SOME South American fixtures are consistently sound year in year out but as familiarisation with each league sharpens over time, there are a handful of games that really stand out.
For me, the Chilean match-up of Universidad v Audax Italiano is one of those games and has stood me well over the last 4 years – it’s easy to see why; in 8 of the last 9 games, there have been 3 or more goals with 6 of those 9 seeing 4 or more.
Don’t be duped by standings – on recent form, it’s well worth noting that it is actually Audax who have picked up the pace after the Primera break – they have won both ‘openers’ in emphatic style scoring 4 in each and this on the back of 6 straight Copa Chile victories!
The Chilean top-flight is my destination de rigeur for early goals and this fixture has, again, proved a rich stomping ground – here’s a list of 1st half scorelines/(MGS) from the most recent 7 H2H’s: 1-1 (5), 0-3 (3), 1-0 (1), 0-3 (3), 0-1 (3), 1-1 (4), 1-2 (4).
So, we can deduce that over the last 7 meetings, there have been 23 goals fetching an average of 3.3 per game – of those goals 15 of the 23 came in the first half fetching a FHGS average of 2.1 per game. We can also (mathematically) say that over 65% of total match goals came within the first 45 minutes! Three selections to consider: