TWO matches that interest me this evening – one international featuring the Three Lions and the other hailing from Peru's Primera Division.
Montenegro v England (7.45pm)
There seems to be a train of thought Montenegro are a bit of a joke side and some small province cast away in relative seclusion but, while the footballing standard may be questionable, don't underestimate the challenge of visiting the Balkan heartlands.
It is a tough country and sandwiched between Albania, Kosovo and Serbia their people have seen as much bloodshed and warring than any other in south-eastern Europe and that is reflected in their mentality on the terraces and on the pitch where they take no prisoners!
I suspect England's new-found ability to actually play as a cohesive unit will see them victorious but the hosts will not make it easy for the English snowflakes. The last two visits to Montenegro saw 6 yellows in 2013 (4 for the hosts) and a further 5 Montenegro yellows and a Rooney red in 2011!
It's not great form at the moment for Montenegro with just 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 matches – the last of which was a raucous affair against Romania which saw a pretty impressive 9 yellow cards including 4 for the home side.
I'm taking on two bets that may stand a decent chance in what could be a feisty affair!
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo (8.30pm)
Two teams in pretty ropey form but there could be some value in taking on the home side in a league that heavily favours any home advantage.
Cajamarca have hit 2-0-2-3-1-0-2-2 team goals in their last successive 8 on home soil and are taking on a side in Huancayo who have conceded 2-2-2-2-2 in straight away games!
Throw in the last 8 H2Hs and the appeal steps up another gear with the hosts notching 2-1-2-3-0-2-3-2 team goals across that spell – not one worth going mad on but perhaps some value in the following.
- UTC Cajamarca over 1 5 team goals
- (6-5, bet365) – 2pts