JUST back in and had no phone since last night – the Sao Paulo game saw a stonking nine goals (7-2) so an easy winner on the Asian line but the later game was a dud at 2-0 … well done all winners.
The Welsh leagues are calling again this evening and they’ve been a consistent stomping ground of late – hopefully that trend will continue tonight as I carefully put on my best velcro gloves and creep down to Ceredigion.
ABERYSTWYTH TOWN v CONNAH’S QUAY (7.45pm)
Connah’s Quay are much the stronger side here and that shows in The Nomads' league position – top after 20 games and a goal difference bettered only by the mighty TNS.
Aber’s last two home matches were 2-0 defeats to Newtown and Cefn Druids – two teams Connah’s beat 2-1 and drew 1-1 respectively away from home within the last month or so and that gives a decent gauge of the quality difference between the two.
More tellingly, and in Aber’s defence, it’s the H2H that give more away in terms of possible outcomes. Over the last 4 years there have been 11 matches between these two with just a single one of those games where both teams didn't score. Eight of those 11 saw btts and overs land and 7 of them saw 4 or more match goals!
I’m taking on 3 selections here and it’s worth noting The Nomads have failed to keep a clean sheet in 100 per cent of their last 5 away games despite their decent form.
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FLUMINENSE U20s v PARNAHYBA U20 (11.30pm)
Probably a foregone conclusion who should win this and Fluminense are as short as 1-10 in places so no value there!
Goals-wise there appears to be a bit of value with 5 or more fetching an attractive 7-4 but it’s another market that may offer the best way in; I’ve absolutely no stats to back it up but from last year’s tournament I have corners written in the notebook next to Fluminense Youth … hardly the concrete info you need but it may just a different angle with the majority of bigger sides not hitting their individual goal lines.
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Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
