HUMIDITY, heavy rain, high winds and other adverse weather conditions can play a significant part in football betting and I usually check ahead of the more far-flung games as it is one of the many variables that overseas bettors should factor into making their selections.
As it is, the central South American sub-tropical Asuncion climate reads 44% humidity…that's 3% less than the Costa del Hull today so make of that what you will!
CERRO PORTEÑO VS. SPORTIVO SAN LORENZO (9.00pm)
I'm leaving the blistering Humberside sunshine to catch up with my Paraguayan mistress Cerro Porteno; a team whom I fell for 2 years ago when they single-handedly dismantled Olimpia and Libertad's stranglehold on the Paraguayan Primera's bragging rights.
Although those days of amazing value are long gone (it took the bookies nearly all of that season to realise what was going on), Cerro are still a big threat and none moreso than when playing at the Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
On paper, the best bet looks to side with 2 or more goals for the hosts but I'm not convinced and 8/13 doesn't reflect efficient reward versus risk – instead, I'm going to follow a hunch that corners may feature and combine this with Cerro to score at least one.
- CERRO PORTEÑO OVER 0.5 TEAM GOALS + OVER 9.5 MATCH CORNERS
- (1/1, bet365 – Betbuilder) NAP ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- OVER 10.5 MATCH CORNERS
- (6/5, bet365) NB
- OVER 15.5 MATCH CORNERS
- (12/1, bet365) LONGSHOT