THERE'S a few games in South America this evening but I've taken a look and I'm avoiding the more obvious Paraguayan and Chilean top flights in favour of this one hailing from the Chilean Primera B.
BARNECHEA v DEPORTES SANTA CRUZ (11pm)
It's a funny old division the Primera B but it is one that can throw up some interesting prices and the research driving those prices is nowhere near as deep as other more mainstream leagues.
I reckon this could be the case here as hosts Barnechea head into their 4th games of the campaign with a 100% record having won their opening 3 games which sees them sitting joint top with Santiago.
On paper, Deportes Santa Cruz have got off to a pretty rotten start – a 4-0 thumping to 3rd-placed Valdivia was followed by two 0-0 draws although one of those was to the aforementioned Santiago so on reflection, 2 of those 3 were toughies against 1st and 3rd.
With Barnechea strong home favourites and having hit 2 in each of those 3 opening marches, this one could be boosted with an away goal to exploit prices and I'd certainly not rule that out. Deportes were no mugs last season and have scored in 2 of the last 4 H2H's.
It's those H2Hs that really drew my eye and given the price for goals you have to acknowledge those last 4 match-ups which have taken place over a three-year spell and resulted in scorelines of 4-0, 0-1, 3-1 and 5-1!
Also looking to piece together a Welsh goals accumulator and it has probably been the most consistent league for me this year.
- Over 2.5 goals fourfold
(4.38-1, bet365) – 1pt