TWO matches that interest me this evening – one international featuring the Three Lions and the other hailing from Peru's Primera Division.
Montenegro v England (7.45pm)
There seems to be a train of thought Montenegro are a bit of a joke side and some small province cast away in relative seclusion but, while the footballing standard may be questionable, don't underestimate the challenge of visiting the Balkan heartlands.
It is a tough country and sandwiched between Albania, Kosovo and Serbia their people have seen as much bloodshed and warring than any other in south-eastern Europe and that is reflected in their mentality on the terraces and on the pitch where they take no prisoners!
I suspect England's new-found ability to actually play as a cohesive unit will see them victorious but the hosts will not make it easy for the English snowflakes. The last two visits to Montenegro saw 6 yellows in 2013 (4 for the hosts) and a further 5 Montenegro yellows and a Rooney red in 2011!
It's not great form at the moment for Montenegro with just 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 matches – the last of which was a raucous affair against Romania which saw a pretty impressive 9 yellow cards including 4 for the home side.
I'm taking on two bets that may stand a decent chance in what could be a feisty affair!
Recommended Bets
- Montenegro over 2.5 cards
- (11-10, bet365) – 4pts
- Red card
- (9-2, bet365) – 1pt
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UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo (8.30pm)
Two teams in pretty ropey form but there could be some value in taking on the home side in a league that heavily favours any home advantage.
Cajamarca have hit 2-0-2-3-1-0-2-2 team goals in their last successive 8 on home soil and are taking on a side in Huancayo who have conceded 2-2-2-2-2 in straight away games!
Throw in the last 8 H2Hs and the appeal steps up another gear with the hosts notching 2-1-2-3-0-2-3-2 team goals across that spell – not one worth going mad on but perhaps some value in the following.
Recommended Bet
- UTC Cajamarca over 1 5 team goals
- (6-5, bet365) – 2pts
Born and bred in Bury but now exiled to Hull: long-suffering Shakers supporter and member of Mr. Fixit's site since 2013. Football mad with a depth and breadth of knowledge including specific focus on South American football, the Icelandic Leagues and English Lower League football.
No such thing as a dead cert in betting but after looking through Montenegros previous matches then yellow cards are a given hull.
Well spotted mate, much better value on the cards than an England win which won’t be easy over there
30+ Montenegro booking points 11-8 on Skybet
Will be on this, thanks Hull
the ref has given 8 pens in last 20 games in charge,worth a punt.
Nice spot jpq sir ??
Got to be a chance of a penno Keef – hopefully with a red card attached ?
Just about to put the cards bet on 10bet and the team cards market has disappeared! Will this come back on in play?!
Evening Barnes sir – literally just through the door so not checked anything since post this morning…markets will often close and open around KO as more money piles in to change pricings – good luck pal ?
Can not believe only been 1 yellow card so far. You’d have put money on there being more…..
Oh wait, I did ?
Hahaha and there they are 3 cards in 1 minute ?
Good shout on the bookings. 3 cards in last 5 mins completed my bet. England win, over 2 goals, over 8 corners and over 3 cards.