scorer double
    Get on

  38. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    John G congratulations you made me change my name.

  39. al 8 years ago

    John G congratulations you made me change my name.

  40. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Loved by Some
    Hated By More
    Respected By All

  41. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    AI £600 on Chris Guy please

  42. al 8 years ago

    AI £600 on Chris Guy please

  43. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    I won’t let you down AI

  44. al 8 years ago

    I know u are a dead cert

  45. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Nice turn around fi belenese, hopefully tgey hold out to keep ma treble on the go

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Craig, backed Belenenses too. Noticed earlier Racing Post had a big write-up tipping them and that convinced me.

  46. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    3-1 now Craig easy mate

  47. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    AI the bookies have decided to pay your bet out early.

  48. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Strong Benfica Team Everyone

    Benfica XI vs Académica: Artur; André Almeida, Jardel, Luisão and Melgarejo; Matic, Enzo Pérez, Ola John and Salvio; Lima and Cardozo

  49. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Just seen that chris, decent price on them too, Falcao starting too so athletico should be ok only worry now is benfica

  50. al 8 years ago

    John g non runner . chris

  51. al 8 years ago

    Lima first goalscorer

  52. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Falcao starts! Strong Team

    T. Courtois
    Juanfran
    Miranda
    D. Godín
    Filipe
    M. Suárez
    Gabi
    Koke
    A. Turan
    R. Falcao
    Diego Costa

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I’m going with Atletico HT/FT and Falcao to score first although side is so strong he has some rivals in Turan and Costa.

  53. John 8 years ago

    Slipped up big time tonight, Arouca 1-O up at half time, Belenenses odds to get 2 or 3 would have been pretty good, they scored 3 and it’s still being played

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      John, the bet was Belenenses to win. When a team is trailing at half-time it’s difficult to back them to win except in hindsight.

    • John 8 years ago

      The last 2 bets i had on Belenenses were to score 2 or more in the 2nd half as they were behind, so i would have put money on them to do the same BUT i found out my local bookie closed up early…so i guess we both saved ourselves money :-)

  54. Mike 8 years ago

    How much will you be staking on falcao FGS fixit? Seeming his odds FGS are so low

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Mike, I’ve gone hawfers with Dr Guy on £40k. If we win we’re going to open a breast enhancement clinic.

  55. al 8 years ago

    1st half benfica goals 3 or more 10/1

  56. john g 8 years ago

    Mr f maybe you’re right and the doc has been
    working too hard. Cool new name Chris guy!

  57. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Lmao @ Paul

    Ok bets on. Took your advice Paul and not going too mental.

    Falcao First Goal @ 2/1
    Falcao Last Goal @ 2/1
    Cordoza First Goal @ 3/1
    Cordoza Last Goal @ 3/1
    4 x £25 Doubles (each double pays £300)

    £100 on Atletico to win by 1 @ 3/1

    £15 on Atletico 2-0 @ 7/1

    £5 ht Atletica Ft Betis @ 80/1 (Just Incase)

    Good luck everyone

  58. al 8 years ago

    Goooooal

  59. al 8 years ago

    2 more goals

  60. al 8 years ago

    Gooooal

  61. al 8 years ago

    1 more goal

  62. Mike 8 years ago

    FALCAO YOU BEAUTYYY

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Mike, I’m happy with that. I’m sure there was big gamble on Falcao. Can’t wait to open that clinic.

  63. al 8 years ago

    Get in benfica 1st half 3 goals 10s

  64. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Everyone looks to be on a winner tonight, personally clawing back £ fi the horses but much needed cash gor me at the moment

  65. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Better no have jinxed it haha

  66. Mike 8 years ago

    Clawing back indeed! Just covered my losses and more from last night!

  67. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Regretting not backing Falcao as a single. Should have just stuck £100 on him first goal or £50 first and £50 last. If I had more time to think about it I would have. Cordoza last goal I need

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I thought you had done singles and doubles but at the end of the day only 2-1 on Falcao so you might be laughing with Cardozo.

  68. Mike 8 years ago

    Excited about the clinic fixit! You’ll have to give me the address! I’ll send the misses down haha

  69. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul thanks for sticking on the £40k mate. I thought I was the one to put it on. I hope Atletico sit on 1-0. If they win by one goal I will have doubled my money anyway so here is hoping. Well done to everyone who backed Falcao

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, it was all had in my account mate. Should have put more on and we could have the Bankies too.

  70. Mr Dave Chump 8 years ago

    My bets for the weekend chaps:

    £250 on Rory Mcilroy to score first at the Emirates 500/1

    £100 on Jimmy Saville to hit the woodwork twice at Upton Park 750/1

    £500 on Sir Alex Ferguson to change chewing gum brand to Juicy Fruits 125/1

    £1 on Stoke’s possession being a ratio of 70:30 or more (in the air : on the ground) 2/9

    Good luck peeps

  71. al 8 years ago

    Lol chris

  72. al 8 years ago

    I fancy a bit on jimmy saville lol

  73. Deano 8 years ago

    Benfica
    Belenenses
    Ath Madrid

    All -1 would of been the mission but anyway

  74. Don't be angry at Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Dave I don’t think you will have much hope with those bets.

  75. Bryan 8 years ago

    Don’t wanna jinx myself but a good wee win on the geegee’s will hopefully turn into £580 if athletico/benefica win :-D

  76. Craig alves 8 years ago

    Banked £20 and shoved £2.05 on acca tomorrow for £2.05, galatasary seen overpriced and i’ve tried over 1.5gls for the first time in a few games to see how a get on.
    Lyon v Evian over 1.5 gls
    Leicster v Boro over 1.5 gls
    Sporting v Beira over 1.5 gls
    Galatasary win
    PSV ht/ft
    Schalke v Hannover BTTS

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