AN interesting game in the Paraguayan top flight and the bookies don’t fancy goals and in this instance I tend to agree.
Where I do suspect the value may lie is with the time of team goals for the home side and first-half goals for both.
SOL DE AMÉRICA v INDEPENDIENTE FBC (11pm)
SDA have scored in 15 of their last 20 home fixtures and despite their standing their form has been fairly cute with just one loss in their last seven and that to a Cerro Porteno side who are looking great.
During that seven-game spell they have scored 13 goals of which seven have come at home and that includes tough fixtures against the likes of Capiata, Santani and Luqueno.
Independiente’s preponderence for first-half goals buck the average trend – where usually you are looking at somewhere between 25 and 45 per cent, the last 26 games offer up 51 per cent of team goals scored within the first 45.
Coupled with SDA’s average goal time sitting around 60 per cent before the hour mark there are two bets I think may be worth looking at.
- SDA goal before 50mins
- (5-6, b )
- Both to score first half
- (7-2, b )